Probability of Exceed
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
Versions:
1
908
FXUS46 KWNC 211231
POELCF
COOLING DEGREE DAYS PROB. OF EXCEEDENCE OUTLOOKS - DIVISIONS
NWS CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
830 AM THU 21 AUG 2025
VALID: FEBRUARY - APRIL 2026
...COOLING DEGREE DAYS IN FAHRENHEIT 65F BASIS...
#. DIVISION NAME CLIM LINE1
98 95 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 5 2 LINE2
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1. N NEW ENGLAND 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1
2. NE NEW ENGLAND 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2
3. N NEW YORK 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 4
4. S NEW ENGLAND 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 2 4
5. E GRT LAKES 1
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 3 4 6 8
6. OHIO 5
0 0 0 0 0 0 4 7 9 11 15 20 25
7. MID-ATL COAST 3
0 0 0 0 0 0 2 4 6 10 15 19 24
8. N APPALACHNS 1
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 5 8 11
9. CENT APPALACHNS 5
0 0 0 0 2 4 5 7 8 10 14 18 22
10. COASTL VIRG 17
0 1 3 9 14 20 18 23 27 33 41 48 57
11. S APPALACHNS 13
0 0 1 6 11 15 15 19 21 24 29 34 40
12. COASTL CAROLNAS 68
47 50 52 57 62 68 76 84 93 104 121 137 157
13. INTERIOR CAROLNAS 45
29 32 34 38 42 45 49 53 58 65 78 90 104
14. UPPER MICH 1
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 3 3 5
15. N MINN 2
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 3 4 6 7
16. E NORTH DAK 3
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 4 5 8 10 13
17. W NORTH DAK 2
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 4 3 4 7 13
18. E MONT 3
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 7 8 10 12 16
19. N-CENT MONT 1
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4 5 6 7
20. S-CENT MONT 1
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 9 9 10
21. W MONT 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
22. N-CENT MICH 1
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 5 8 10
23. S MICH 2
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 5 10 15 21
24. E-CENT ILL 8
0 0 0 0 0 4 6 9 12 16 23 32 43
25. N ILL 2
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 4 8 15 23
26. N WISC 2
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 5 7 11 16
27. SE MINN 4
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 6 7 11 16 22
28. E SOUTH DAK 5
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 8 9 12 16 22
29. CENT SOUTH DAK 6
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4 7 12 18 23 25
30. W SOUTH DAK 4
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6 9 13 16 20
31. NE WYOMING 1
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 7 8
32. NW WYOMING 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 3 4
33. E IOWA 7
0 0 0 0 0 0 3 5 7 11 18 26 35
34. NW IOWA 8
0 0 0 0 0 0 4 7 9 12 19 26 36
35. CENT NEBRASKA 3
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 8 13 17 24
36. S NEBRASKA 13
0 0 0 0 1 6 7 13 17 23 32 40 48
37. W NEBR/CHEYENE 3
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 25 26 26
38. E KENTUCKY 16
0 0 0 2 7 12 15 22 25 29 36 42 51
39. W KENTUCKY 26
0 1 5 13 22 30 26 31 36 42 53 63 75
40. SE MISSOURI 28
11 13 14 17 20 23 27 31 36 42 54 65 77
41. NE MISSOURI 18
0 0 0 1 8 14 14 20 24 31 41 51 63
42. NW MISSOURI 21
0 0 2 7 14 20 17 22 28 35 47 58 71
43. E KANSAS 33
13 15 16 19 23 26 30 34 40 47 60 72 87
44. CENT KANSAS 25
0 0 3 9 15 22 20 27 32 39 50 61 73
45. W KANSAS 16
0 0 0 3 8 12 13 18 22 27 35 41 50
46. NE COLO 1
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4 4 4 5 5
47. SE COLO 1
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 5 6
48. W COLO 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
