Probability of Exceed
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
Versions:
1
602
FXUS43 KWNC 201331
POELCC
COOLING DEGREE DAYS PROB. OF EXCEEDENCE OUTLOOKS - DIVISIONS
NWS CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
830 AM THU 20 NOV 2025
VALID: FEBRUARY - APRIL 2026
...COOLING DEGREE DAYS IN FAHRENHEIT 65F BASIS...
#. DIVISION NAME CLIM LINE1
98 95 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 5 2 LINE2
________________________________________________________________
1. N NEW ENGLAND 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1
2. NE NEW ENGLAND 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3
3. N NEW YORK 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 4
4. S NEW ENGLAND 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 3 5
5. E GRT LAKES 1
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 3 5 6 8
6. OHIO 5
0 0 0 0 0 1 4 7 9 11 16 20 25
7. MID-ATL COAST 3
0 0 0 0 0 0 3 5 8 12 17 21 27
8. N APPALACHNS 1
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4 7 9 12
9. CENT APPALACHNS 5
0 0 0 1 2 4 5 8 9 11 16 19 24
10. COASTL VIRG 17
0 1 4 10 16 22 19 25 30 36 44 51 60
11. S APPALACHNS 13
0 0 1 6 11 17 16 20 22 25 31 36 42
12. COASTL CAROLNAS 68
49 52 55 60 67 75 82 90 99 111 129 145 164
13. INTERIOR CAROLNAS 45
31 34 37 41 44 48 52 56 62 69 82 93 106
14. UPPER MICH 1
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 5 5
15. N MINN 2
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4 5 6 8
16. E NORTH DAK 3
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 4 6 8 11
17. W NORTH DAK 2
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4 4 3 3 4 9
18. E MONT 3
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 7 7 9 10 12
19. N-CENT MONT 1
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 4 4 5
20. S-CENT MONT 1
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 8 8 9
21. W MONT 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
22. N-CENT MICH 1
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 5 8 10
23. S MICH 2
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 5 10 15 21
24. E-CENT ILL 8
0 0 0 0 0 4 6 9 12 16 23 32 43
25. N ILL 2
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 4 8 15 23
26. N WISC 2
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 5 6 10 15
27. SE MINN 4
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 6 7 10 14 20
28. E SOUTH DAK 5
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 7 8 10 15 21
29. CENT SOUTH DAK 6
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4 5 10 16 21 24
30. W SOUTH DAK 4
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 7 10 14 17
31. NE WYOMING 1
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 9 10
32. NW WYOMING 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6 6
33. E IOWA 7
0 0 0 0 0 0 3 5 7 9 15 22 30
34. NW IOWA 8
0 0 0 0 0 0 3 6 8 10 15 21 29
35. CENT NEBRASKA 3
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4 6 11 15 20
36. S NEBRASKA 13
0 0 0 0 1 6 7 13 17 23 32 40 48
37. W NEBR/CHEYENE 3
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 25 26 26
38. E KENTUCKY 16
0 0 0 2 7 13 15 23 26 30 36 43 51
39. W KENTUCKY 26
0 1 5 13 22 30 26 31 36 42 53 63 75
40. SE MISSOURI 28
11 13 14 17 20 23 27 31 36 42 54 65 77
41. NE MISSOURI 18
0 0 0 1 8 14 14 20 24 31 41 51 63
42. NW MISSOURI 21
0 0 2 7 14 20 17 22 28 35 47 58 71
43. E KANSAS 33
13 15 16 19 23 26 30 34 40 47 60 72 87
44. CENT KANSAS 25
0 0 3 9 15 22 20 27 32 39 50 61 73
45. W KANSAS 16
0 0 0 3 8 12 13 18 22 27 35 41 50
46. NE COLO 1
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4 4 4 5 5
47. SE COLO 1
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 5 6
48. W COLO 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
