Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Lake Charles, LA

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FNUS74 KLCH 162052
FWSLCH

Spot Forecast for Starks Wildfire...OHSEP
National Weather Service Lake Charles LA
352 PM CDT Wed Oct 16 2024

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1600 CDT on October 16.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (337) 477-5285, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CDT THIS EVENING...
...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM CDT THIS AFTERNOON...

.DISCUSSION...
Strong northeast winds behind a departed cold front will persist
into this evening...expect sustained surface winds at times
exceeding 20 MPH with higher gusts. Combined with very low
relative humidity and already dry vegetation, a Red Flag Warning
continues into this evening for all of our Louisiana parishes.

Winds will relax tonight before picking up somewhat again for
Thursday. And although the dry airmass will be in place, with
minimum relative humidity values generally ranging from 25 percent
to 35 percent, transport winds should generally remain around 10
to 15 MPH with 20 foot winds around 10 MPH...fire danger will
remain elevated, but additional watches or warnings are not
expected.


.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-5 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 68.
Min humidity........25 percent.
Eye level winds.....Northeast winds 6 to 7 mph.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 8 to 9 mph.
Mixing height.......3900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 17 to 18 mph.

TIME (CDT)      4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........0   0
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............68  67
RH..............25  27
20 FT wind dir..NE  NE
20 FT wind spd..9   8
20 FT wind gust.22  22
Eye lvl wnd dir.NE  NE
Eye lvl wnd spd.7   6
Eye lvl wnd gst.13  13
Mix hgt (kft)...3.9 3.8
Transp wind dir.NE  NE
Transp wind spd.18  17

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Clear (0-5 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 44.
Max humidity........65 percent.
Eye level winds.....Northeast winds up to 5 mph. Gusts up to 20 mph
                    early in the evening.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 5 to 7 mph. Gusts up to 20 mph
                    early in the evening.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 10 to 14 mph.

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   1   2   3   2
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............66  62  59  57  55  53  53  51  51  49  47  46
RH..............29  35  40  45  47  48  48  50  52  54  58  60
20 FT wind dir..NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE
20 FT wind spd..7   6   6   6   6   6   5   5   5   5   5   5
20 FT wind gust.20  18  18  17  17  17  16  16  16  16  16  16
Eye lvl wnd dir.NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE
Eye lvl wnd spd.5   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4
Eye lvl wnd gst.12  11  11  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
Mix hgt (kft)...1.0 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
Transp wind dir.NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  E   E   E   E
Transp wind spd.13  13  12  14  12  12  10  10  10  10  12  12

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-5 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 70.
Min humidity........31 percent.
Eye level winds.....East winds around 4 mph decreasing to around 3
                    mph late in the afternoon.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 5 to 6 mph becoming light.
Mixing height.......4000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 8 to 14 mph.

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........2   3   1   1   2   2   1   2   2   0   1   0
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............45  46  46  51  58  62  64  67  68  69  70  69
RH..............65  60  63  56  45  41  40  34  33  32  31  33
20 FT wind dir..NE  NE  NE  E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
20 FT wind spd..5   5   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   5   3
20 FT wind gust.15  16  16  17  17  16  15  14  14  13  13  12
Eye lvl wnd dir.NE  NE  NE  E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
Eye lvl wnd spd.4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   3
Eye lvl wnd gst.9   10  10  10  10  10  9   8   8   8   8   7
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.4 0.5 0.9 1.4 2.1 2.9 3.3 3.8 4.0 4.0 3.6
Transp wind dir.E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
Transp wind spd.12  12  12  14  13  12  10  8   9   9   9   9

$$
Forecaster...DENSON
Requested by...Jason Lionberger
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2424326.0/LCH
.DELDT 10/16/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL jlionberger@calcasieu.gov