Probability of Exceed
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
Versions:
1
638
FXUS34 KWNC 201331
POELHG
HEATING DEGREE DAYS PROB. OF EXCEEDENCE OUTLOOKS - DIVISIONS
NWS CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
830 AM THU 20 NOV 2025
VALID: JUNE - AUGUST 2026
...HEATING DEGREE DAYS IN FAHRENHEIT 65F BASIS...
#. DIVISION NAME CLIM LINE1
98 95 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 5 2 LINE2
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1. N NEW ENGLAND 367
192 208 224 247 266 282 298 314 333 355 387 415 446
2. NE NEW ENGLAND 196
0 0 0 26 74 121 140 202 213 228 248 267 294
3. N NEW YORK 229
0 0 0 30 87 143 159 223 239 260 292 322 358
4. S NEW ENGLAND 88
0 0 0 0 0 1 37 60 68 79 98 115 138
5. E GRT LAKES 174
0 0 0 5 62 119 133 187 206 228 263 294 332
6. OHIO 79
0 0 0 0 8 32 39 55 68 86 114 139 169
7. MID-ATL COAST 21
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 30 39 52
8. N APPALACHNS 130
0 0 0 0 14 56 75 109 122 138 163 186 214
9. CENT APPALACHNS 73
0 0 0 0 5 30 41 60 70 84 104 121 141
10. COASTL VIRG 13
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 5 8 13 19 27
11. S APPALACHNS 36
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 27 33 41 54 67 83
12. COASTL CAROLNAS 2
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 3
13. INTERIOR CAROLNAS 8
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6 10 14 20
14. UPPER MICH 342
0 0 25 123 216 308 300 392 423 462 520 569 626
15. N MINN 320
0 11 65 158 244 329 293 359 390 427 483 531 589
16. E NORTH DAK 261
0 0 14 98 178 256 242 311 336 368 420 466 521
17. W NORTH DAK 280
0 3 54 143 226 308 266 320 347 382 437 484 541
18. E MONT 254
0 0 0 57 140 220 232 316 342 376 424 467 519
19. N-CENT MONT 348
0 13 67 160 248 332 298 365 392 426 475 517 568
20. S-CENT MONT 365
0 8 62 156 244 328 289 351 379 414 465 509 562
21. W MONT 471
221 244 267 300 327 350 374 398 425 457 504 544 593
22. N-CENT MICH 210
0 0 0 27 95 161 170 230 254 285 331 371 421
23. S MICH 98
0 0 0 12 45 79 73 93 111 135 171 204 245
24. E-CENT ILL 69
0 0 0 0 19 46 57 82 94 111 137 162 192
25. N ILL 119
0 0 2 39 75 112 98 123 142 168 207 243 286
26. N WISC 245
0 0 11 91 167 240 221 278 303 333 380 421 471
27. SE MINN 172
0 0 0 26 92 152 152 198 221 250 293 330 375
28. E SOUTH DAK 176
0 7 39 96 149 204 167 192 217 248 295 337 387
29. CENT SOUTH DAK 171
0 0 16 72 126 179 161 199 224 257 306 350 403
30. W SOUTH DAK 188
0 7 45 112 175 237 184 201 231 269 324 372 427
31. NE WYOMING 261
0 0 0 49 129 207 220 298 324 356 404 449 502
32. NW WYOMING 422
0 0 37 142 241 339 336 442 472 509 563 609 663
33. E IOWA 102
0 0 0 38 74 110 98 123 138 158 189 217 251
34. NW IOWA 119
0 0 0 27 71 114 116 155 173 197 233 265 305
35. CENT NEBRASKA 128
0 0 0 25 67 108 108 142 161 186 223 256 297
36. S NEBRASKA 86
26 30 35 45 57 69 81 94 109 129 160 187 218
37. W NEBR/CHEYENE 177
0 0 0 1 70 132 137 186 208 235 276 313 357
38. E KENTUCKY 40
0 0 0 0 0 0 25 42 49 57 71 85 103
39. W KENTUCKY 22
0 0 0 0 1 9 10 15 21 29 43 56 73
40. SE MISSOURI 24
0 0 0 0 0 5 12 19 25 35 50 64 82
41. NE MISSOURI 50
0 0 7 21 35 49 41 49 58 70 89 108 131
42. NW MISSOURI 47
0 1 8 20 33 45 37 43 52 65 84 103 126
43. E KANSAS 29
0 0 5 14 22 30 22 23 29 36 48 60 76
44. CENT KANSAS 38
0 0 0 0 5 21 29 44 51 60 76 90 107
45. W KANSAS 48
0 0 0 2 16 31 32 44 52 63 80 95 115
46. NE COLO 227
0 0 0 19 84 149 162 224 246 273 313 348 391
47. SE COLO 137
0 0 0 0 0 15 73 115 129 148 179 208 246
48. W COLO 299
0 0 0 17 78 139 155 220 242 273 319 360 409
49. SW WYOMING 470
188 211 236 271 300 326 352 379 409 446 498 544 601
50. CENT TENN 21
