926
FNUS53 KLBF 040921
FWFLBF

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Western
and North Central for Nebraska
National Weather Service North Platte NE
421 AM CDT Sat Oct 4 2025

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON CDT /11 AM MDT/ TODAY TO
10 PM CDT /9 PM MDT/ THIS EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...

Critical fire weather conditions are likely across much of western
Nebraska, largely due to very strong southerly wind gusts.

Gusty winds are already occurring early Saturday morning and
expectation is for these to continue through daybreak before
quickly increasing by mid-morning. Gusts will quickly exceed 30
mph ahead of a cool front settling south out of southwest South
Dakota with peak speeds this afternoon likely climbing up to 45
mph. These stronger winds will drive deep mixing of the boundary
layer which will again push daytime highs into the upper 80s to
lower 90s with dew points falling into the upper 30s to lower 40s.
This drier air will reside between two separate pools of richer
boundary layer moisture...the first being east in an area of
strong low-level moisture advection and the second being northwest
within a Pacific airmass behind the front. Afternoon humidity
minimums may fail to fully reach critical levels, however, they
should fall to within 10 percent of critical levels for most and
combined with the expected magnitude of winds will support the Red
Flag Warning issuance.

High cloud cover may be more prevalent across our northwest zones
nearer the cool front. This along with the Pacific airmass will
support cooler temperatures in these areas invof the Pine Ridge
and lesser fire weather concerns. Eventually this afternoon,
convection across the higher terrain will shift northeast and
propel the frontal boundary south and east. This will effectively
merge with the richer moisture to the east and allow humidities to
recover quickly. The Red Flag Warnings extending into the evening
are largely to encompass the wind shift coming with the frontal
boundary but humidity recovery will be good if not great for all
tonight with decreasing winds after midnight. Rain and
thunderstorm chances also increase through the evening and
portions of Zone 204 and western 208 may see wetting rains but
potential remains low elsewhere.

Fire weather concerns will then be low for much of next week as
temperatures fall to well below normal values and only slowly
moderate through the middle of the week. This will likely keep
humidity values well above critical levels with limited wind
potential as well.


NEZ204-042330-
Eastern Panhandle/Crescent Lake NWR-
321 AM MDT Sat Oct 4 2025

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 9 PM MDT
THIS EVENING...

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny. Slight chance of showers and
                    thunderstorms late in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....79-84.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........23 percent.
   24 hr trend......10 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest 5 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent.
Mixing height.......400-1800 ft AGL until 1200, then 2000-10000 ft
                    AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 15 to 20 mph.
Chance of thunder...20 percent.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy then becoming partly cloudy. Rain
                    showers likely and chance of thunderstorms in
                    the evening, then chance of showers and slight
                    chance of thunderstorms after midnight.
Min temperature.....47-52.
   24 hr trend......8 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........100 percent.
   24 hr trend......10 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Northwest 10 to 15 mph shifting to the
                    southwest 5 to 10 mph after midnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor.
Mixing height.......1200-6100 ft AGL until 2400, then 500-1800 ft
                    AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 20 mph shifting to the
                    southwest after midnight.
Chance of thunder...50 percent.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Max temperature.....60-65.
   24 hr trend......25 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........44 percent.
   24 hr trend......24 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Northwest 10 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good.
Mixing height.......700-3400 ft AGL until 1200, then 3500-5000 ft
                    AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 20 to 25 mph.
Chance of thunder...0 percent.


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with chance of showers. Lows in the lower
40s. Highs in the mid 50s. Southeast winds 5 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the
lower 60s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the
lower 40s. Highs in the upper 60s. South winds 10 to 20 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the
mid 70s.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the lower
70s.

$$

NEZ210-042330-
Frenchman Basin-
421 AM CDT Sat Oct 4 2025 /321 AM MDT Sat Oct 4 2025/

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON CDT /11 AM MDT/ TODAY TO
10 PM CDT /9 PM MDT/ THIS EVENING...

