Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Lake Charles, LA
Issued by NWS Lake Charles, LA
172 FXUS64 KLCH 231219 AFDLCH Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Lake Charles LA 619 AM CST Sun Nov 23 2025 ...New AVIATION... .KEY MESSAGES... - Slightly cooler and drier conditions will continue Sunday with a quick warm up Monday. - A stronger cold front is expected on Tuesday with high rain chances late Monday into Tuesday. - Cooler and more seasonable temperatures is expected for Thanksgiving. && .SHORT TERM... (Today through Tuesday night) Issued at 615 AM CST Sun Nov 23 2025 The weak frontal boundary has cleared the area early this morning with dewpoints in the 50s everywhere but the immediate coastline. High pressure building into the region is producing clear skies and calm winds across much of the region which will be supportive of a few areas of patchy fog in areas that saw earlier rain. Any fog that manages to develop will dissipate by 8 AM. The remainder of the day will be very pleasant with lower humidity and afternoon highs in the low to mid 70s. High pressure will slide quickly across the region Sunday turning winds back southeasterly by Sunday night into Monday. This will result in a noticeable increase in humidity Monday ahead of a stronger cold front that will approach the area late Monday into early Tuesday. Jones && .LONG TERM... (Wednesday through Sunday) Issued at 615 AM CST Sun Nov 23 2025 Widespread showers and thunderstorms will develop along and ahead of a passing cold front Monday night into Tuesday morning. The significant moisture pooling ahead of the boundary will support some heavy rain producing storms that could lead to some nuisance street flooding in a few locations. While the most supportive severe weather parameters will remain across northeast Texas, a couple of borderline severe storms will be possible prior to the fropa. Cooler temperatures on Wednesday will be reinforced by a secondary, dry frontal boundary Wednesday evening. This will push overnight lows down into the upper 30s to mid 40s Thanksgiving morning with afternoon highs in the low to mid 60s beneath abundant sunshine. The airmass will begin to moderate Friday afternoon as high pressure slides east of the region and winds turn back out of the southeast. Jones && .AVIATION... (12Z TAFS) Issued at 615 AM CST Sun Nov 23 2025 VFR conditions expected to persist through this evening across all TAF sites. Light winds will be out of the north, becoming variable late in the afternoon. Winds will become easterly overnight into Monday. 30 && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... AEX 72 51 79 62 / 0 0 40 80 LCH 76 58 80 67 / 0 0 40 70 LFT 76 57 80 67 / 0 0 30 60 BPT 76 61 81 66 / 0 10 50 70 && .LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... LA...None. TX...None. GM...None. && $$ SHORT TERM...66 LONG TERM....66 AVIATION...30