49. SW WYOMING 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
50. CENT TENN 38
28 29 30 31 33 35 38 42 46 52 62 72 84
51. W TENN 66
34 39 43 50 55 60 66 72 80 90 107 123 142
52. OZARK MOUNTNS 46
22 24 27 31 35 38 43 49 56 64 77 88 103
53. CENT OKLAHOMA 58
26 30 34 40 45 52 58 65 73 82 97 111 127
54. TX W OF ABILENE 90
51 57 64 72 79 85 92 99 108 120 137 153 174
55. N HI PLAINS TX 30
0 1 8 19 30 41 34 39 43 49 58 66 77
56. N GEORGIA 70
49 52 55 61 66 72 80 88 98 110 128 145 166
57. N ALABAMA 82
60 63 67 73 78 83 91 100 109 121 139 156 177
58. CENT MISSISSIPPI 126
85 93 101 112 121 129 137 146 156 170 192 211 235
59. S ARKANSAS 102
60 65 70 78 85 93 102 112 123 137 157 174 197
60. E TX 145
89 99 109 121 132 141 150 160 172 188 211 233 258
61. DALLAS REG TX 137
73 83 93 108 120 130 141 152 165 181 205 225 251
62. SAN ANTONIO REG TX 280
173 196 218 246 268 287 307 327 350 378 419 454 496
63. FAR S TX 465
305 341 375 419 452 482 509 539 571 610 665 712 767
64. W-CENT TX 171
100 114 128 146 160 173 185 200 215 234 262 287 317
65. W TX PANHANDLE 103
62 76 89 106 119 131 142 155 168 184 207 228 252
66. JAXONVIL FLA REG 199
155 166 177 195 210 224 238 253 270 292 326 355 390
67. CENT FLA 414
332 364 392 429 457 482 507 534 563 600 656 705 764
68. S FLA 554
450 491 528 578 616 649 682 717 754 800 866 922 988
69. FLA PANHANDLE 169
128 138 148 163 175 187 200 214 230 251 282 310 345
70. COASTL LOUISIANA 211
153 166 179 198 214 229 244 260 277 300 335 364 399
71. COASTL TX NR HOUST 226
149 166 184 208 227 244 261 278 298 322 357 388 424
72. NW WASH 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4 4
73. PENDELTON REG OREG 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 2
74. CENT WASH 3
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 9 10 11 12 14
75. SEATTLE REG WASH 2
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 26
76. COASTL WASH 3
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
77. E IDAHO 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 2
78. IDAHO CENT MOUNTNS 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
79. SW IDAHO 3
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 12 14 15 17
80. E OREG 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
81. OREG COASTL VALLEY 1
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 6 7
82. OREG COAST 1
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
83. NE UTAH 1
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 3 4 5 6
84. SE UTAH 6
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 15 16 18 19 21 23
85. W UTAH 2
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 9 10 11 13
86. NE NEVADA 1
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 22 22
87. NW NEVADA 1
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6 7 8 10
88. SACRMNTO REG CALIF 12
0 0 0 0 0 6 14 21 24 27 31 35 40
89. N CALIF COAST 4
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 19 20 21 23
90. CENT NEVADA 3
0 0 0 0 0 0 4 7 8 9 11 12 14
91. FRESNO REG CALIF 31
0 0 0 7 22 38 39 52 58 67 77 87 99
92. CENT CALIF COAST 8
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 17 20 23 27 30 35
93. S CALIF COAST 34
0 0 11 27 42 58 46 52 59 69 85 101 121
94. SE CALIF 139
69 85 100 121 137 151 165 180 197 217 246 272 303
95. LAS VEGAS NEV REG 108
80 92 103 117 128 138 148 159 170 185 206 225 248
96. SW ARIZONA 197
143 160 177 198 215 229 243 258 275 295 323 348 377
97. NE ARIZONA 1
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6 7 8 9
98. SE ARIZONA 51
33 40 48 58 66 73 80 88 96 108 125 140 159
99. N NEW MEX 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1
100. E NEW MEX 21
0 1 6 15 24 32 27 32 35 38 42 46 52
101. CENT NEW MEX 3
0 0 0 0 1 3 4 6 7 7 8 9 10
102. S NEW MEX 22
0 0 0 8 21 34 36 49 53 58 66 72 78
$$