059
FNUS53 KLBF 180823
FWFLBF

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Western
and North Central for Nebraska
National Weather Service North Platte NE
323 AM CDT Fri Oct 18 2024

.DISCUSSION...

Elevated fire weather conditions will linger mainly east of Hwy 83
though conditions will ease late in the day as winds diminish and
humidity continues to increase.

Otherwise critical fire weather conditions are not expected for the
next several days as a nearly stationary front lingers across
central Nebraska with potential for showers with a few
thunderstorms tonight into Saturday. By Saturday morning there is
a 50 to 70 percent chance for 0.25" of rainfall generally in a
southwest to northeast band from roughly Lodgepole and Imperial up
through Valentine and O`Neill. Higher amounts are possible but
will be more localized. There is potential for another round of
showers with a few thunderstorms again Sunday night into Monday
mainly along and east of Hwy 83 with a 25 to 50 percent chance for
another 0.10" of precipitation. While any thunderstorms are not
expected to contain significant amounts of lightning, strikes
outside of precipitation may start new fires. Fire weather
concerns may start to increase again by mid to late next week as
an upper ridge builds over the Rockies with a return to drier
conditions.


NEZ204-190000-
Eastern Panhandle/Crescent Lake NWR-
223 AM MDT Fri Oct 18 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny. Slight chance of showers early in
                    the morning. Slight chance of showers early in
                    the afternoon, then chance of showers late in
                    the afternoon.
Max temperature.....58-63.
   24 hr trend......27 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........47 percent.
   24 hr trend......43 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......North 10 to 15 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........3 or very low.
Smoke dispersal.....Good.
Mixing height.......500-2500 ft AGL until 1200, then 2000-5800 ft
                    AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 15 to 20 mph.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Showers likely in the evening.
                    Slight chance of thunderstorms through the
                    night. Chance of showers after midnight.
Min temperature.....36-41.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........100 percent.
   24 hr trend......4 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......North 5 to 15 mph.
LAL.................3.
Haines Index........3 or very low.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor.
Mixing height.......1100-2700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 20 to 25 mph.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny. Chance of showers early in the
                    morning. Slight chance of showers in the late
                    morning and early afternoon.
Max temperature.....58-63.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........53 percent.
   24 hr trend......5 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Northeast up to 5 mph shifting to the south in
                    the afternoon.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........2 or very low.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor.
Mixing height.......1100-2800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast around 10 mph shifting to the
                    southeast in the afternoon.


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the lower
70s. South winds 10 to 20 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the
mid 40s. Highs in the upper 60s. West winds 5 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs around 70.
North winds 5 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the
upper 30s. Highs in the mid 60s.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the
lower 70s.

$$

NEZ210-190000-
Frenchman Basin-
223 AM MDT Fri Oct 18 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny then becoming mostly cloudy.
                    Chance of showers in the afternoon. Chance of
                    thunderstorms late in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....68-73.
   24 hr trend......11 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........38 percent.
   24 hr trend......24 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South 10 to 15 mph.
LAL.................1 increasing to 3 in the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low.
Smoke dispersal.....Very good.
Mixing height.......600-2900 ft AGL until 1200, then 3200-6500 ft
                    AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 20 mph.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Rain showers likely and chance
                    of thunderstorms.
Min temperature.....44-49.
   24 hr trend......11 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........100 percent.
   24 hr trend......23 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Northeast 5 to 15 mph.
LAL.................4.
Haines Index........4 or low.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor.
Mixing height.......500-3300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 15 to 20 mph.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of thunderstorms
                    early in the morning. Chance of showers until
                    late afternoon. Slight chance of showers late
                    in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....59-64.
   24 hr trend......13 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........68 percent.
   24 hr trend......33 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Northeast 5 to 10 mph shifting to the southeast
                    in the afternoon.
LAL.................3 decreasing to 1 in the afternoon.
Haines Index........3 or very low.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor.
Mixing height.......1100-2700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 15 mph.


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the
upper 40s. Highs in the lower 70s. South winds 10 to 20 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the upper 60s.
Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the mid
70s. Northwest winds 5 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the
upper 60s.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the mid
70s.

$$

NEZ206-190000-
Sandhills/Valentine NWR/Nebraska National Forest-
323 AM CDT Fri Oct 18 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny. Slight chance of showers early in
                    the afternoon. Chance of showers and slight
                    chance of thunderstorms late in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....63-68.
   24 hr trend......9 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........41 percent.
   24 hr trend......22 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest 10 to 15 mph shifting to the north in
                    the afternoon.
LAL.................1 increasing to 3 in the afternoon.
Haines Index........5 or moderate.
Smoke dispersal.....Good.
Mixing height.......500-2900 ft AGL until 1200, then 2500-5100 ft
                    AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 20 mph.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Rain showers likely until early
                    morning. Slight chance of thunderstorms through
                    the night. Chance of showers early in the
                    morning.
Min temperature.....40-45.
   24 hr trend......10 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........100 percent.
   24 hr trend......31 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......North 5 to 15 mph.
LAL.................3.
Haines Index........4 or low.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor.
Mixing height.......500-2500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast around 15 mph.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny. Chance of showers early in the
                    morning, then slight chance of showers in the
                    late morning and early afternoon.
Max temperature.....58-63.
   24 hr trend......11 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........64 percent.
   24 hr trend......30 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Northeast up to 5 mph shifting to the south in
                    the afternoon.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........3 or very low.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor.
Mixing height.......1200-2600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast around 10 mph shifting to the
                    southeast in the afternoon.


