839
FXUS63 KLBF 231730
AFDLBF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service North Platte NE
Issued by National Weather Service Rapid City SD
1230 PM CDT Sat Aug 23 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Showers and thunderstorms are expected this evening and
  overnight across western and north central Nebraska. Showers
  and thunderstorms likely to continue throughout the day on
  Sunday, into the overnight hours.

- Temperatures are expected to remain below average through the
  week, with high temperatures around 10 to 15 degrees below
  normal.

- Precipitation chances persist throughout the week, with the
  best chances across western and southwestern Nebraska.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/...
Issued at 300 AM CDT Sat Aug 23 2025

An upper level low is located over western Ontario, with an upper
level high over the Four Corners region. Northwesterly flow aloft is
observed over western and north central Nebraska. Subtropical
moisture is being advected around the upper high, bringing a plume
of moisture across the Rocky Mountains into the central Plains. At
the surface, a cold front is tracking through the Sandhills this
morning, with high pressure building in behind the front.

This afternoon temperatures climb into the mid to upper 70s.
Isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms are possible late
this afternoon and evening across western and southwestern Nebraska.
Chances for precipitation increase overnight, as a low level jet
sets up over western Kansas. Though severe weather is not
anticipated, may need to keep an eye on heavy rainfall potential
across southwest Nebraska this evening.

Sunday morning and afternoon brings additional chances for showers
and thunderstorms, mostly along and south of Highway 2. With showers
expected throughout the day, skies remain on the cloudy side, which
will help limit high temperatures on Sunday. Highs are expected to
struggle to reach the mid 70s across most of the region. Showers and
thunderstorms are likely to persist overnight again, into early
Monday morning. While severe threat remains low, again will be
keeping a close eye on heavy rainfall potential, especially if
storms begin to train across southwest Nebraska.

&&

.LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
Issued at 300 AM CDT Sat Aug 23 2025

Northwesterly flow aloft continues, along with an active surface
pattern along the front range of the Rockies. THis brings near daily
chances for showers and thunderstorms across western and
southwestern Nebraska through the week. In combination with surface
high pressure, temperatures are expected to remain cooler than
average throughout the week. Temperatures are currently expected to
remain around 10 to 15 degrees below average through most of the
week. For reference, normal highs this time of year are around 85 to
87 degrees.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z SUNDAY/...
Issued at 1229 PM CDT Sat Aug 23 2025

Outside of thunderstorms, VFR conditions are expected to prevail across
western and north central Nebraska through tomorrow afternoon. Winds remain
light from the north-northeast today, at around 5 to 10kts.

By tonight, scattered thunderstorm development is possible across the
Sandhills and southwest Nebraska. These storms could pose a risk for MVFR
visibilities and gusty, erratic winds. Thunderstorms persist into late
tomorrow morning, before ending early tomorrow afternoon. Winds then shift
easterly tomorrow afternoon, at 5 to 10kts.

&&

.LBF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...
LONG TERM...
AVIATION...DYE