643
FNUS53 KLBF 181952
FWFLBF

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Western
and North Central for Nebraska
National Weather Service North Platte NE
252 PM CDT Wed Sep 18 2024

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM MDT THIS EVENING...
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CDT THIS EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...

Dry, mild, and windy conditions will continue across northwest
Nebraska through the evening hours, keeping the Red Flag Warning
in effect through this evening. Relatively poor overnight moisture
recovery is expected, with humidity bouncing back to around 65
percent across the Pine Ridge tonight. What will help limit the
fire weather conditions overnight is the boundary layer
decoupling, which will slow wind speeds overnight to around 10
miles per hour. This will also prompt a slight wind shift from
southwesterly to mostly westerly winds tonight.

Tomorrow, afternoon humidity is expected around 25 to 30 percent
across most of the region, with a limited area of higher winds
across portions of northern Nebraska. However, wind gusts are
mostly expected to remain at or just below 25 miles per hour. The
next concern for fire weather conditions is Friday afternoon,
where afternoon humidity is expected to drop to the 15 to 20
percent range across the Pine Ridge and portions of north central
Nebraska. Higher wind gusts up to 30 miles per hour are possible
across the Panhandle and Sandhills, so will be monitoring
conditions of Friday quite closely.

Beyond Friday, a system moving through this weekend may bring some
wide spread and possibly long duration rain across most of western
and north central Nebraska. At this time, heavier rainfall totals
are more likely across southwest Nebraska, but will continue to
track this system as it gets closer. Additionally, temperatures
are expected to trend to near seasonal to slightly cooler than
seasonal temperatures starting Sunday lasting through at least mid
week.



NEZ204-191130-
Eastern Panhandle/Crescent Lake NWR-
152 PM MDT Wed Sep 18 2024

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM MDT THIS EVENING...

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear.
Min temperature.....49-54.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........67 percent.
   24 hr trend......42 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......West 5 to 10 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........4 or low.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor.
Mixing height.......500-9400 ft AGL until 2400, then 400-600 ft
                    AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 15 mph shifting to the west
                    after midnight.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny.
Max temperature.....77-82.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........24 percent.
   24 hr trend......11 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Northwest 5 to 15 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........4 or low.
Smoke dispersal.....Very good.
Mixing height.......400-4000 ft AGL until 1200, then 4100-7400 ft
                    AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 15 to 20 mph.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear.
Min temperature.....49-54.
   24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
Max humidity........74 percent.
   24 hr trend......12 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......North up to 5 mph shifting to the southeast
                    after midnight.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........3 or very low.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor.
Mixing height.......400-7100 ft AGL until 2400, then 400-600 ft
                    AGL.
Transport winds.....North around 10 mph shifting to the southeast
                    after midnight.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny.
Max temperature.....83-88.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........19 percent.
   24 hr trend......3 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......South 5 to 15 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........4 or low.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent.
Mixing height.......400-3000 ft AGL until 1200, then 3500-10700 ft
                    AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 20 mph.


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY...Not as warm. Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and
slight chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in
the lower 70s. Northeast winds 10 to 20 mph.
.SUNDAY...Cooler. Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the upper 50s. North winds 10 to
20 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the upper 60s.
West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the
mid 40s. Highs in the upper 60s.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the
mid 40s. Highs in the mid 70s.