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY...Warmer. Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in
the lower 70s. South winds 10 to 20 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the upper 60s.
South winds 5 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the lower
70s. North winds 5 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the
upper 30s. Highs in the mid 60s.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows around 40. Highs in the lower 70s.

$$

NEZ219-190000-
Loess Plains-
323 AM CDT Fri Oct 18 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny. Chance of showers in the
                    afternoon. Slight chance of thunderstorms late
                    in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....Around 74.
   24 hr trend......7 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........42 percent.
   24 hr trend......24 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South 10 to 20 mph.
LAL.................1 increasing to 3 in the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low.
Smoke dispersal.....Very good.
Mixing height.......500-3100 ft AGL until 1200, then 3100-4900 ft
                    AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 25 mph.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
                    thunderstorms.
Min temperature.....47-52.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........100 percent.
   24 hr trend......25 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast 5 to 15 mph.
LAL.................4.
Haines Index........4 or low.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor.
Mixing height.......500-2700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 15 to 20 mph.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of thunderstorms
                    early in the morning. Chance of showers in the
                    morning, then slight chance of showers in the
                    afternoon.
Max temperature.....62-67.
   24 hr trend......11 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........61 percent.
   24 hr trend......24 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......East 5 to 10 mph shifting to the south in the
                    afternoon.
LAL.................3 decreasing to 1 in the afternoon.
Haines Index........3 or very low.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair.
Mixing height.......800-3700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 15 mph.


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the
lower 70s. South winds 10 to 20 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the upper 60s.
South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the mid
70s. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the
mid 60s.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the
lower 70s.

$$

NEZ208-190000-
Niobrara Valley/Fort Niobrara NWR/Samuel R McKelvie National
Forest-
323 AM CDT Fri Oct 18 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny. Slight chance of showers late in
                    the afternoon.
Max temperature.....63-68.
   24 hr trend......19 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........39 percent.
   24 hr trend......19 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Northwest 5 to 15 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........5 or moderate.
Smoke dispersal.....Good.
Mixing height.......400-3000 ft AGL until 1200, then 2400-4900 ft
                    AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 15 mph shifting to the west in
                    the afternoon.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers in the
                    evening, then showers likely after midnight.
                    Chance of showers early in the morning.
Min temperature.....40-45.
   24 hr trend......13 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........100 percent.
   24 hr trend......26 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......North 5 to 10 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........4 or low.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor.
Mixing height.......500-2400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North 10 to 15 mph.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy then becoming mostly sunny.
                    Chance of showers early in the morning.
Max temperature.....62-67.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........57 percent.
   24 hr trend......24 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Northwest up to 5 mph shifting to the southwest
                    in the afternoon.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........3 or very low.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor.
Mixing height.......1000-2900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North around 10 mph shifting to the southwest
                    in the afternoon.


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY...Warmer. Partly cloudy. Lows around 50. Highs in the mid
70s. Southwest winds 10 to 20 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the
mid 50s. Highs in the lower 70s. South winds 5 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the
upper 40s. Highs in the lower 70s. Northwest winds 5 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the
upper 30s. Highs in the lower 60s.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows around 40. Highs in the lower 70s.

$$

NEZ209-190000-
Loup Rivers Basin-
323 AM CDT Fri Oct 18 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny. Slight chance of showers early in
                    the afternoon. Chance of showers late in the
                    afternoon.
Max temperature.....Around 73.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........39 percent.
   24 hr trend......23 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South 10 to 20 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........5 or moderate.
Smoke dispersal.....Good.
Mixing height.......400-2600 ft AGL until 1200, then 2700-4700 ft
                    AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 25 mph.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight
                    chance of thunderstorms.
Min temperature.....45-50.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........100 percent.
   24 hr trend......31 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast 5 to 10 mph shifting to the north
                    after midnight.
LAL.................3.
Haines Index........4 or low.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor.
Mixing height.......400-2500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 10 to 15 mph.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers early in the
                    morning, then slight chance of showers in the
                    late morning and early afternoon.
Max temperature.....63-68.
   24 hr trend......11 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........60 percent.
   24 hr trend......22 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Northeast around 5 mph shifting to the south in
                    the afternoon.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........3 or very low.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair.
Mixing height.......500-3400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 10 to 15 mph.


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the mid
70s. South winds 10 to 20 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with chance of showers and slight chance
of thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the upper 60s.
South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the lower 70s.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Cooler. Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers. Lows
in the lower 40s. Highs in the lower 60s.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows around 40. Highs around 70.

$$