590
FXUS64 KLIX 050844
AFDLIX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service New Orleans LA
344 AM CDT Thu Jun 5 2025

...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, AVIATION, MARINE...

.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Friday)
Issued at 251 AM CDT Thu Jun 5 2025

Summer has arrived and for now there is at least a breeze each day
but even this will eventually drop as we move into late July and
August. The heat will continue to rise as well and eventually we
will love to see those cooling sh/ts around. For the short term,
warm and humid with a normal summer distribution of storms around
30%.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Friday night through Wednesday)
Issued at 251 AM CDT Thu Jun 5 2025

The high dew pts coupled with the higher temps will compound the
heat feel over the next several days and we will keep the normal
summer routine going with around a 30% precip number as well. But
there will be relief coming in the form of sh/ts by Sunday night or
Monday as a trough axis slowly moves into the gulf south. There
could be some storms with this that become strong or severe in the
NW flow. The axis will orient NW to SE into our area for the first
of the week which will allow developing systems to the west to ride
this axis into the area by mid week if it stalls over us. This is
the main question, where is this boundary going to stall? But we
could use the rain, we just don`t want the other variables that can
come with storms in NW flow.

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 251 AM CDT Thu Jun 5 2025

VFR through this cycle.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 251 AM CDT Thu Jun 5 2025

Winds will be light and somewhat variable today but will begin to
rise from the south at 10kt Fri and slowly shift to SW through the
weekend. There is a good chance of sh/ts each day and night with
higher chances expected east of the Miss River. Some of these
could become strong causing winds to shift and rise abruptly.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
MCB  91  72  92  72 /  20  10  10   0
BTR  93  74  93  75 /  30  10  20   0
ASD  91  74  92  74 /  20   0  20   0
MSY  91  77  92  77 /  20   0  30   0
GPT  88  75  90  77 /  30  10  10   0
PQL  88  73  90  74 /  30  10  20   0

&&

.LIX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...None.
GM...None.
MS...None.
GM...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...TE
LONG TERM....TE
AVIATION...TE
MARINE...TE