Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS North Platte, NE
Issued by NWS North Platte, NE
782
FNUS53 KLBF 032046
FWFLBF
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Western
and North Central for Nebraska
National Weather Service North Platte NE
346 PM CDT Fri Oct 3 2025
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 9 PM MDT SATURDAY...
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 10 PM CDT SATURDAY...
.DISCUSSION...
Critical fire weather conditions expected Saturday afternoon and
evening across all fire districts in western and north central
Nebraska.
Tonight...southerly winds 10 to 20 mph with some gusts to 25 mph at
times will keep the boundary layer mixed. Humidity recovery will be
limited to 60 to 70 percent.
Saturday...critical fire weather conditions expected. H7 heights
tighten up as a deep upper trough moves across Wyoming and Colorado
during the afternoon. H85 winds with a south southwesterly component
indicate some drying out, and with deep mixing, bufkit soundings
support surface dewpoints falling into the low to mid 40s across
southwest Nebraska into portions of north central Nebraska.
Southerly winds 25 to 35 mph with gusts to around 45 mph will be
common during the afternoon, and will remain strong through mid
evening. Temperatures will once again climb into the upper 80s to
near 90F, or 10-20F above normal. Afternoon humidity will fall to as
low as 18 percent in zone 210 and 219, and 20 percent in zones 204,
206, and 210. Zone 208 and 209 fall to around 25 percent. Grassland
fuels were reported as partial cured on Monday. However, with very
warm and dry conditions and increasing winds today into Saturday,
fuels are likely trending toward mostly cured in some areas. Due to
the combination of strong southerly winds gusting to around 45 mph
and low humidity with fuels receptive to large fire growth, have
issued a Red Flag Warning for all fire zones from 17Z until 03Z.
Another concern with be the potential for dry lighting beginning
late afternoon until mid evening across zones 204 and 210 in the
west as rainfall will be very limited initially. Strong outflow
winds possible from any showers or thunderstorms with the lower
levels quite dry. A strong cold front will move through after
midnight with good humidity recovery overnight to 80 to near 100
percent. Wetting rains during the evening remain limited. Though
portions of the western Sandhills could see wetting rains, this is
not expected to be expansive and appears likely to be limited to
mainly Zone 204, where a tenth to quarter inch is forecast.
Beyond Saturday...fire weather concerns will again remain limited as
cooler temperatures settle in for a few days. Occasional rain
chances exist in the extended forecast though mostly dry conditions
should prevail. Temperature do moderate by late week but confidence
in precise temperatures is limited at this time.
NEZ204-041130-
Eastern Panhandle/Crescent Lake NWR-
246 PM MDT Fri Oct 3 2025
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 9 PM MDT SATURDAY...
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear.
Min temperature.....54-59.
24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Max humidity........77 percent.
24 hr trend......18 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......South 5 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor.
Mixing height.......600-5500 ft AGL until 2400, then 400-700 ft
AGL.
Transport winds.....South 15 to 20 mph.
Chance of thunder...0 percent.
.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms late in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....80-85.
24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
Min humidity........21 percent.
24 hr trend......7 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southwest 5 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent.
Mixing height.......400-1700 ft AGL until 1200, then 2200-10500 ft
AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 15 to 20 mph.
Chance of thunder...20 percent.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy then becoming partly cloudy.
Showers with thunderstorms likely through the
night.
Min temperature.....47-52.
24 hr trend......9 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........100 percent.
24 hr trend......28 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest 10 to 20 mph decreasing to 5 to 10
mph after midnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor.
Mixing height.......1100-6000 ft AGL until 2400, then 600-1700 ft
AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 25 mph becoming west around 15
mph after midnight.
Chance of thunder...70 percent.
.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny. Slight chance of showers early in
the morning.
Max temperature.....60-65.
24 hr trend......26 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........41 percent.
24 hr trend......31 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Northwest 10 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Very good.
Mixing height.......600-3700 ft AGL until 1200, then 3900-5500 ft
AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 20 to 25 mph.
Chance of thunder...0 percent.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with chance of showers. Lows around 40.
Highs in the mid 50s. Southeast winds 5 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the mid
60s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the
upper 60s. South winds 10 to 20 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the
mid 70s.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the lower
70s.
$$
NEZ210-041130-
Frenchman Basin-
246 PM MDT Fri Oct 3 2025
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 9 PM MDT SATURDAY...
