761
FXUS63 KLBF 210533
AFDLBF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service North Platte NE
1233 AM CDT Thu Aug 21 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

- A couple more warm days across western and north central
  Nebraska.

- Thunderstorm chances return Thursday night into Friday as a
  cold front makes it`s way southward across the region.

- Cool conditions and at least some chance for precipitation is
  in store for the upcoming weekend and into the first of next
  week.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THROUGH FRIDAY/...
Issued at 253 PM CDT Wed Aug 20 2025

Upper level ridging/rising heights will continue to build across the
Rockies and plains through Thursday. This will bring a couple more
warm days to the area with highs in the upper 80s and 90s. Again
this afternoon CU has developed across the area as convective
temperatures are reached. Even a couple of isolated storms are
developing within an area of high CAPE/dew pts across eastern
portions of north central Nebraska. Overall shear is very weak the
convection is diurnally driven. Not expecting much and all should
dissipate early this evening.

A strong shortwave crosses southern Canada Thursday night into
Friday, with a cold front driven southward into the area Friday. A
somewhat cooler day is expected Friday, especially across northern
Nebraska, where highs are only expected to reach the lower 80s.
South of the front highs will still be quite warm (lower 90s) across
portions of southwest Nebraska. Shear increases as winds aloft
strengthen on the southern side of the northern stream shortwave.
Some decent CAPE develops along the southward moving cold front, and
a few stronger afternoon storms seem possible across portions of
southwest into central Nebraska before the front settles south of
the area Friday night.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
Issued at 253 PM CDT Wed Aug 20 2025

Cooler temperatures and precipitation  chances will dominate the
upcoming weekend and into the first of next week. Upper level high
pressure will dominate across the southern plains. Meanwhile a slow
moving upper low will be located across the Great Lakes region. Mid
and upper level monsoonal moisture will be rotating north and
eastward from Mexico into the desert southwest and into the western
high plains. This will bring the possibility of daily shower/thunder
chances, especially across the southwest half of Nebraska. As
mentioned in will be cooler, in fact quite cool. Temperatures will
be much below normal, with several days of highs temperatures only
in the 70s.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z FRIDAY/...
Issued at 1233 AM CDT Thu Aug 21 2025

Expect mainly clear skies through late afternoon Thursday. There
will be some increasing high cloudiness developing into the
evening hours with scattered to broken ceilings ranging from
15000 to 20000 FT AGL Thursday evening. There is a minor threat
for isolated thunderstorms Thursday evening over NW Nebraska,
however activity should remain west of the KVTN terminal through
06z Friday.

&&

.LBF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Taylor
LONG TERM...Taylor
AVIATION...Buttler