853
FXUS64 KLIX 261820
AFDLIX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service New Orleans LA
120 PM CDT Thu Jun 26 2025

...New AVIATION...

.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Friday)
Issued at 252 AM CDT Thu Jun 26 2025

Large complex of storms forming over the SE CONUS will continue to
move west the next few days bringing some of this activity into our
area. The one that should move into the area today is just now
getting started over GA. This area will continue to be very rainy
over the short term but this will remain in the extended as well.
With ample heating, there will be a low but credible chance of one
or two of these storms becoming strong or severe. This could be said
for most days during the summer.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Friday night through Wednesday)
Issued at 252 AM CDT Thu Jun 26 2025

The same general pattern will play out over the weekend. Then the
weakness over the SE CONUS will be replaced by more weakness as we
move into next week. A broad weak trough axis will move into the SE
and stall. This axis will help our area have a bit more activity
than normal by mid to late next week as it orients itself over the
FL panhandle and westward into MS/LA where it will bend into a more
NW direction. This will help keep precip numbers high going through
next week.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 118 PM CDT Thu Jun 26 2025

VFR outside TSRA through this cycle. TSRA chances will be a bit
higher today, but mainly along and north of a line from KASD to
KBTR. Did add some PROB30 groups for those terminals.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 252 AM CDT Thu Jun 26 2025

Winds will be light easterly to variable today outside storms. This
pattern will continue through the weekend. The start of next week,
winds will begin to shift to a westerly direction and possibly rise
to around 15kt by mid week. Storms will be possible each day and
night which will be capable of causing rapid rises and shifts in
winds.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
MCB  71  91  71  91 /  40  50  20  50
BTR  74  93  74  93 /  30  50  20  60
ASD  72  92  74  92 /  30  50  20  60
MSY  79  93  78  93 /  20  50  20  70
GPT  74  90  75  90 /  30  50  30  70
PQL  72  91  73  91 /  40  60  30  70

&&

.LIX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...None.
GM...None.
MS...None.
GM...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...TE
LONG TERM....TE
AVIATION...ME
MARINE...TE