Probability of Exceed
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
Versions:
1
902
FXUS42 KWNC 211231
POELCB
COOLING DEGREE DAYS PROB. OF EXCEEDENCE OUTLOOKS - DIVISIONS
NWS CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
830 AM THU 21 AUG 2025
VALID: OCTOBER - DECEMBER 2025
...COOLING DEGREE DAYS IN FAHRENHEIT 65F BASIS...
#. DIVISION NAME CLIM LINE1
98 95 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 5 2 LINE2
________________________________________________________________
1. N NEW ENGLAND 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1
2. NE NEW ENGLAND 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
3. N NEW YORK 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 4 4
4. S NEW ENGLAND 2
0 0 0 0 0 1 4 6 7 8 10 12 13
5. E GRT LAKES 3
0 0 0 0 1 3 4 6 7 8 10 11 14
6. OHIO 11
0 0 0 5 10 14 13 16 18 20 22 24 27
7. MID-ATL COAST 16
7 9 11 14 17 19 22 24 27 30 36 41 46
8. N APPALACHNS 4
0 0 0 0 0 1 5 8 9 10 11 13 15
9. CENT APPALACHNS 10
0 0 1 4 8 11 11 15 16 18 21 24 29
10. COASTL VIRG 39
19 23 27 32 37 41 46 51 56 63 74 83 95
11. S APPALACHNS 22
0 1 5 14 21 29 25 30 34 38 45 51 58
12. COASTL CAROLNAS 102
61 69 78 90 100 109 118 127 138 152 173 192 215
13. INTERIOR CAROLNAS 57
30 36 41 48 54 59 65 71 78 87 100 112 127
14. UPPER MICH 1
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 5 5 5
15. N MINN 1
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4 4 4
16. E NORTH DAK 1
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 4 5 6 7
17. W NORTH DAK 1
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 11 12
18. E MONT 1
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4 5 7
19. N-CENT MONT 1
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 2 4
20. S-CENT MONT 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 2 3
21. W MONT 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
22. N-CENT MICH 3
0 0 0 0 0 2 4 7 7 8 9 9 10
23. S MICH 8
0 0 0 0 3 8 10 14 16 18 20 23 25
24. E-CENT ILL 18
0 0 1 9 16 23 21 27 29 32 37 40 46
25. N ILL 10
0 0 0 3 8 12 13 17 18 20 21 23 24
26. N WISC 3
0 0 0 0 0 0 3 6 6 7 7 7 7
27. SE MINN 3
0 0 0 0 0 1 4 6 7 8 10 11 13
28. E SOUTH DAK 3
0 0 0 0 0 0 3 5 6 7 9 11 13
29. CENT SOUTH DAK 3
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6 7 9 12 15 19
30. W SOUTH DAK 2
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 9 12 16 19
31. NE WYOMING 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 2 3
32. NW WYOMING 2
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 18 19 19
33. E IOWA 12
0 0 1 8 14 20 15 17 19 21 24 25 27
34. NW IOWA 6
0 0 0 0 1 5 7 11 13 15 19 23 27
35. CENT NEBRASKA 3
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 9 10 14 19 23 28
36. S NEBRASKA 13
0 0 0 3 9 14 15 21 24 28 33 38 45
37. W NEBR/CHEYENE 1
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 12 13
38. E KENTUCKY 24
0 0 3 11 20 29 26 32 36 41 48 56 64
39. W KENTUCKY 34
0 1 9 22 34 46 38 44 48 54 63 70 79
40. SE MISSOURI 30
0 0 9 23 36 48 38 43 47 53 61 67 73
41. NE MISSOURI 24
0 0 1 10 19 28 27 36 39 43 48 54 61
42. NW MISSOURI 29
0 1 8 20 31 42 35 42 45 50 56 62 70
43. E KANSAS 38
0 1 11 28 44 59 48 55 61 68 80 89 99
44. CENT KANSAS 29
0 0 4 16 27 38 35 45 51 58 69 79 91
45. W KANSAS 16
0 0 1 8 15 22 21 26 31 37 45 52 60
46. NE COLO 2
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6 6 7 8 9 10
47. SE COLO 1
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 12 13 15
48. W COLO 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
49. SW WYOMING 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
50. CENT TENN 46
25 28 31 35 40 44 49 55 63 72 86 99 116
51. W TENN 68
