Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Lake Charles, LA

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233
FNUS74 KLCH 210905
FWSLCH

Spot Forecast for Hickory Creek RX...NPS
National Weather Service Lake Charles LA
405 AM CDT Wed May 21 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0600 CDT on May 21.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (337) 477-5285, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...

Minimum RH values will be in the 30s north of I-10 today and Thursday.
Moisture values will start to creep up by Friday with minimum RH values rising
into the 40-50% range. Even with the low RH values, wet fuels and
low winds, 5 to 10 mph, will help to limit fire spread. Rain will be sparse through
the weekend but early next week widespread wetting rain is expected.


.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 91.
Min humidity........37 percent.
Eye level winds.....Light winds becoming east around 3 mph early in
                    the morning, then becoming light late in the
                    afternoon.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming east around 5 mph early in
                    the morning, then becoming light late in the
                    afternoon.
Mixing height.......5200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 10 to 13 mph shifting to the southeast 6
                    to 8 mph in the afternoon.

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........34  38  28  19  19  15  16  31  15  18  19  21
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............66  65  67  71  77  80  83  86  88  88  89  90
RH..............82  86  83  72  56  51  46  39  37  38  37  38
20 FT wind dir..NE  NE  NE  E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   SE
20 FT wind spd..2   3   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   3
20 FT wind gust.10  12  14  14  14  14  13  12  12  9   9   8
Eye lvl wnd dir.NE  NE  NE  E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   SE
Eye lvl wnd spd.1   2   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   2
Eye lvl wnd gst.6   7   8   8   8   8   8   7   7   5   5   5
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.5 0.7 1.2 1.6 2.3 2.9 3.6 4.4 4.9 5.2 4.4
Transp wind dir.NE  NE  E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   SE  SE
Transp wind spd.10  10  12  13  13  12  10  8   8   8   6   6

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (50-60 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 68.
Max humidity........99 percent.
Eye level winds.....Light winds.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
Mixing height.......300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 5 to 6 mph.

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........19  27  34  41  45  40  44  51  53  56  57  59
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............88  85  83  77  75  73  73  71  71  70  69  69
RH..............41  50  55  69  74  81  79  90  90  90  94  94
20 FT wind dir..SE  SE  E   SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..3   2   3   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
20 FT wind gust.8   7   6   6   6   6   6   5   5   5   5   5
Eye lvl wnd dir.SE  SE  E   SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S   S
Eye lvl wnd spd.2   1   2   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Eye lvl wnd gst.5   4   4   4   4   4   4   3   3   3   3   3
Mix hgt (kft)...2.8 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.3
Transp wind dir.SE  SE  E   E   SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.5   5   5   5   6   6   6   5   5   6   6   5

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 95.
Min humidity........37 percent.
Eye level winds.....Light winds.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
Mixing height.......7000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 3 to 5 mph shifting to the east 6 to
                    7 mph in the afternoon.

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........59  40  43  48  32  24  16  8   6   4   2   4
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............69  68  71  74  79  83  87  90  92  93  94  92
RH..............94  99  96  91  78  64  56  46  43  40  37  41
20 FT wind dir..SE  E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..1   1   1   1   1   1   2   2   2   3   3   3
20 FT wind gust.5   5   5   6   6   7   8   9   9   9   9   9
Eye lvl wnd dir.SE  E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
Eye lvl wnd spd.1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   2   2   2
Eye lvl wnd gst.3   3   3   4   4   4   5   5   5   5   5   5
Mix hgt (kft)...0.3 0.4 0.8 1.4 2.1 3.0 4.1 5.1 6.2 7.0 7.0 5.5
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   SE  SE  SE  SE  E   E   E   E   SE
Transp wind spd.5   3   3   3   3   5   5   6   6   6   6   7

$$
Forecaster...SLAUGHTER
Requested by...Matthew Pearson
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2514339.0/LCH
.DELDT 05/21/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL matthew_pearson@nps.gov,fulton_jeansonne@nps.gov