386
FXUS63 KLBF 021801
AFDLBF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service North Platte NE
101 PM CDT Tue Sep 2 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Dense Fog Advisory in effect until 10 am CDT for portions of
  southwest, central and north central Nebraska. Isolated
  showers and thunderstorms are possible this afternoon and
  early evening, near and east of Highway 83.

- Temperatures will reach the upper 70s to mid 80s today and
  Thursday, with a strong cold front and much cooler Wednesday.
  Another strong cold front Thursday night, brings cooler highs
  in the mid 60s to low 70s Friday, followed by upper 60s to
  upper 70s Saturday and Sunday.

&&

.SYNOPSIS...
Issued at 340 AM CDT Tue Sep 2 2025

Dense fog has developed across Lincoln and Custer County
northward across the eastern half of north central Nebraska.
Visibilities have fallen to a quarter mile or less. A Dense Fog
Advisory is in effect until 10 am CDT for these areas.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
Issued at 340 AM CDT Tue Sep 2 2025

Dense fog will be the main weather concern this morning. The fog
should begin to lift after 9 am CDT. heading into this
afternoon, a surface trough will bring a warmup, as winds veer
to the north and northwest behind the trough. Highs will reach
the mid 80s near and west of highway 83, with upper 70s to low
80s to the east. The surface trough will also be a focus for
isolated showers or thunderstorms to develop after 3 pm CDT for
areas near and east of Highway 83. Northwest flow aloft will
bring H85 to H7 lapse rates above 9C/KM and SB capes from
1000-1500 J/KG and deep layer shear from 25-35kts. Not expecting
any strong storms however.

Tonight, a few lingering showers or storms in the east early
evening. A backdoor cold front will move into north central
Nebraska after midnight, with a chance for showers and a few
thunderstorms in the northeast. Lows will mainly range in the
mid 50s.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
Issued at 340 AM CDT Tue Sep 2 2025

Much cool Wednesday behind the cold front, from only the mid 60s
northeast to near 80 far southwest. A chance for showers and a
few thunderstorms Wednesday morning in the northeast, within a
corridor of stronger mid and upper level winds from a deep
closed low dropping into the arrowhead of Minnesota. Northerly
winds will become breezy at 15 to 25 mph across the area late
morning into the afternoon.

The upper trough will deepen across the Great Lakes and Ohio
Valley on Thursday, with another trough and cold front dropping
into the Dakotas. This will bring another warmup into the upper
70s to mid 80s, along with gusting northwest winds up to 30 mph
across the western Sandhills. Elevated fire weather conditions
are expected across the west, where afternoon humidity to fall
into the upper teens and lower 20s.

Friday through Monday, temperatures will mainly range below
normal from the mid 60s to low 70s Friday, and the upper 60s to
upper 70s Saturday through Monday. Mainly dry conditions until
Sunday into Monday as an upper trough over the Desert Southwest
lifts over the Central Plains, bringing a chance for showers and
a few thunderstorms.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z WEDNESDAY/...
Issued at 100 PM CDT Tue Sep 2 2025

VFR conditions are expected through the forecast period.

Main aviation concern will be isolated convection this afternoon
but current thoughts are for activity to remain east of the
terminals.

&&

.LBF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.

&&

$$

SYNOPSIS...Roberg
SHORT TERM...Roberg
LONG TERM...Roberg
AVIATION...NMJ