Probability of Exceed
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
Versions:
1
375
FXUS53 KWNC 171232
POELCM
COOLING DEGREE DAYS PROB. OF EXCEEDENCE OUTLOOKS - DIVISIONS
NWS CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
830 AM THU 17 SEP 2026
VALID: OCTOBER - DECEMBER 2027
...COOLING DEGREE DAYS IN FAHRENHEIT 65F BASIS...
#. DIVISION NAME CLIM LINE1
98 95 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 5 2 LINE2
________________________________________________________________
1. N NEW ENGLAND 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1
2. NE NEW ENGLAND 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
3. N NEW YORK 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4 4 4
4. S NEW ENGLAND 2
0 0 0 0 0 1 4 7 7 8 10 12 14
5. E GRT LAKES 3
0 0 0 0 1 4 5 7 8 9 11 12 15
6. OHIO 11
0 0 0 6 10 15 14 17 19 21 23 25 28
7. MID-ATL COAST 16
7 9 11 15 18 20 23 25 28 32 38 43 48
8. N APPALACHNS 4
0 0 0 0 0 2 5 9 9 10 12 14 15
9. CENT APPALACHNS 10
0 0 1 5 8 12 12 15 16 18 21 24 29
10. COASTL VIRG 39
20 23 27 33 38 43 47 53 59 66 77 88 100
11. S APPALACHNS 22
0 1 6 14 22 30 26 31 35 40 47 54 62
12. COASTL CAROLNAS 102
62 71 80 92 102 111 120 130 141 155 176 195 219
13. INTERIOR CAROLNAS 57
31 37 43 50 56 61 67 73 80 89 103 115 130
14. UPPER MICH 1
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 5 5 6
15. N MINN 1
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 3 3
16. E NORTH DAK 1
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 4 5 6 7
17. W NORTH DAK 1
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 11 12
18. E MONT 1
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 5 7
19. N-CENT MONT 1
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 3 5
20. S-CENT MONT 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 2 3 5
21. W MONT 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
22. N-CENT MICH 3
0 0 0 0 0 2 5 7 8 9 9 10 10
23. S MICH 8
0 0 0 0 3 8 10 15 16 18 21 23 26
24. E-CENT ILL 18
0 0 1 9 16 22 20 26 28 31 36 40 45
25. N ILL 10
0 0 0 3 8 12 13 17 18 20 21 22 24
26. N WISC 3
0 0 0 0 0 0 3 6 6 7 7 7 7
27. SE MINN 3
0 0 0 0 0 2 4 7 7 8 10 11 13
28. E SOUTH DAK 3
0 0 0 0 0 0 3 5 6 6 9 11 14
29. CENT SOUTH DAK 3
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 7 9 11 14 18
30. W SOUTH DAK 2
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6 8 11 14 17
31. NE WYOMING 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 2 3 4
32. NW WYOMING 2
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 22 22 23
33. E IOWA 12
0 0 1 7 13 19 14 16 18 21 23 25 26
34. NW IOWA 6
0 0 0 0 0 3 6 10 12 14 18 22 27
35. CENT NEBRASKA 3
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 8 9 12 17 21 26
36. S NEBRASKA 13
0 0 0 2 7 12 13 19 22 25 31 35 41
37. W NEBR/CHEYENE 1
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 11 12 14
38. E KENTUCKY 24
0 0 5 14 23 32 27 32 36 40 48 54 63
39. W KENTUCKY 34
0 1 9 22 34 45 38 45 49 54 63 69 78
40. SE MISSOURI 30
0 0 8 21 34 46 36 41 45 50 58 64 70
41. NE MISSOURI 24
0 0 0 6 15 23 26 36 39 42 48 53 59
42. NW MISSOURI 29
0 0 3 15 25 36 32 40 44 49 55 61 69
43. E KANSAS 38
0 0 5 20 35 50 44 53 59 66 77 86 97
44. CENT KANSAS 29
0 0 3 14 24 34 31 40 46 53 63 71 82
45. W KANSAS 16
0 0 0 7 14 21 19 25 29 35 44 51 59
46. NE COLO 2
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6 6 7 8 9 10
47. SE COLO 1
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 11 12 13
48. W COLO 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
49. SW WYOMING 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
50. CENT TENN 46
26 29 32 37 41 46 51 57 65 74 88 101 118
51. W TENN 68