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny.
Max temperature.....86-91.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........19 percent.
   24 hr trend......16 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Breezy. South 15 to 25 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent.
Mixing height.......600-1700 ft AGL until 1200, then 2000-9900 ft
                    AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 20 mph increasing to south
                    around 30 mph in the afternoon.
Chance of thunder...0 percent.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers early
                    in the evening. Slight chance of thunderstorms
                    until early morning. Chance of showers in the
                    late evening and early morning.
Min temperature.....49-54.
   24 hr trend......12 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........100 percent.
   24 hr trend......30 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Breezy. South 15 to 25 mph becoming west 5 to
                    10 mph after midnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor.
Mixing height.......700-4800 ft AGL until 2400, then 400-1400 ft
                    AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 25 mph becoming southwest around
                    10 mph after midnight.
Chance of thunder...20 percent.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny.
Max temperature.....68-73.
   24 hr trend......18 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........36 percent.
   24 hr trend......19 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Northwest 5 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good.
Mixing height.......400-2800 ft AGL until 1200, then 3100-5100 ft
                    AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 15 to 20 mph.
Chance of thunder...0 percent.


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY...Cooler. Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the
mid 40s. Highs in the upper 50s. East winds 5 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the
lower 40s. Highs in the mid 60s. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the
mid 40s. Highs in the upper 60s. South winds 5 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the mid 70s.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the lower
70s.

$$

NEZ206-042330-
Sandhills/Valentine NWR/Nebraska National Forest-
421 AM CDT Sat Oct 4 2025 /321 AM MDT Sat Oct 4 2025/

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON CDT /11 AM MDT/ TODAY TO
10 PM CDT /9 PM MDT/ THIS EVENING...

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Max temperature.....85-90.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........21 percent.
   24 hr trend......13 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Breezy. South 15 to 25 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent.
Mixing height.......500-2300 ft AGL until 1200, then 2200-8700 ft
                    AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 20 mph increasing to southwest
                    around 30 mph in the afternoon.
Chance of thunder...0 percent.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy then becoming partly cloudy.
                    Slight chance of showers early in the evening,
                    then chance of showers and slight chance of
                    thunderstorms in the late evening and early
                    morning.
Min temperature.....51-56.
   24 hr trend......8 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........99 percent.
   24 hr trend......16 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Breezy. South 15 to 25 mph becoming southwest 5
                    to 10 mph after midnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor.
Mixing height.......700-5800 ft AGL until 2400, then 500-2000 ft
                    AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 25 mph becoming southwest around
                    15 mph after midnight.
Chance of thunder...20 percent.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Max temperature.....63-68.
   24 hr trend......20 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........42 percent.
   24 hr trend......21 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Northwest 10 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good.
Mixing height.......500-3200 ft AGL until 1200, then 3500-4900 ft
                    AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 20 to 25 mph.
Chance of thunder...0 percent.


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the lower
40s. Highs in the upper 50s. East winds 5 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows around 40. Highs in the mid 60s.
South winds up to 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the
mid 40s. Highs in the mid 60s. South winds 10 to 20 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows around 50. Highs in the mid 70s.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the lower
70s.

$$

NEZ219-042330-
Loess Plains-
421 AM CDT Sat Oct 4 2025

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 10 PM CDT THIS
EVENING...

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny.
Max temperature.....Around 89.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........18 percent.
   24 hr trend......16 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Windy. South 10 to 20 mph increasing to 20 to
                    30 mph in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent.
Mixing height.......600-1900 ft AGL until 1200, then 2000-10500 ft
                    AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 25 mph increasing to around 35 mph
                    in the afternoon.
Chance of thunder...0 percent.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight
                    chance of thunderstorms in the late evening and
                    early morning.
Min temperature.....54-59.
   24 hr trend......8 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........98 percent.
   24 hr trend......26 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Breezy. South 15 to 25 mph becoming southwest 5
                    to 10 mph after midnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor.
Mixing height.......500-4200 ft AGL until 2400, then 400-1100 ft
                    AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 30 mph becoming southwest around
                    20 mph after midnight.
Chance of thunder...20 percent.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny.
Max temperature.....71-76.
   24 hr trend......15 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........32 percent.
   24 hr trend......14 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Northwest 5 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good.
Mixing height.......400-2800 ft AGL until 1200, then 3100-5800 ft
                    AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 15 to 20 mph.
Chance of thunder...0 percent.