$$

NEZ210-191130-
Frenchman Basin-
152 PM MDT Wed Sep 18 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear.
Min temperature.....53-58.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........86 percent.
   24 hr trend......26 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southeast around 5 mph shifting to the
                    northwest after midnight.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........6 or high.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor.
Mixing height.......400-6000 ft AGL until 2400, then 400-600 ft
                    AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 10 mph shifting to the north
                    after midnight.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny.
Max temperature.....81-86.
   24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
Min humidity........23 percent.
   24 hr trend......4 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northwest 5 to 15 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........6 or high.
Smoke dispersal.....Good.
Mixing height.......400-2500 ft AGL until 1200, then 3100-7000 ft
                    AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 15 to 20 mph.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear.
Min temperature.....51-56.
   24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
Max humidity........68 percent.
   24 hr trend......7 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northeast up to 5 mph shifting to the southeast
                    around 5 mph after midnight.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........6 or high.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor.
Mixing height.......300-6300 ft AGL until 2400, then 400-600 ft
                    AGL.
Transport winds.....North around 10 mph shifting to the southeast
                    after midnight.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Max temperature.....Around 87.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........28 percent.
   24 hr trend......4 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South 5 to 15 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........6 or high.
Smoke dispersal.....Very good.
Mixing height.......400-2700 ft AGL until 1200, then 3300-7600 ft
                    AGL.
Transport winds.....South 15 to 20 mph.


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the upper 70s. Northeast winds
5 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Cooler. Showers with thunderstorms likely. Lows in the
upper 40s. Highs around 60. North winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the upper 60s.
West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the
mid 40s. Highs around 70.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the mid 70s.

$$

NEZ206-191130-
Sandhills/Valentine NWR/Nebraska National Forest-
252 PM CDT Wed Sep 18 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear.
Min temperature.....52-57.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........93 percent.
   24 hr trend......10 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......South 5 to 10 mph shifting to the west after
                    midnight.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........6 or high.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor.
Mixing height.......400-9000 ft AGL until 2400, then 400-600 ft
                    AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 15 mph shifting to the west after
                    midnight.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny.
Max temperature.....Around 82.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........24 percent.
   24 hr trend......19 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northwest 5 to 15 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........6 or high.
Smoke dispersal.....Very good.
Mixing height.......400-3400 ft AGL until 1200, then 3600-7400 ft
                    AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 15 to 20 mph.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear.
Min temperature.....49-54.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........78 percent.
   24 hr trend......15 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northwest up to 5 mph shifting to the southeast
                    after midnight.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........6 or high.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor.
Mixing height.......300-7000 ft AGL until 2400, then 400-500 ft
                    AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 10 mph shifting to the east
                    after midnight.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Max temperature.....83-88.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........24 percent.
   24 hr trend......2 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......South 5 to 15 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........6 or high.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent.
Mixing height.......400-2700 ft AGL until 1200, then 3300-7700 ft
                    AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 15 mph increasing to around 25 mph
                    in the afternoon.


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY...Not as warm. Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and
slight chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the
mid 70s. Northeast winds 10 to 20 mph.
.SUNDAY...Cooler. Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms.
Lows in the upper 40s. Highs around 60. North winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the upper 60s.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the upper
60s.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the
upper 40s. Highs in the lower 70s.

$$

NEZ219-191130-
Loess Plains-
252 PM CDT Wed Sep 18 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear.
Min temperature.....Around 58.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........97 percent.
   24 hr trend......2 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southeast 5 to 10 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........6 or high.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor.
Mixing height.......400-5200 ft AGL until 2400, then 400-600 ft
                    AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 10 mph.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny.
Max temperature.....Around 85.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........25 percent.
   24 hr trend......18 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northwest 5 to 10 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........6 or high.
Smoke dispersal.....Good.
Mixing height.......400-2000 ft AGL until 1200, then 2700-6100 ft
                    AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 15 mph.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear.
Min temperature.....Around 55.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........70 percent.
   24 hr trend......27 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......North up to 5 mph shifting to the east after
                    midnight.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........6 or high.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor.
Mixing height.......300-5800 ft AGL until 2400, then 400-600 ft
                    AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 10 mph shifting to the east
                    after midnight.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Max temperature.....Around 85.
   24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
Min humidity........32 percent.
   24 hr trend......6 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast 5 to 15 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........6 or high.
Smoke dispersal.....Very good.
Mixing height.......400-2200 ft AGL until 1200, then 2800-6200 ft
                    AGL.
Transport winds.....South 15 to 20 mph.