49. SW WYOMING 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
50. CENT TENN 38
28 29 30 31 33 35 38 42 46 53 63 73 86
51. W TENN 66
34 39 43 50 55 60 66 72 80 90 107 123 142
52. OZARK MOUNTNS 46
22 24 27 31 35 38 43 49 56 64 77 88 103
53. CENT OKLAHOMA 58
26 30 34 40 45 52 58 65 73 82 97 111 127
54. TX W OF ABILENE 90
52 58 64 72 78 85 91 98 107 118 135 151 170
55. N HI PLAINS TX 30
0 1 7 18 29 39 32 38 42 47 56 63 73
56. N GEORGIA 70
47 50 53 58 62 67 74 83 92 104 123 139 160
57. N ALABAMA 82
59 62 66 71 76 81 88 96 105 117 134 150 169
58. CENT MISSISSIPPI 126
83 91 99 110 119 127 135 144 154 167 189 209 233
59. S ARKANSAS 102
59 64 70 77 84 92 102 112 123 137 158 176 199
60. E TX 145
88 99 108 121 131 141 150 161 173 189 213 234 260
61. DALLAS REG TX 137
71 82 91 106 119 130 140 152 165 182 207 229 255
62. SAN ANTONIO REG TX 280
169 192 214 242 265 285 304 325 348 377 418 455 498
63. FAR S TX 465
297 333 367 411 445 474 503 533 565 605 661 709 765
64. W-CENT TX 171
96 111 124 142 156 168 181 195 210 230 258 282 311
65. W TX PANHANDLE 103
55 68 81 97 111 123 134 147 161 177 201 221 246
66. JAXONVIL FLA REG 199
147 158 168 181 195 207 220 234 249 269 300 328 361
67. CENT FLA 414
322 351 376 408 432 453 474 497 521 552 598 638 687
68. S FLA 554
427 464 498 543 577 607 637 668 702 744 803 854 915
69. FLA PANHANDLE 169
122 132 141 154 164 174 184 197 212 230 257 282 313
70. COASTL LOUISIANA 211
149 162 174 190 206 221 235 250 267 289 322 351 385
71. COASTL TX NR HOUST 226
148 165 182 207 225 242 258 275 295 319 354 383 419
72. NW WASH 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4 5
73. PENDELTON REG OREG 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 2 2
74. CENT WASH 3
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 9 10 11 13 14
75. SEATTLE REG WASH 2
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 27
76. COASTL WASH 3
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
77. E IDAHO 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 2
78. IDAHO CENT MOUNTNS 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
79. SW IDAHO 3
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 12 14 15 17
80. E OREG 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
81. OREG COASTL VALLEY 1
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 6 7
82. OREG COAST 1
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
83. NE UTAH 1
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 3 4 5 6
84. SE UTAH 6
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 17 18 19 20 22 24
85. W UTAH 2
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 9 10 11 13
86. NE NEVADA 1
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 22 22
87. NW NEVADA 1
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6 7 8 10
88. SACRMNTO REG CALIF 12
0 0 0 0 0 5 13 20 23 26 31 36 41
89. N CALIF COAST 4
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 18 20 21 23
90. CENT NEVADA 3
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 8 9 10 12 13 15
91. FRESNO REG CALIF 31
0 0 0 4 19 34 35 47 53 61 72 82 94
92. CENT CALIF COAST 8
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 15 17 21 25 28 33
93. S CALIF COAST 34
0 0 3 19 32 46 39 47 53 62 76 89 109
94. SE CALIF 139
57 71 86 106 121 135 148 163 179 199 228 253 283
95. LAS VEGAS NEV REG 108
77 89 99 113 124 134 143 153 164 178 199 217 239
96. SW ARIZONA 197
139 156 172 194 210 224 238 253 270 289 318 343 371
97. NE ARIZONA 1
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6 7 8 9
98. SE ARIZONA 51
32 39 47 57 64 71 78 86 95 106 123 139 158
99. N NEW MEX 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1
100. E NEW MEX 21
0 0 5 14 23 31 26 31 33 36 40 45 50
101. CENT NEW MEX 3
0 0 0 0 1 3 4 6 6 7 8 9 10
102. S NEW MEX 22
0 0 0 7 21 33 35 47 51 56 64 70 76
$$