587
FXUS64 KLIX 072032
AFDLIX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service New Orleans LA
332 PM CDT Mon Apr 7 2025

...NEW SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, AVIATION, MARINE...

.SHORT TERM...
(This evening through Tuesday night)
Issued at 330 PM CDT Mon Apr 7 2025

A broad scale H5 trough will continue to reside over the eastern
U.S. through the short term. This will keep conditions cooler,
much cooler than last week with overnight lows dropping into the
40s or lower 50s across the region during the overnight. As drier
air moves into the region from the northwest, clouds will start
to decrease tonight and overall mostly sunny conditions are
expected on Tuesday. We are starting to get into more of a direct
sun angle here in early April so surface heating will be a bit
more efficient so despite the lower thicknesses and heights
daytime temperatures will remain mild despite modest CAA that will
be decreasing in time. (Frye)

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Wednesday through Sunday night)
Issued at 330 PM CDT Mon Apr 7 2025

Dry northwest upper flow will continue across the region. This
will keep the weather fairly benign going from mid to late week.
Temperatures will gradually rebound as well, but remain mostly
mild and not nearly as warm as last week. High pressure will build
in on Wednesday, which should finally give us a break from the
recent windy conditions as well. Thursday night and Friday we`ll
be watching a weak cold front move southward into the region. The
globals are in good agreement with this feature and suggest that
overall the rain probs will be on the low side, generally lower
than 20 percent. That said, cannot rule out a shower or two with
the frontal passage, especially interior south MS. Another
broad scale trough amplifies over the eastern US going into next
weekend. Behind the front, conditions dry considerably, but
daytime MaxTs will be left mostly unchanged again due to
strengthening sun angle this time of year. Overnight lows,
however, will drop again this weekend behind the front with most
of the CWFA in the upper 40s or lower 50s. (Frye)


&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 330 PM CDT Mon Apr 7 2025

Conditions will improve over time with VFR expected shortly
generally overspreading the area from west to east. GPT may hang
on to MVFR a bit longer, but by tonight should be above 3Kft. From
that point on VFR expected through the cycle. Northwest winds will
gradually decrease in time as well and likely will become light
and variable by Tuesday morning. (Frye)

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 330 PM CDT Mon Apr 7 2025

Cautionary headlines will remain across the local waters through
Tuesday morning. High pressure will build into the region late
Tuesday and during the day on Wednesday leading to mostly light
and variable winds. Favorable marine conditions are then
anticipated through the remainder of the workweek with only a
modest increase in winds and seas early this weekend behind a dry
cold frontal boundary. (Frye)


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
MCB  42  71  44  76 /   0   0   0   0
BTR  43  73  47  77 /   0   0   0   0
ASD  45  74  47  76 /   0   0   0   0
MSY  52  72  55  76 /   0   0   0   0
GPT  45  72  49  73 /   0   0   0   0
PQL  44  73  45  74 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.LIX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...None.
GM...None.
MS...None.
GM...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...RDF
LONG TERM....RDF
AVIATION...RDF
MARINE...RDF