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Showers likely and chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs around 80. East winds
5 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Cooler. Showers with thunderstorms likely. Lows in the
lower 50s. Highs in the lower 60s. North winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the upper 60s. Northwest winds 5 to
15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the
upper 60s.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the
upper 40s. Highs in the lower 70s.

$$

NEZ208-191130-
Niobrara Valley/Fort Niobrara NWR/Samuel R McKelvie National
Forest-
252 PM CDT Wed Sep 18 2024

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CDT THIS EVENING...

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear.
Min temperature.....55-60.
   24 hr trend......9 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........89 percent.
   24 hr trend......13 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southwest 5 to 10 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........6 or high.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor.
Mixing height.......400-9200 ft AGL until 2400, then 400-600 ft
                    AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 15 mph.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny.
Max temperature.....80-85.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........26 percent.
   24 hr trend......9 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......West 5 to 15 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........6 or high.
Smoke dispersal.....Very good.
Mixing height.......400-3700 ft AGL until 1200, then 4000-7400 ft
                    AGL.
Transport winds.....West around 15 mph increasing to around 25 mph
                    in the afternoon.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Clear.
Min temperature.....51-56.
   24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
Max humidity........81 percent.
   24 hr trend......9 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northwest up to 5 mph shifting to the southwest
                    after midnight.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........6 or high.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor.
Mixing height.......400-7200 ft AGL until 2400, then 400-600 ft
                    AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 15 mph becoming west around 5
                    mph after midnight.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny.
Max temperature.....85-90.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........22 percent.
   24 hr trend......3 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South up to 5 mph increasing to 10 to 15 mph in
                    the afternoon.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........6 or high.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent.
Mixing height.......400-2800 ft AGL until 1200, then 3700-8300 ft
                    AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 10 mph increasing to around 25 mph
                    in the afternoon.


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY...Not as warm. Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and
slight chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in
the mid 70s. North winds 10 to 20 mph.
.SUNDAY...Cooler. Mostly cloudy with chance of showers and slight
chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the
lower 60s. North winds 5 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the upper 60s.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the
upper 40s. Highs around 70.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the
mid 70s.

$$

NEZ209-191130-
Loup Rivers Basin-
252 PM CDT Wed Sep 18 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear.
Min temperature.....57-62.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........100 percent.
   24 hr trend......3 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South 5 to 10 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........6 or high.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor.
Mixing height.......400-5000 ft AGL until 2400, then 400-600 ft
                    AGL.
Transport winds.....South 10 to 15 mph.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny.
Max temperature.....Around 84.
   24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
Min humidity........26 percent.
   24 hr trend......28 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northwest 5 to 15 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........6 or high.
Smoke dispersal.....Very good.
Mixing height.......400-2500 ft AGL until 1200, then 3000-6600 ft
                    AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 15 to 20 mph.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear.
Min temperature.....51-56.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........82 percent.
   24 hr trend......22 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northwest up to 5 mph shifting to the north
                    after midnight.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........6 or high.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor.
Mixing height.......300-6200 ft AGL until 2400, then 400-600 ft
                    AGL.
Transport winds.....North around 10 mph.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Max temperature.....82-87.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........29 percent.
   24 hr trend......4 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast up to 5 mph increasing to south 10 to
                    15 mph in the afternoon.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........6 or high.
Smoke dispersal.....Very good.
Mixing height.......400-2400 ft AGL until 1200, then 3100-6400 ft
                    AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 10 mph increasing to south
                    around 20 mph in the afternoon.


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the upper 70s. Northeast winds
5 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Cooler. Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms.
Lows in the lower 50s. Highs around 60. North winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the mid 60s. Northwest winds 5 to
10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the
upper 40s. Highs in the upper 60s.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the
upper 40s. Highs in the lower 70s.

$$