159
FXUS64 KLCH 101113
AFDLCH

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Lake Charles LA
513 AM CST Mon Nov 10 2025

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Well below normal temperatures will last into Tuesday. Portions
  of the region will likely receive their first freeze.

- Hazardous marine conditions will continue into Monday evening.

- A Red Flag Warning is in place today given elevated winds, low
  RH, and antecedent dry conditions making dry fuels easily
  ignitable.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Tonight through Wednesday night)
Issued at 511 AM CST Mon Nov 10 2025

Canadian high pressure stretches from the gulf coast, across the
central sections of the CONUS, and into south central Canada. Well
below normal temperatures have descended into the eastern half of
the CONUS with freeze warnings posted from central Texas across
the Florida Panhandle and into the coast of the Carolinas.

Cold temperatures will continue to advect into the area tonight
on north winds. A light freeze will be possible from roughly
Woodville, to Jasper, to Alexandria at sunrise this morning.
Dewpoints will fall into the mid teens to low 20s Monday as temps
struggle to warm into the low 50s to around 60. While temps will
be chilly, moderate north winds and a very dry airmass will make
fire weather a concern.

The coldest temperatures will be Tuesday morning with much of the
inland area falling to or below freezing, but high pressure will
quickly exit east from Tuesday into Wednesday. Temperatures and
moisture will increase into mid week with lows Wednesday morning
10 to 20 degrees higher than the previous 24 hours.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Thursday through next Sunday)
Issued at 511 AM CST Mon Nov 10 2025

The return flow will be in full swing by Thursday. Highs will be
back in the upper 70s to low 80s or around 5 degrees above climo
norms. The warm and humid conditions will last through the first
half of the weekend until another cold front enters the region
late Saturday. Rain chances will increase Saturday and remain
elevated until the front departs Sunday. Temperatures will cool
back down to around climo norms for Monday.

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 511 AM CST Mon Nov 10 2025

Breezy winds ongoing this morning will begin to gust to around 20
kts post-sunrise through the late afternoon. By sunset this
evening winds will finally begin to relax, gradually falling
through the evening hours to eventually becoming calm area-wide
overnight. Apart from winds, no concerns expected through the
forecast period and VFR conditions prevail.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AEX  53  29  62  45 /   0   0   0   0
LCH  57  35  65  55 /   0   0   0   0
LFT  54  32  62  49 /   0   0   0   0
BPT  59  38  68  56 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...Freeze Warning until 9 AM CST this morning for LAZ027-028.

     Red Flag Warning from 9 AM this morning to 7 PM CST this evening
     for LAZ027>033-044-045-055-073-074-141>143-152>154-241>243-
     252>254.

     Freeze Watch from this evening through Tuesday morning for
     LAZ027>033-044-045-055-141>143-153-154.

TX...Freeze Warning until 9 AM CST this morning for TXZ180-259-260.

     Red Flag Warning from 9 AM this morning to 7 PM CST this evening
     for TXZ180-201-259>262-515-516-615-616.

     Freeze Watch from this evening through Tuesday morning for
     TXZ180-201-259>262-516.

GM...Small Craft Advisory until 6 AM CST early this morning for
     GMZ430-432.

     Low Water Advisory from 10 AM this morning to 3 PM CST this
     afternoon for GMZ430-432.

     Small Craft Advisory until 3 PM CST this afternoon for GMZ435-
     436.

     Gale Warning until 6 AM CST early this morning for GMZ450-452-
     455-470-472-475.

     Small Craft Advisory until 3 PM CST this afternoon for GMZ450-
     470.

     Small Craft Advisory until 9 PM CST this evening for GMZ452-455-
     472-475.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...05
LONG TERM....05
AVIATION...17