Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS New Orleans/Baton Rouge, LA
Issued by NWS New Orleans/Baton Rouge, LA
947 FXUS64 KLIX 120448 AFDLIX Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service New Orleans LA 1148 PM CDT Sat Oct 11 2025 ...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, AVIATION, MARINE... .KEY MESSAGES... Updated at 1141 PM CDT Sat Oct 11 2025 - One more day of pleasant temperatures before we warm back up. && .SHORT TERM... (Tonight through Monday night) Issued at 1141 PM CDT Sat Oct 11 2025 We had a very pleasant Saturday yesterday and those conditions will roll right into Sunday as upper level ridging continues to build over the central U.S. Afternoon high temperatures will be a touch warmer Sunday, but still hovering right around the averages for this time of year. Early morning lows on the other hand will be even cooler, down into the mid to upper 50s for the northshore and coastal MS while the southshore reaches the low to mid 60s. These early morning temperatures will hang around for a couple days! The dry air will also hang around through the period, with RH values into the 30s for all on Sunday and Monday. This helps keep a pleasant feel in the afternoon hours. No rain chances in sight for the short term period. && .LONG TERM... (Tuesday night through Saturday night) Issued at 1141 PM CDT Sat Oct 11 2025 The long term period will start with similar conditions as the short term, with the upper level high pressure sliding east and becoming more centered over our area. This will keep conditions on the quiet side, with no rain chances throughout the majority of the period. We finally start to see this high break down into Friday as upper level troughing pushes eastward from the west coast. This breakdown of the high will allow isolated rain chances to return to the forecast, with PoPs 15-25% Friday into Saturday. In terms of temperatures, with the high pressure building in we will see a bit of a warming trend. Afternoon high temperatures jump a good 5 to 7 degrees above climate normals for this time of year on. Early morning lows will hold steady around the averages through Thursday morning before they also jump back up. && .AVIATION... (06Z TAFS) Issued at 1141 PM CDT Sat Oct 11 2025 All terminals are VFR and will remain that way through the forecast period. Winds have eased up and will remain light through the period. && .MARINE... Issued at 1141 PM CDT Sat Oct 11 2025 Winds have finally eased some, back under 15kts, as we see high pressure start trying to build in. Sunday will see the high over Texas become more centered over the region. As this occurs, winds will quickly drop to around 10 knots and turn more variable. These lighter winds and gradually improving seas will persist through Monday. A weak front will slip through the waters on Tuesday, and a more persistent northerly wind of 10 to 15 knots will take hold behind the front for both Tuesday and Wednesday. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... MCB 82 55 83 55 / 0 0 0 0 BTR 85 58 85 57 / 0 0 0 0 ASD 83 55 83 55 / 0 0 0 0 MSY 84 66 84 64 / 0 0 0 0 GPT 83 59 83 59 / 0 0 0 0 PQL 83 54 84 54 / 0 0 0 0 && .LIX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... LA...None. GM...None. MS...None. GM...None. && $$ SHORT TERM...HL LONG TERM....HL AVIATION...HL MARINE...HL