718
FXUS63 KLBF 310901
AFDLBF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service North Platte NE
301 AM CST Fri Jan 31 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Dry and warm conditions will persist today through Saturday.

- A cold front moves in on Sunday along with the next chance of
  accumulating snow across the north Sunday afternoon through
  Monday morning. Snowfall totals remain uncertain.

- Colder temperatures in the mid 20s to low 30s continue across
  northern Nebraska Tuesday through Thursday. Snow chances to
  linger across the north Tuesday into Wednesday, with chances
  extending further south into southwest and central Nebraska
  by Wednesday night.

&&

.SYNOPSIS...
Issued at 301 AM CST Fri Jan 31 2025

An upper trough and closed low currently extends from eastern
Oklahoma into Missouri with an area of rain showers from central
into northeast Kansas into northwest Missouri and far southern
Iowa. Upper ridging extends from the Desert Southwest across
the Central Rockies. Skies remained clear throughout western
Nebraska with temperatures ranging from 20 to 30 degrees.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THROUGH SATURDAY/...
Issued at 301 AM CST Fri Jan 31 2025

An upper ridge will flatten out across the Central Plains today
as a leeside surface trough deepens to our west. A nice warmup
today with a sunny sky and light winds. Went a few degrees above
NBM for highs today, nudging toward the 50th percentile. Highs
warmest from 55 to 58 across the southwest, to the mid 40s
northeast.

Tonight, surface low pressure will deepen into south central
South Dakota. This will bring an increase in southwest to south
winds across north central Nebraska with lows in the lower 30s,
while cooler upper 20s southwest and central Nebraska. skies
will also turn mostly cloudy overnight.

Saturday, the warmest day as a surface trough moves east and a
stronger push of westerly winds at H85 mixes to the surface.
Westerly winds from 15 to 30 mph near and west of Highway 83.
Although skies will remain mostly cloudy, temperatures
throughout all of western and north central Nebraska will reach
the upper 50s to mid 60s. Again went a few degrees above NBM,
nudging toward the NBM 50th percentile.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/...
Issued at 301 AM CST Fri Jan 31 2025

Zonal flow aloft will remain in place through Monday. However,
an upper trough moving through Saskatchewan and Manitoba ind the
Northern Plains Saturday night into Sunday will drive a cold
front through the area on Sunday. Highs will contrast from 38 at
Gordon to 50 to 55 across the southwest. A mid-level
disturbance will exist eastern Wyoming and bring snow chances to
north central Nebraska Sunday afternoon through Monday morning.
Light snow accumulations are expected from a dusting to an
inch, with higher amounts up to 2 inches northern Sheridan and
northwest Cherry County. Some models, including the NAM, ECMWF
and Canadian, are lighter and focus more of the snow across
South Dakota. Therefore confidence in snowfall amounts are below
average across the north.

Mush colder air will remain in place across Montana and the
Dakotas Monday through Wednesday. Surface low pressure
persisting across eastern Colorado into southeast Wyoming will
keep temperatures warmer to our south and west. Highs across
northern Nebraska will only rise into the mid 20s to low 30s,
while the southwest should reach the upper 30s to low 40s. By
Wednesday night, arctic high pressure will surge southward with
colder highs Thursday in the mid 20s to mid 30s. Should also
see better chances for light snow Wednesday night, behind the
front.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z SATURDAY/...
Issued at 1113 PM CST Thu Jan 30 2025

VFR conditions will prevail through much of the forecast period.
There will be a chance for LLWS across southwest Nebraska
including KLBF terminal tonight, generally from midnight through
early Friday morning, with northerly winds up to 40 kts. SFC
winds will be light out of the west to northwest around 5 to 10
kts tonight with winds switching to the southeast Friday
afternoon, around 5 to 10 kts.

&&

.LBF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.

&&

$$

SYNOPSIS...Roberg
SHORT TERM...Roberg
LONG TERM...Roberg
AVIATION...Gomez