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY...Cooler. Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the
mid 40s. Highs in the upper 50s. Northeast winds 5 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the mid
60s. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the
mid 40s. Highs in the mid 60s. South winds 5 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the mid 70s.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows around 50. Highs in the mid 70s.

$$

NEZ208-042330-
Niobrara Valley/Fort Niobrara NWR/Samuel R McKelvie National
Forest-
421 AM CDT Sat Oct 4 2025 /321 AM MDT Sat Oct 4 2025/

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON CDT /11 AM MDT/ TODAY TO
10 PM CDT /9 PM MDT/ THIS EVENING...

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Max temperature.....84-89.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........27 percent.
   24 hr trend......2 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Breezy. South 15 to 25 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent.
Mixing height.......500-2500 ft AGL until 1200, then 2300-6100 ft
                    AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 20 to 25 mph.
Chance of thunder...0 percent.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy then becoming partly cloudy.
                    Slight chance of showers early in the evening.
                    Slight chance of thunderstorms until early
                    morning. Chance of showers in the late evening
                    and overnight.
Min temperature.....55-60.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........95 percent.
   24 hr trend......12 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest 10 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor.
Mixing height.......500-3500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 20 to 25 mph.
Chance of thunder...20 percent.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Max temperature.....66-71.
   24 hr trend......26 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........46 percent.
   24 hr trend......22 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......West 10 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good.
Mixing height.......500-3500 ft AGL until 1200, then 3300-5000 ft
                    AGL.
Transport winds.....West 20 to 25 mph.
Chance of thunder...0 percent.


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY...Cooler. Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows
in the mid 40s. Highs in the upper 50s. East winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the mid
60s. West winds up to 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the
mid 40s. Highs in the upper 60s. South winds 10 to 20 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the mid 70s.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the lower
70s.

$$

NEZ209-042330-
Loup Rivers Basin-
421 AM CDT Sat Oct 4 2025

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 10 PM CDT THIS
EVENING...

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny.
Max temperature.....Around 89.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........26 percent.
   24 hr trend......4 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Breezy. South 15 to 25 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent.
Mixing height.......500-2300 ft AGL until 1200, then 2200-7300 ft
                    AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 25 mph increasing to around 35 mph
                    in the afternoon.
Chance of thunder...0 percent.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy then becoming mostly cloudy.
                    Slight chance of showers late in the evening.
                    Chance of showers and slight chance of
                    thunderstorms after midnight, then slight
                    chance of showers early in the morning.
Min temperature.....58-63.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........96 percent.
   24 hr trend......12 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Breezy. South 20 to 25 mph shifting to the
                    southwest 10 to 20 mph after midnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor.
Mixing height.......500-3400 ft AGL until 2400, then 500-1400 ft
                    AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 30 mph becoming southwest around
                    20 mph after midnight.
Chance of thunder...20 percent.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny.
Max temperature.....70-75.
   24 hr trend......19 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........40 percent.
   24 hr trend......11 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......West 10 to 15 mph shifting to the northwest in
                    the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Good.
Mixing height.......400-3100 ft AGL until 1200, then 3400-5200 ft
                    AGL.
Transport winds.....West around 20 mph.
Chance of thunder...0 percent.


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY...Cooler. Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows
in the mid 40s. Highs in the upper 50s. Northeast winds 5 to
15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the mid
60s. North winds up to 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the
mid 40s. Highs in the mid 60s. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the lower 70s.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows around 50. Highs in the lower 70s.

$$