284
FXUS63 KLBF 242320
AFDLBF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service North Platte NE
620 PM CDT Sat May 24 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Widespread showers and a few thunderstorms will bring
  beneficial rainfall amounts to much of western and north
  central Nebraska tonight.

- Cool and cloudy conditions persist into Memorial Day and into
  the middle of next week, along with near daily chances for
  precipitation.

- A return of average temperatures with highs in the 70s is
  expected Friday, with upper 70s to low 80s by next Saturday.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/...
Issued at 229 PM CDT Sat May 24 2025

Surface low pressure will extend across New Mexico into
western Colorado this evening. This will continue to bring
upslope easterly flow tonight and a strengthening easterly low
level jet. Isentropic upglide will also be persistent from
Kansas northward across Nebraska overnight. In addition, an
upper trough extending over the Northern Plains and upper
trough west of the Four Corners will bring a disturbance across
the area and focus widespread shower development across the
forecast area through tonight. Categorical POPs as high as 80
to 90 percent. Rainfall amounts for tonight alone will range
from a quarter to a half inch, with the highest amounts from a
half inch to over three quarters of an inch north of I80 into
the central Sandhills.

On Sunday, very light rain or drizzle is expected as low cloud
ceilings persist through the day along with visibilities 4SM or
less during the morning. Rain accumulations through the day
will mostly be a tenth of an inch or less, except for near a
quarter inch over the northwest Sandhills. Another dreary day
Sunday, with cloudy conditions and highs only climbing into the
mid 50s to around 60.

By Sunday night, the easterly low level jet strengthens again,
as an upper trough from the Dakotas back though the Four Corners
lifts a disturbance across the region. Another round of showers
with likely to categorical POPs are forecast. The greatest
amounts look to occur along and west of HWY 83 with amounts
mainly over a quarter inch, with even near a half inch in the
far southwest.

&&

.LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
Issued at 229 PM CDT Sat May 24 2025

The upper trough is forecast to slowly move east across the
region on Memorial Day (Monday), into Monday night. Timing
difference with the speed of this trough keeps likely to
categorical POPs Monday, with chance POPS Monday night.
Rainfall amounts should be highest in the morning, then light
into Monday night. Cloudy conditions during this time, with
highs in the mid to upper 50s.

The upper trough is shown to become a closed low west of the
Great Lakes on Tuesday and gradually moves over the Great Lakes
and Ohio Valley by Thursday, with upper ridging favored to move
in by Friday, and especially by next Saturday. Daily
precipitation chances still exist Tuesday through Thursday.
Highs from only the low 60s Tuesday will warm into the 70s
Friday and upper 70s to low 80s by next Saturday.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z MONDAY/...
Issued at 620 PM CDT Sat May 24 2025

For the KLBF terminal: Ceilings will fall to IFR levels later
this evening with heights around 500 to 700 FT AGL. there will
be a continued threat for rain showers off and on tonight into
mid morning Sunday. Conditions should dry out late Sunday
morning into the afternoon hours, however, ceilings should
remain around 1000 FT AGL through 00z Monday.

For the KVTN terminal: Expect IFR ceilings around 700 FT AGL to
develop around mid evening and persist through late morning
Sunday. Some ceilings may reach around 400 FT AGL from 08z to
15z Sunday. Rain showers are expected during the forecast
period, which may drop visibilities down to 4SM. After 18z
Sunday, expect ceilings around 1000 FT AGL at the terminal.

&&

.LBF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Roberg
LONG TERM...Roberg
AVIATION...Buttler