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear.
Min temperature.....58-63.
24 hr trend......6 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........69 percent.
24 hr trend......29 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southeast 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor.
Mixing height.......500-3100 ft AGL until 2400, then 500-700 ft
AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 20 mph.
Chance of thunder...0 percent.
.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny.
Max temperature.....Around 88.
24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Min humidity........18 percent.
24 hr trend......17 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Breezy. South 15 to 25 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent.
Mixing height.......600-2100 ft AGL until 1200, then 3000-10100 ft
AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 20 mph increasing to around 35
mph in the afternoon.
Chance of thunder...0 percent.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms until early morning.
Min temperature.....49-54.
24 hr trend......11 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........97 percent.
24 hr trend......29 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Breezy. South 15 to 25 mph becoming west 5 to
10 mph after midnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor.
Mixing height.......700-6100 ft AGL until 2400, then 300-1700 ft
AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 30 mph becoming southwest around
10 mph after midnight.
Chance of thunder...50 percent.
.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny.
Max temperature.....68-73.
24 hr trend......19 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........37 percent.
24 hr trend......21 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Northwest 5 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good.
Mixing height.......300-2900 ft AGL until 1200, then 3100-5800 ft
AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 15 to 20 mph.
Chance of thunder...0 percent.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY...Cooler. Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the
mid 40s. Highs in the upper 50s. East winds 5 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the
lower 40s. Highs in the mid 60s. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the
upper 40s. Highs in the upper 60s. Southeast winds 5 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows around 50. Highs in the mid 70s.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows around 50. Highs in the mid 70s.
$$
NEZ206-041130-
Sandhills/Valentine NWR/Nebraska National Forest-
346 PM CDT Fri Oct 3 2025
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 10 PM CDT SATURDAY...
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear.
Min temperature.....57-62.
24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........78 percent.
24 hr trend......18 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......South 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor.
Mixing height.......600-3500 ft AGL until 2400, then 500-700 ft
AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 20 mph.
Chance of thunder...0 percent.
.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny.
Max temperature.....85-90.
24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........20 percent.
24 hr trend......15 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Breezy. South 15 to 25 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent.
Mixing height.......500-2200 ft AGL until 1200, then 2300-9800 ft
AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 25 mph increasing to southwest
around 35 mph in the afternoon.
Chance of thunder...0 percent.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms until early morning. Slight
chance of showers early in the morning.
Min temperature.....51-56.
24 hr trend......8 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........95 percent.
24 hr trend......18 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Breezy. South 15 to 25 mph shifting to the
southwest 10 to 15 mph after midnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor.
Mixing height.......700-5700 ft AGL until 2400, then 300-1900 ft
AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 30 mph becoming southwest around
20 mph after midnight.
Chance of thunder...40 percent.
.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Max temperature.....63-68.
24 hr trend......20 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........41 percent.
24 hr trend......20 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Northwest 10 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Very good.
Mixing height.......400-3600 ft AGL until 1200, then 3800-5200 ft
AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 20 mph.
Chance of thunder...0 percent.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the lower
40s. Highs in the upper 50s. East winds 5 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows around 40. Highs in the mid 60s.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the
upper 60s. South winds 10 to 20 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows around 50. Highs in the mid 70s.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows around 50. Highs in the lower 70s.
$$
NEZ219-041130-
Loess Plains-
346 PM CDT Fri Oct 3 2025
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 10 PM CDT SATURDAY...
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear.
Min temperature.....61-66.
24 hr trend......9 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........71 percent.
24 hr trend......30 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southeast 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor.
Mixing height.......500-2600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 20 mph.
Chance of thunder...0 percent.
.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny.
Max temperature.....Around 89.
24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........19 percent.
24 hr trend......14 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Breezy. South 15 to 25 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent.
Mixing height.......600-2300 ft AGL until 1200, then 2900-10200 ft
AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 25 mph increasing to around 35
mph in the afternoon.
Chance of thunder...0 percent.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms until early morning.
Min temperature.....54-59.
24 hr trend......8 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........94 percent.