32 40 47 57 65 71 78 85 93 103 119 132 146
52. OZARK MOUNTNS 48
0 2 14 34 53 71 59 67 73 80 92 102 116
53. CENT OKLAHOMA 61
36 42 48 56 62 68 75 81 88 97 110 122 137
54. TX W OF ABILENE 81
0 6 25 58 88 118 105 128 137 149 166 182 200
55. N HI PLAINS TX 26
0 0 0 15 29 42 38 50 56 64 75 86 98
56. N GEORGIA 83
51 57 63 72 79 85 92 100 109 120 137 153 173
57. N ALABAMA 96
57 65 73 84 93 102 110 119 129 143 162 180 202
58. CENT MISSISSIPPI 120
74 83 93 106 117 127 137 148 160 175 199 219 245
59. S ARKANSAS 96
59 68 76 88 97 106 113 121 129 140 157 172 191
60. E TX 136
90 103 114 129 141 152 162 173 186 201 224 243 267
61. DALLAS REG TX 136
96 109 122 136 147 156 165 175 186 199 218 234 254
62. SAN ANTONIO REG TX 278
215 235 255 279 298 314 329 346 363 385 415 440 471
63. FAR S TX 383
305 331 355 386 409 429 447 467 488 513 548 578 613
64. W-CENT TX 143
105 118 131 147 159 170 180 191 202 216 236 253 272
65. W TX PANHANDLE 82
67 79 90 104 115 124 134 143 154 166 185 200 219
66. JAXONVIL FLA REG 236
157 174 191 214 233 250 267 285 305 330 366 398 435
67. CENT FLA 527
413 448 479 520 551 578 604 632 663 700 754 799 853
68. S FLA 737
595 640 679 730 767 800 831 863 898 939 997 1046 1104
69. FLA PANHANDLE 185
123 135 148 165 179 192 205 220 238 261 293 322 355
70. COASTL LOUISIANA 222
154 170 186 207 224 240 255 270 288 309 340 366 397
71. COASTL TX NR HOUST 245
184 203 221 245 263 279 294 310 327 349 379 405 434
72. NW WASH 1
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 9 9
73. PENDELTON REG OREG 1
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4 4 5 5
74. CENT WASH 2
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4 4 5 6 7
75. SEATTLE REG WASH 1
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 5
76. COASTL WASH 1
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 12
77. E IDAHO 1
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4 4 4
78. IDAHO CENT MOUNTNS 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
79. SW IDAHO 1
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 6 6
80. E OREG 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 3
81. OREG COASTL VALLEY 2
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 8 9 10
82. OREG COAST 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4
83. NE UTAH 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 2 3 4
84. SE UTAH 4
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 15 17 20 24 28
85. W UTAH 1
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 7 8 9
86. NE NEVADA 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
87. NW NEVADA 2
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 8 9 10 12
88. SACRMNTO REG CALIF 18
0 0 0 2 11 20 21 29 33 37 44 50 58
89. N CALIF COAST 4
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 13 14 15 17 19
90. CENT NEVADA 4
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 8 9 10 12 14 18
91. FRESNO REG CALIF 45
0 0 0 13 35 56 59 80 87 97 110 121 135
92. CENT CALIF COAST 17
0 0 0 0 5 18 22 31 35 40 46 51 57
93. S CALIF COAST 72
42 49 57 67 76 83 91 100 109 121 138 152 169
94. SE CALIF 142
94 109 120 134 145 155 165 176 188 202 224 245 272
95. LAS VEGAS NEV REG 111
91 105 116 132 142 150 158 167 176 188 206 220 238
96. SW ARIZONA 214
163 184 204 229 247 263 277 293 309 329 356 380 406
97. NE ARIZONA 1
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 21 24 26
98. SE ARIZONA 69
56 67 78 90 99 107 115 124 133 145 163 178 197
99. N NEW MEX 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
100. E NEW MEX 14
0 0 1 10 18 27 24 31 35 41 49 56 65
101. CENT NEW MEX 2
0 0 0 0 0 0 3 6 7 8 11 13 16
102. S NEW MEX 20
0 1 11 27 42 56 45 50 56 63 74 84 95
$$