


Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS North Platte, NE
Issued by NWS North Platte, NE
Versions:
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
40
41
42
43
543 FXUS63 KLBF 120542 AFDLBF Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service North Platte NE 1242 AM CDT Fri Sep 12 2025 .KEY MESSAGES... - Isolated storms this evening and tonight, could see a strong to severe storm - Isolated storms may be possible Friday late afternoon and evening - Temperatures briefly cool on Sunday, rebounding back into the 80s early next week && .SHORT TERM /THROUGH SATURDAY/... Issued at 405 PM CDT Thu Sep 11 2025 The main concern in the short term will be the chance for isolated thunderstorms this evening and tonight. Generally expect thunderstorms to occur after 5pm CT. A trof west near the WY/NE border into northeast Colorado will be the main axis for thunderstorm development. There is currently ongoing convection along the Rockies and expect additional development across northeast CO and easter WY that may move into the western portion of the CWA. Low confidence in thunderstorms sustaining themselves across southwest NE as there a decent cap is in place, which should limit thunderstorm activity. The better potential for a strong or severe thunderstorm will be across western and the northwest Sandhills, generally west of HWY 61 and north of Interstate 80, where the instability is favorable along with better CAPE and shear. Should a storm move into this area it should sustain itself and could potentially become a strong to severe thunderstorms with hail and gusty winds the main hazard. Forecaster confidence is low in seeing more than 1 or two storms this evening across western Nebraska. The focus will then turn to late evening/overnight when an additional potential for thunderstorms may be possible. A LLJ will kick in this evening across the Sandhills, with the potential for thunderstorm development across the Sandhills into north central Nebraska tonight into the overnight. CAPE decreases tonight however, thus expect these to be more general thunderstorms, however a strong storm cant` be ruled out. For Friday: The trof will move slightly eastward, but still remain mostly west of the CWA and again be the focus for thunderstorm development along the higher terrain. The environment looks to be fairly conditional for thunderstorms and expect the coverage to again remain isolated across western Nebraska. Could see convection as early as late afternoon into the evening on Friday, with the area of greatest concern generally west of HWY 83. CAPE and shear will be marginal and at this time don`t expect severe storms, but can`t rule out a strong storm. && .LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/... Issued at 405 PM CDT Thu Sep 11 2025 The sfc trof will move eastward into western Nebraska/Sandhills with convection possible along the axis of the trof in the afternoon and evening. Will need to monitor this in upcoming forecast as storms my be more scattered and organized. Temperatures will briefly cool on Sunday as it will generally be overcast and rainy keeping high temperatures only in the 70s. This will only be brief as temperatures will warm back into the 80s by Monday and Tuesday. && .AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z SATURDAY/... Issued at 1241 AM CDT Fri Sep 12 2025 VFR conditions will prevail through Friday evening with winds remaining under 10 knots. Some isolated showers may be possible on Friday evening, but should remain west of both terminals impacting mainly northwest Nebraska. && .LBF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$ SHORT TERM...Gomez LONG TERM...Gomez AVIATION...Kulik