24 hr trend......23 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Breezy. South 15 to 25 mph decreasing to 10 to
15 mph after midnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor.
Mixing height.......500-5500 ft AGL until 2400, then 300-1500 ft
AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 30 mph decreasing to around 15 mph
after midnight.
Chance of thunder...30 percent.
.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny.
Max temperature.....71-76.
24 hr trend......16 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........33 percent.
24 hr trend......12 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......West 5 to 10 mph shifting to the north 10 to 15
mph in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Good.
Mixing height.......300-2900 ft AGL until 1200, then 3300-6200 ft
AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 15 mph.
Chance of thunder...0 percent.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY...Cooler. Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the
mid 40s. Highs in the upper 50s. Northeast winds 5 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the
lower 40s. Highs in the mid 60s. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the
upper 40s. Highs in the upper 60s. Southeast winds 5 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the mid 70s.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the mid
70s.
$$
NEZ208-041130-
Niobrara Valley/Fort Niobrara NWR/Samuel R McKelvie National
Forest-
346 PM CDT Fri Oct 3 2025
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 10 PM CDT SATURDAY...
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear.
Min temperature.....61-66.
24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........76 percent.
24 hr trend......12 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......South 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor.
Mixing height.......500-3200 ft AGL until 2400, then 500-700 ft
AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 20 mph.
Chance of thunder...0 percent.
.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Max temperature.....85-90.
24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........23 percent.
24 hr trend......11 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Breezy. South 15 to 25 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent.
Mixing height.......500-2500 ft AGL until 1200, then 2300-7200 ft
AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 20 mph increasing to southwest
around 30 mph in the afternoon.
Chance of thunder...0 percent.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy then becoming partly cloudy.
Chance of showers and thunderstorms in the
evening. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms after midnight.
Min temperature.....54-59.
24 hr trend......5 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........91 percent.
24 hr trend......6 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Breezy. South 15 to 25 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor.
Mixing height.......600-4300 ft AGL until 2400, then 600-2100 ft
AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 25 mph.
Chance of thunder...30 percent.
.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms early in the morning.
Max temperature.....66-71.
24 hr trend......25 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........44 percent.
24 hr trend......25 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......West 10 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Very good.
Mixing height.......500-4000 ft AGL until 1200, then 4000-5000 ft
AGL.
Transport winds.....West around 25 mph.
Chance of thunder...20 percent.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY...Cooler. Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows
in the mid 40s. Highs in the upper 50s. Northeast winds 5 to
10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the
upper 60s. Southwest winds up to 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs around 70.
South winds 10 to 20 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the mid 70s.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the
lower 70s.
$$
NEZ209-041130-
Loup Rivers Basin-
346 PM CDT Fri Oct 3 2025
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 10 PM CDT SATURDAY...
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear.
Min temperature.....62-67.
24 hr trend......10 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........76 percent.
24 hr trend......27 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......South 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor.
Mixing height.......500-2400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 20 to 25 mph.
Chance of thunder...0 percent.
.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny.
Max temperature.....86-91.
24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........24 percent.
24 hr trend......16 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Windy. South 15 to 20 mph increasing to 20 to
30 mph in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent.
Mixing height.......500-2500 ft AGL until 1200, then 2600-9400 ft
AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 25 mph increasing to around 35 mph
in the afternoon.
Chance of thunder...0 percent.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms.
Min temperature.....57-62.
24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........89 percent.
24 hr trend......14 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Breezy. South 15 to 25 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor.
Mixing height.......500-5100 ft AGL until 2400, then 400-2200 ft
AGL.
Transport winds.....South 25 to 30 mph.
Chance of thunder...20 percent.
.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms early in the morning.
Max temperature.....69-74.
24 hr trend......18 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........39 percent.
24 hr trend......20 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest 10 to 15 mph shifting to the
northwest 10 to 20 mph in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Good.
Mixing height.......300-3600 ft AGL until 1200, then 3600-5500 ft
AGL.
Transport winds.....West around 20 mph.
Chance of thunder...10 percent.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY...Cooler. Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows
in the mid 40s. Highs in the upper 50s. Northeast winds 5 to
15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the mid
60s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the
mid 40s. Highs in the upper 60s. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the lower 70s.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the
lower 70s.
$$