Probability of Exceed
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
Versions:
1
395
FXUS37 KWNC 211231
POELHJ
HEATING DEGREE DAYS PROB. OF EXCEEDENCE OUTLOOKS - DIVISIONS
NWS CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
830 AM THU 21 AUG 2025
VALID: JUNE - AUGUST 2026
...HEATING DEGREE DAYS IN FAHRENHEIT 65F BASIS...
#. DIVISION NAME CLIM LINE1
98 95 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 5 2 LINE2
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1. N NEW ENGLAND 367
191 208 224 248 267 284 301 318 337 361 394 422 455
2. NE NEW ENGLAND 196
0 0 0 26 74 122 141 203 214 228 249 267 294
3. N NEW YORK 229
0 0 0 35 93 150 165 231 248 269 302 332 368
4. S NEW ENGLAND 88
0 0 0 0 0 3 38 61 70 82 101 120 143
5. E GRT LAKES 174
0 0 0 9 67 124 137 193 211 234 270 301 338
6. OHIO 79
0 0 0 0 10 35 42 59 72 91 120 146 178
7. MID-ATL COAST 21
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 40 51 67
8. N APPALACHNS 130
0 0 0 0 17 58 79 114 127 143 166 188 214
9. CENT APPALACHNS 73
0 0 0 0 10 37 47 66 78 94 114 132 155
10. COASTL VIRG 13
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4 6 9 14 19 26
11. S APPALACHNS 36
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 33 40 49 64 79 98
12. COASTL CAROLNAS 2
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 4
13. INTERIOR CAROLNAS 8
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4 6 10 14 20
14. UPPER MICH 342
0 0 25 123 216 308 300 392 423 462 520 569 626
15. N MINN 320
0 11 65 158 244 329 293 359 390 427 483 531 589
16. E NORTH DAK 261
0 0 14 98 178 256 242 311 336 368 420 466 521
17. W NORTH DAK 280
0 3 54 143 226 308 266 320 347 382 437 484 541
18. E MONT 254
0 0 0 57 140 220 232 316 342 376 424 467 519
19. N-CENT MONT 348
0 14 68 163 251 336 301 367 395 429 479 524 575
20. S-CENT MONT 365
0 7 62 157 245 330 290 351 379 415 467 512 566
21. W MONT 471
220 243 266 299 326 349 373 397 424 457 504 543 593
22. N-CENT MICH 210
0 0 0 27 95 161 170 230 254 285 331 371 421
23. S MICH 98
0 0 0 12 45 79 73 93 111 135 171 204 245
24. E-CENT ILL 69
0 0 0 0 19 46 57 82 94 111 137 162 192
25. N ILL 119
0 0 2 39 75 112 98 123 142 168 207 243 286
26. N WISC 245
0 0 11 91 167 240 221 278 303 333 380 421 471
27. SE MINN 172
0 0 0 26 92 152 152 198 221 250 293 330 375
28. E SOUTH DAK 176
0 7 39 96 149 204 167 192 217 248 295 337 387
29. CENT SOUTH DAK 171
0 0 16 72 126 179 161 199 224 257 306 350 403
30. W SOUTH DAK 188
0 7 45 112 175 237 184 201 231 269 324 372 427
31. NE WYOMING 261
0 0 0 51 132 211 224 302 329 362 411 456 511
32. NW WYOMING 422
0 4 63 167 265 362 339 431 460 495 547 591 643
33. E IOWA 102
0 0 0 38 74 110 98 123 138 158 189 217 251
34. NW IOWA 119
0 0 0 27 71 114 116 155 173 197 233 265 305
35. CENT NEBRASKA 128
0 0 0 25 67 108 108 142 161 186 223 256 297
36. S NEBRASKA 86
26 30 35 45 57 69 81 94 109 129 160 187 218
37. W NEBR/CHEYENE 177
0 0 0 3 72 133 140 189 210 238 279 316 360
38. E KENTUCKY 40
0 0 0 0 0 0 27 45 52 62 78 94 115
39. W KENTUCKY 22
0 0 0 0 1 9 10 15 21 29 43 56 73
40. SE MISSOURI 24
0 0 0 0 0 5 12 19 25 35 50 64 82
41. NE MISSOURI 50
0 0 7 21 35 49 41 49 58 70 89 108 131
42. NW MISSOURI 47
0 1 8 20 33 45 37 43 52 65 84 103 126
43. E KANSAS 29
0 0 5 13 21 29 22 23 28 35 47 58 72
44. CENT KANSAS 38
0 0 0 0 5 22 30 45 53 63 80 95 114
45. W KANSAS 48
0 0 0 2 17 31 32 45 53 64 80 96 115
46. NE COLO 227
0 0 0 22 88 152 166 229 250 275 314 347 388
47. SE COLO 137
0 0 0 0 0 17 74 116 130 148 178 206 243
48. W COLO 299
0 0 0 18 79 140 155 220 242 272 317 356 405
49. SW WYOMING 470
190 214 239 274 303 330 356 383 413 450 502 548 605
50. CENT TENN 21