33 41 48 58 66 72 79 86 95 105 120 133 147
52. OZARK MOUNTNS 48
0 1 13 32 50 68 56 64 70 77 88 98 111
53. CENT OKLAHOMA 61
0 4 18 41 62 83 72 86 93 101 114 126 141
54. TX W OF ABILENE 81
0 6 25 58 88 118 104 127 136 148 166 182 201
55. N HI PLAINS TX 26
0 0 0 9 22 35 36 50 56 64 75 85 97
56. N GEORGIA 83
52 58 64 74 81 89 96 105 115 127 147 165 187
57. N ALABAMA 96
63 72 80 91 101 109 118 127 137 150 170 187 208
58. CENT MISSISSIPPI 120
82 92 103 116 127 138 148 158 171 186 209 229 254
59. S ARKANSAS 96
61 70 79 91 100 109 116 124 132 143 160 176 195
60. E TX 136
93 106 118 133 145 157 167 179 192 208 231 251 276
61. DALLAS REG TX 136
97 111 123 138 150 159 169 179 190 204 224 242 261
62. SAN ANTONIO REG TX 278
224 246 267 293 313 330 347 365 383 406 439 467 499
63. FAR S TX 383
310 338 365 399 424 445 465 486 509 536 575 607 644
64. W-CENT TX 143
106 120 134 151 164 175 186 198 210 225 246 264 285
65. W TX PANHANDLE 82
61 72 83 97 107 117 126 136 146 159 177 193 211
66. JAXONVIL FLA REG 236
163 180 198 223 243 261 278 297 317 343 380 413 452
67. CENT FLA 527
409 446 480 524 558 588 616 648 682 724 783 834 894
68. S FLA 737
591 635 675 726 764 797 828 861 895 937 996 1045 1103
69. FLA PANHANDLE 185
133 147 160 178 193 207 221 238 256 278 311 340 373
70. COASTL LOUISIANA 222
166 184 201 224 241 258 273 290 307 329 360 387 418
71. COASTL TX NR HOUST 245
191 212 232 257 277 294 311 328 347 370 403 431 463
72. NW WASH 1
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6 7 7
73. PENDELTON REG OREG 1
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 4 4 5 5
74. CENT WASH 2
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 3 4 5 6 8
75. SEATTLE REG WASH 1
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 3
76. COASTL WASH 1
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 11
77. E IDAHO 1
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 3 3 3
78. IDAHO CENT MOUNTNS 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2
79. SW IDAHO 1
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 5 6
80. E OREG 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 3 3
81. OREG COASTL VALLEY 2
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 7 8 10 11
82. OREG COAST 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10
83. NE UTAH 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 3 4 7
84. SE UTAH 4
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 16 17 20 24 27
85. W UTAH 1
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 6 7 8
86. NE NEVADA 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3
87. NW NEVADA 2
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 11 13 15 17
88. SACRMNTO REG CALIF 18
0 0 0 7 17 27 28 37 41 46 53 60 68
89. N CALIF COAST 4
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 13 14 15 17 19 21
90. CENT NEVADA 4
0 0 0 0 0 0 4 8 9 10 13 16 20
91. FRESNO REG CALIF 45
0 0 2 27 51 73 67 85 93 102 117 129 143
92. CENT CALIF COAST 17
0 0 0 0 14 27 27 36 39 44 50 55 62
93. S CALIF COAST 72
40 48 57 68 77 86 94 104 115 127 146 162 181
94. SE CALIF 142
90 108 119 135 147 158 169 181 194 210 236 261 292
95. LAS VEGAS NEV REG 111
89 104 117 134 144 153 162 172 182 196 215 232 252
96. SW ARIZONA 214
148 171 192 219 239 257 273 290 308 330 360 386 417
97. NE ARIZONA 1
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 21 24 26
98. SE ARIZONA 69
48 59 70 84 93 101 109 118 128 140 159 175 194
99. N NEW MEX 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
100. E NEW MEX 14
0 0 0 5 13 21 22 30 33 39 46 53 62
101. CENT NEW MEX 2
0 0 0 0 0 0 3 5 5 7 9 10 13
102. S NEW MEX 20
0 0 8 23 36 49 39 44 49 56 66 75 85
$$