Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Lake Charles, LA

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933
FXUS64 KLCH 262321
AFDLCH

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Lake Charles LA
621 PM CDT Sun Jul 26 2026

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Dangerous heat this week with temperatures in the upper 90s to
  100s and heat indices of 106-110F. Heat Advisories are likely
  at times next week.

- Later in the week, upper ridging begins to lose its control
  overhead, allowing temps to moderate slightly and rain chances
  to return to the forecast


&&

.DISCUSSION...
(This evening through next Saturday)
Issued at 1217 PM CDT Sun Jul 26 2026

Hot weather will continue to be the main concern across the
region. Aloft, ridging is centered over the Four Corners region
and extends to the Gulf Coast. This is a fairly strong ridge for
this July, with 500 mb heights over the CWA above the
climatological 90th percentile. Persistent sinking air associated
with this ridge will keep our skies clear and rain chances below
10%. At the surface, high pressure is located in the eastern Gulf,
creating continuous but weak onshore flow. Dew points will slowly
increase, then plateau into the mid-70s inland and the upper 70s
along the coast. With the clear skies daytime heating will help
mix down some of the dry air limiting dew points. Temperatures
will also steadily increase, with highs in the upper 90s and close
to triple digits for northern parts of the CWA. Heat index values
will approach the +108 criteria for a Heat Advisory each day
during the work week, with the hottest days of the week looking
like Tuesday and Wednesday. Even without heat advisories, make
sure to stay hydrated and take plenty of breaks from the heat.

This pattern will remain stagnant for the next several days with
little change to our synoptic setup. We will start to see the
ridge begin to weaken and rebuild in the desert southwest. This
will allow for troughs to rotate around the ridge increasing our
rain chances for the end of the week. With the increase in rains
temperatures will decrease slightly back down into the mid 90s.

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 619 PM CDT Sun Jul 26 2026

A few clouds near 5000ft will continue to stream across the region
as we head towards sunset, giving way to mostly clear skies
overnight. Light to moderate SW winds will become light to near
calm overnight, which may allow for some patchy fog to develop at
AEX. Otherwise, VFR conditions prevail.


&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 1217 PM CDT Sun Jul 26 2026

Light onshore winds and calm seas will continue for the next five
days. Rain chances will return on Thursday.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 1217 PM CDT Sun Jul 26 2026

Hot and dry weather will continue well into the work week. Rain
chances will be near zero until Thursday. MinRH will be between 40
and 60 percent through next Friday with RH recovery around 90%.

&&

.LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...None.
TX...None.
GM...None.
&&

$$

PUBLIC/FIRE/MARINE...14
AVIATION...17