0 0 0 0 0 0 8 13 17 24 36 46 59
51. W TENN 4
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 15 19 25
52. OZARK MOUNTNS 18
0 0 0 0 3 8 10 14 18 23 33 43 57
53. CENT OKLAHOMA 6
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6 8 14 20 28
54. TX W OF ABILENE 3
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 6 10 15
55. N HI PLAINS TX 10
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6 11 18 28
56. N GEORGIA 6
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6 9 12 17
57. N ALABAMA 6
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 11 14 19
58. CENT MISSISSIPPI 2
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 17
59. S ARKANSAS 3
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 4 7 9
60. E TX 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2
61. DALLAS REG TX 1
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 6
62. SAN ANTONIO REG TX 1
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 7
63. FAR S TX 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
64. W-CENT TX 1
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
65. W TX PANHANDLE 1
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
66. JAXONVIL FLA REG 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
67. CENT FLA 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
68. S FLA 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
69. FLA PANHANDLE 1
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
70. COASTL LOUISIANA 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
71. COASTL TX NR HOUST 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6 6
72. NW WASH 281
0 0 2 71 135 199 199 266 283 304 335 364 399
73. PENDELTON REG OREG 325
0 0 0 8 90 170 207 307 325 348 388 424 466
74. CENT WASH 232
0 0 0 19 76 131 145 201 216 236 264 289 319
75. SEATTLE REG WASH 484
217 237 257 287 310 330 350 371 393 420 460 494 533
76. COASTL WASH 551
343 363 381 405 423 438 454 469 487 508 542 570 605
77. E IDAHO 319
0 0 0 0 60 145 202 312 330 355 397 435 481
78. IDAHO CENT MOUNTNS 447
0 19 73 169 262 353 328 409 436 468 515 555 601
79. SW IDAHO 144
0 0 0 0 0 7 58 91 111 134 167 196 233
80. E OREG 365
0 0 15 99 180 258 261 352 376 405 447 484 527
81. OREG COASTL VALLEY 249
0 0 0 0 38 110 160 249 263 282 311 339 374
82. OREG COAST 485
301 323 343 370 390 408 425 443 462 485 524 558 598
83. NE UTAH 284
0 0 0 0 0 0 160 273 287 308 341 372 416
84. SE UTAH 37
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 34 40 52 65 85
85. W UTAH 90
0 0 0 0 0 0 18 29 39 52 76 99 129
86. NE NEVADA 304
0 0 9 78 143 207 204 270 289 312 349 387 432
87. NW NEVADA 228
0 0 0 0 28 95 130 189 204 224 255 283 317
88. SACRMNTO REG CALIF 97
0 0 0 0 0 0 27 43 52 65 86 104 126
89. N CALIF COAST 151
0 0 0 0 0 43 101 167 175 186 203 218 237
90. CENT NEVADA 109
0 0 0 0 9 32 46 72 79 90 107 124 150
91. FRESNO REG CALIF 36
0 0 0 0 0 1 10 16 19 23 31 39 48
92. CENT CALIF COAST 147
0 0 0 0 31 75 103 156 166 179 199 218 241
93. S CALIF COAST 52
0 0 0 0 8 25 32 45 52 62 77 90 106
94. SE CALIF 3
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 4 7
95. LAS VEGAS NEV REG 2
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
96. SW ARIZONA 4
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 2 4
97. NE ARIZONA 74
0 0 0 0 0 0 20 33 40 50 68 85 108
98. SE ARIZONA 5
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 20
99. N NEW MEX 225
0 0 0 0 19 88 136 216 229 247 273 299 332
100. E NEW MEX 18
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 5 8 14 20 29
101. CENT NEW MEX 84
0 0 0 0 0 0 29 47 55 66 83 100 121
102. S NEW MEX 11
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 14 20
$$