0 0 0 0 0 0 7 12 16 22 33 43 56
51. W TENN 4
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 14 19 25
52. OZARK MOUNTNS 18
0 0 0 0 3 8 10 14 17 23 32 42 56
53. CENT OKLAHOMA 6
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6 9 14 20 28
54. TX W OF ABILENE 3
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 6 10 16
55. N HI PLAINS TX 10
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6 11 18 28
56. N GEORGIA 6
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6 9 12 17
57. N ALABAMA 6
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 11 14 18
58. CENT MISSISSIPPI 2
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 19
59. S ARKANSAS 3
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 5 7 11
60. E TX 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3
61. DALLAS REG TX 1
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 5
62. SAN ANTONIO REG TX 1
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 7
63. FAR S TX 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
64. W-CENT TX 1
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
65. W TX PANHANDLE 1
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
66. JAXONVIL FLA REG 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
67. CENT FLA 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
68. S FLA 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
69. FLA PANHANDLE 1
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
70. COASTL LOUISIANA 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
71. COASTL TX NR HOUST 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6 6
72. NW WASH 281
0 0 1 71 136 200 199 265 283 304 337 368 405
73. PENDELTON REG OREG 325
0 0 0 7 90 171 207 307 326 350 392 428 473
74. CENT WASH 232
0 0 0 18 76 131 145 200 216 236 266 292 323
75. SEATTLE REG WASH 484
211 232 253 283 307 328 350 371 396 425 467 503 546
76. COASTL WASH 551
337 358 377 402 421 438 454 470 488 512 548 578 614
77. E IDAHO 319
0 0 0 0 64 148 204 314 332 357 398 436 481
78. IDAHO CENT MOUNTNS 447
0 19 74 170 263 355 329 410 437 469 516 556 603
79. SW IDAHO 144
0 0 0 0 0 8 58 91 111 135 167 197 233
80. E OREG 365
0 0 16 100 180 258 262 353 377 405 447 483 526
81. OREG COASTL VALLEY 249
0 0 0 0 40 111 161 250 264 282 309 337 370
82. OREG COAST 485
310 330 350 375 394 410 427 443 461 482 518 548 584
83. NE UTAH 284
0 0 0 0 0 0 160 273 288 308 341 373 416
84. SE UTAH 37
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 34 40 51 65 84
85. W UTAH 90
0 0 0 0 0 0 18 29 39 55 80 106 138
86. NE NEVADA 304
0 0 10 78 143 206 206 274 291 313 347 381 423
87. NW NEVADA 228
0 0 0 0 30 95 131 191 206 227 258 285 319
88. SACRMNTO REG CALIF 97
0 0 0 0 0 0 27 43 53 66 87 106 127
89. N CALIF COAST 151
0 0 0 0 0 44 101 167 176 187 205 221 241
90. CENT NEVADA 109
0 0 0 0 10 33 47 73 81 91 108 124 148
91. FRESNO REG CALIF 36
0 0 0 0 0 0 9 15 19 23 31 39 49
92. CENT CALIF COAST 147
0 0 0 0 30 73 102 155 165 177 196 214 236
93. S CALIF COAST 52
0 0 0 0 6 21 29 42 47 55 68 80 93
94. SE CALIF 3
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 7
95. LAS VEGAS NEV REG 2
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
96. SW ARIZONA 4
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 2 4
97. NE ARIZONA 74
0 0 0 0 0 0 21 34 41 50 67 83 104
98. SE ARIZONA 5
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 19
99. N NEW MEX 225
0 0 0 0 18 88 136 215 230 248 276 303 338
100. E NEW MEX 18
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 5 8 14 20 28
101. CENT NEW MEX 84
0 0 0 0 0 0 29 47 55 66 83 99 120
102. S NEW MEX 11
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 14 20
$$