472
FXUS63 KLBF 072357
AFDLBF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service North Platte NE
657 PM CDT Sat Jun 7 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Showers and Isolated thunderstorms are possible tonight
  across northern Nebraska behind a cold front. A period of
  gusty north winds can be expected overnight as the front moves
  south.

- Below normal temperatures to start the week will gradually
  warm to above normal by mid-week. Mainly dry weather is
  currently expected Monday and Tuesday. Chances for a few
  storms return Wednesday through Friday as humidity and heat
  increase.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THROUGH SUNDAY/...
Issued at 332 PM CDT Sat Jun 7 2025

A cold front will move southward tonight across Nebraska...as a
large upper low and associated surface low cross southern Canada and
the northern plains. A period of gusty winds are expected as the
frontal boundary surges southward through the area. HRRR suggest
gusts of 20-25kt along and just behind the front. Appears the winds
will last about 1-2 hours before diminishing. A lagging band of mid-
level FGEN settles southward into northern Nebraska overnight.
Initially some weak instability is noted and could be some thunder
early this evening, but that wanes and just looking for scattered
showers through the remainder of tonight. A few light showers may
linger through sunrise Sunday morning before ending.

Northwest flow aloft will be established by Sunday as the large
upper low matures and centered near northern Minnesota by late in
the day. Sounding profile samples from across the area indicate a
breezy to a locally windy day, with gusts over 35 mph in spots.
Temperatures will be back to below normal with highs in the lower to
mid 70s. Winds decouple Sunday night, and with the dry air and
mainly clear skies expect lows to drop into the 40s.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/...
Issued at 332 PM CDT Sat Jun 7 2025

A large upper level low pressure system will remain anchored over
the great lakes region during the first of the week. Dry weather and
below normal temperatures will start the week across western and
north central Nebraska. Northwest winds will increase once again
Monday, but won`t be quite as strong or gusty as Sunday. Dry
conditions are expected Monday and Tuesday. A dry airmass with dew
points in the upper 30s and lower 40s can be expected Monday behind
the cold front. By Tuesday, a surface high will move east of the
area with southerly low-level flow developing though the day. Higher
moisture/dew points will begin to return northward during this time.
Temperatures also warm dramatically by Tuesday with highs above
normal...in the mid to upper 80s.

The upper low will weaken and move into eastern Canada by the middle
of the week as subtle upper level ridging traditions eastward from
the Rockies to the plains. In the meantime, the Bermuda high expands
westward across the western Atlantic. A persistent southerly low-
level flow develops from the Caribbean into the central plains on
the western periphery of the high. This will bring a continued
increase in dew points/humidity to the area Wednesday through
Friday. Overall shear looks rather weak during this timeframe, but a
couple of weak disturbances could bring at least isolated to perhaps
scattered convection to the area. Temperatures also look to be more
summer like during this time...with above normal temperatures
expected.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z MONDAY/...
Issued at 655 PM CDT Sat Jun 7 2025

VFR conditions are expected through the forecast period.

A strong cool front will drop south into the region and bring
strong north then northwesterly winds in its wake. Expecting
gusts approaching 30 knots for both terminals though precise
magnitude remains medium confidence at best. Will monitor
upstream obs and amend as necessary.

The next aviation concern will focus on surface smoke arriving
for much of the day Sunday. At this time, concentrations should
remain limited enough to limit if not completely prevent
appreciable visibility impacts but again, trends will be
monitored.

&&

.LBF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Taylor
LONG TERM...Taylor
AVIATION...NMJ