Probability of Exceed
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
Versions:
1
650
FXUS42 KWNC 201331
POELCB
COOLING DEGREE DAYS PROB. OF EXCEEDENCE OUTLOOKS - DIVISIONS
NWS CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
830 AM THU 20 NOV 2025
VALID: JANUARY - MARCH 2026
...COOLING DEGREE DAYS IN FAHRENHEIT 65F BASIS...
#. DIVISION NAME CLIM LINE1
98 95 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 5 2 LINE2
________________________________________________________________
1. N NEW ENGLAND 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2. NE NEW ENGLAND 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
3. N NEW YORK 1
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
4. S NEW ENGLAND 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
5. E GRT LAKES 1
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4 4 5
6. OHIO 1
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4 4 4 4
7. MID-ATL COAST 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 3 4
8. N APPALACHNS 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 3
9. CENT APPALACHNS 2
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 4 4 5 5 5
10. COASTL VIRG 6
0 0 0 0 4 7 8 11 11 12 12 13 14
11. S APPALACHNS 4
0 0 0 0 0 3 5 8 8 9 10 11 12
12. COASTL CAROLNAS 35
20 25 29 34 38 41 44 45 46 47 50 54 59
13. INTERIOR CAROLNAS 18
7 9 12 16 19 21 22 24 25 27 30 33 36
14. UPPER MICH 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 5
15. N MINN 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
16. E NORTH DAK 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
17. W NORTH DAK 1
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 7 7
18. E MONT 1
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 7 7 7
19. N-CENT MONT 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
20. S-CENT MONT 1
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4 4 4
21. W MONT 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
22. N-CENT MICH 1
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 13 13
23. S MICH 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 5
24. E-CENT ILL 1
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6 6 6 7
25. N ILL 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4 4
26. N WISC 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4 4
27. SE MINN 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 6
28. E SOUTH DAK 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4 5
29. CENT SOUTH DAK 1
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 14 13 13
30. W SOUTH DAK 1
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6 6 7
31. NE WYOMING 1
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
32. NW WYOMING 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
33. E IOWA 1
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6 6 6 6
34. NW IOWA 2
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 9 9 9 9
35. CENT NEBRASKA 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4 4 3
36. S NEBRASKA 2
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 5 6 5 7
37. W NEBR/CHEYENE 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4
38. E KENTUCKY 6
0 0 0 0 0 0 6 11 12 13 13 13 14
39. W KENTUCKY 8
0 0 0 0 1 7 10 14 14 15 15 17 21
40. SE MISSOURI 6
0 0 0 0 0 4 8 12 13 14 15 17 21
41. NE MISSOURI 3
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 8 8 8 8 9 11
42. NW MISSOURI 4
0 0 0 0 0 0 5 7 8 8 10 11 14
43. E KANSAS 8
0 0 0 0 1 6 9 13 15 16 18 20 24
44. CENT KANSAS 6
0 0 0 0 0 0 7 11 12 13 14 15 17
45. W KANSAS 3
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6 7 8 8 9 11
46. NE COLO 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2
47. SE COLO 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
48. W COLO 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
49. SW WYOMING 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
50. CENT TENN 18
0 1 5 14 22 29 21 22 24 26 27 28 31
51. W TENN 22
0 1 6 14 22 30 24 27 30 33 39 45 52
52. OZARK MOUNTNS 12
0 0 0 0 4 11 13 19 21 24 27 30 35
53. CENT OKLAHOMA 14
0 0 0 3 10 17 17 23 25 28 32 36 43
54. TX W OF ABILENE 23
0 0 0 4 16 29 29 38 43 49 57 63 70
55. N HI PLAINS TX 5
0 0 0 0 0 0 7 11 12 13 15 17 20
56. N GEORGIA 34
16 21 26 31 35 38 41 44 46 48 51 55 61
57. N ALABAMA 42
22 27 33 39 44 48 51 55 57 60 64 68 75
58. CENT MISSISSIPPI 61
30 37 44 53 60 65 70 75 81 88 99 109 123
59. S ARKANSAS 40
12 16 22 30 36 41 46 51 54 59 65 72 81
60. E TX 60
22 29 36 44 52 59 65 72 80 90 105 118 135
61. DALLAS REG TX 45
0 0 5 26 46 64 52 59 66 74 87 99 117
62. SAN ANTONIO REG TX 124
57 70 82 100 115 128 141 156 172 193 224 252 287
63. FAR S TX 227
121 146 167 193 215 236 256 278 303 334 381 422 471
64. W-CENT TX 52
0 1 14 37 58 78 60 66 76 87 104 118 136
65. W TX PANHANDLE 16
0 0 0 0 7 19 24 36 41 47 58 69 83
66. JAXONVIL FLA REG 119
74 86 97 112 123 130 137 144 152 161 174 187 207
67. CENT FLA 290
200 224 245 272 292 310 327 346 367 391 425 455 492
68. S FLA 421
301 332 361 399 427 452 476 502 530 565 616 660 713
69. FLA PANHANDLE 96
50 62 73 86 96 105 114 121 129 138 153 167 187
70. COASTL LOUISIANA 112
57 71 84 101 114 124 133 143 153 166 185 207 236
71. COASTL TX NR HOUST 105
55 66 77 92 104 114 124 135 148 164 191 216 247
72. NW WASH 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
73. PENDELTON REG OREG 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 3
74. CENT WASH 1
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 5 6
75. SEATTLE REG WASH 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
76. COASTL WASH 2
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
77. E IDAHO 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
78. IDAHO CENT MOUNTNS 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
79. SW IDAHO 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
80. E OREG 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
81. OREG COASTL VALLEY 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2
82. OREG COAST 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
83. NE UTAH 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 3
84. SE UTAH 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4
85. W UTAH 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
86. NE NEVADA 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
87. NW NEVADA 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3
88. SACRMNTO REG CALIF 2
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 11 13 15 18
89. N CALIF COAST 1
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 24 24
90. CENT NEVADA 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 6
91. FRESNO REG CALIF 7
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 15 17 20 25 30 36
92. CENT CALIF COAST 5
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 20 21 22 26
93. S CALIF COAST 17
0 0 0 3 13 23 24 31 34 39 46 53 61
94. SE CALIF 45
0 0 0 13 32 50 51 68 75 85 99 112 127
95. LAS VEGAS NEV REG 26
0 0 4 20 34 49 43 53 58 64 74 82 92
96. SW ARIZONA 71
43 52 61 72 82 89 97 104 113 123 138 151 167
97. NE ARIZONA 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
98. SE ARIZONA 13
0 0 0 0 0 10 21 34 36 40 46 53 61
99. N NEW MEX 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
100. E NEW MEX 2
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 8 9 12 14 16
101. CENT NEW MEX 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 2 3
102. S NEW MEX 1
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 3 5 7 11
$$