River Forecast
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
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FGUS53 KKRF 161506
RVFKSR
RIVER FORECAST
NWS MISSOURI BASIN RIVER FORECAST CENTER PLEASANT HILL MO
1506Z SUN NOV 16 2025
:
: THIS PRODUCT HAS PRELIMINARY DATA AND SUBJECT TO REVISION.
: REFER TO YOUR LOCAL WFO FOR THE LATEST OFFICIAL RIVER FORECAST.
: FORECAST GROUP IS KANSAS
: ==> This forecast includes obsd precip & 48 hours of QPF
:________________________________________________________________
:FORT RILEY, KS - KANSAS RIVER HSA - TOP
:MINOR FLOOD STAGE 21.0 FT FCST ISSUANCE STAGE 19.0 FT
:MODERATE FLOOD STAGE 26.0 FT MAJOR FLOOD STAGE 33.0 FT
:LATEST RIVER STAGE 4.5 FT AT 1430Z ON NOV 16
:obs Stage / 18Z / 00Z / 06Z / 12Z
: 1115 / 4.5 / 4.5 / 4.5 / 4.5
:
.ER FTRK1 20251116 Z DC202511161506/DH18/HGIFFZZ/DIH6
:Stage Fcst / 12Z / 18Z / 00Z / 06Z
.E1 : 1116 : / 4.5 / 4.5 / 4.5
.E2 : 1117 : / 4.5 / 4.5 / 4.4 / 4.4
.E3 : 1118 : / 4.4 / 4.4 / 4.4 / 4.4
.E4 : 1119 : / 4.4 / 4.4 / 4.4 / 4.4
.E5 : 1120 : / 4.4 / 4.4 / 4.4 / 4.4
.E6 : 1121 : / 4.4
:Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip(inches) (PAST 24 hrs):
: / 18Z / 00Z / 06Z / 12Z
: 1115 / 0.00 / 0.00 / 0.00 / 0.00
:
:Local observed 24-hr basin-averaged precip total
: QPE Total Ending Nov 16 at 14Z is 0.00 inches
:
:Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip(inches) (NEXT 48 hrs):
: / 12Z / 18Z / 00Z / 06Z
: 1116 / 0.00 / 0.00 / 0.00
: 1117 / 0.00 / 0.00 / 0.00 / 0.00
: 1118 / 0.00
:
:Local forecast 48-hr basin-averaged precip total
: QPF Total Ending Nov 18 0.00 inches
:________________________________________________________________
:WAMEGO, KS - KANSAS RIVER HSA - TOP
:MINOR FLOOD STAGE 19.0 FT FCST ISSUANCE STAGE 17.0 FT
:MODERATE FLOOD STAGE 26.0 FT MAJOR FLOOD STAGE 38.0 FT
:LATEST RIVER STAGE 3.4 FT AT 1430Z ON NOV 16
:obs Stage / 18Z / 00Z / 06Z / 12Z
: 1115 / 3.4 / 3.4 / 3.4 / 3.4
:
.ER WMGK1 20251116 Z DC202511161506/DH18/HGIFFZZ/DIH6
:Stage Fcst / 12Z / 18Z / 00Z / 06Z
.E1 : 1116 : / 3.4 / 3.4 / 3.4
.E2 : 1117 : / 3.4 / 3.4 / 3.4 / 3.4
.E3 : 1118 : / 3.3 / 3.3 / 3.3 / 3.3
.E4 : 1119 : / 3.3 / 3.3 / 3.3 / 3.3
.E5 : 1120 : / 3.3 / 3.3 / 3.3 / 3.3
.E6 : 1121 : / 3.3
:Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip(inches) (PAST 24 hrs):
: / 18Z / 00Z / 06Z / 12Z
: 1115 / 0.00 / 0.00 / 0.00 / 0.00
:
:Local observed 24-hr basin-averaged precip total
: QPE Total Ending Nov 16 at 14Z is 0.00 inches
:
:Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip(inches) (NEXT 48 hrs):
: / 12Z / 18Z / 00Z / 06Z
: 1116 / 0.00 / 0.00 / 0.00
: 1117 / 0.00 / 0.00 / 0.00 / 0.00
: 1118 / 0.00
:
:Local forecast 48-hr basin-averaged precip total
: QPF Total Ending Nov 18 0.00 inches
:________________________________________________________________
:TOPEKA, KS - KANSAS RIVER HSA - TOP
:MINOR FLOOD STAGE 26.0 FT FCST ISSUANCE STAGE 15.0 FT
:MODERATE FLOOD STAGE 27.0 FT MAJOR FLOOD STAGE 44.0 FT
:LATEST RIVER STAGE 5.6 FT AT 2230Z ON NOV 14
:obs Stage / 18Z / 00Z / 06Z / 12Z
: 1115 / 5.6 / 5.6 / 5.6 / 5.6
:
.ER TPAK1 20251116 Z DC202511161506/DH18/HGIFFZZ/DIH6
:Stage Fcst / 12Z / 18Z / 00Z / 06Z
.E1 : 1116 : / 5.4 / 5.4 / 5.4
.E2 : 1117 : / 5.4 / 5.4 / 5.4 / 5.4
.E3 : 1118 : / 5.4 / 5.4 / 5.4 / 5.4
.E4 : 1119 : / 5.4 / 5.4 / 5.4 / 5.4
.E5 : 1120 : / 5.4 / 5.4 / 5.4 / 5.4
.E6 : 1121 : / 5.4
:Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip(inches) (PAST 24 hrs):
: / 18Z / 00Z / 06Z / 12Z
: 1115 / 0.00 / 0.00 / 0.00 / 0.00
:
:Local observed 24-hr basin-averaged precip total
: QPE Total Ending Nov 14 at 22Z is 0.00 inches
:
:Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip(inches) (NEXT 48 hrs):
: / 12Z / 18Z / 00Z / 06Z
: 1116 / 0.00 / 0.00 / 0.00
: 1117 / 0.00 / 0.00 / 0.00 / 0.00
: 1118 / 0.00
:
:Local forecast 48-hr basin-averaged precip total
: QPF Total Ending Nov 18 0.00 inches
:TOPEKA, KS - KANSAS RIVER HSA - TOP
:LATEST RIVER DISCHARGE 1.280 KCFS AT 0130Z ON NOV 15
:
.ER TPAK1 20251116 Z DC202511161506/DH18/QRIFFZZ/DIH6
:Flow Fcst / 12Z / 18Z / 00Z / 06Z
.E1 : 1116 : / 1.120 / 1.119 / 1.111
.E2 : 1117 : / 1.102 / 1.093 / 1.088 / 1.086
.E3 : 1118 : / 1.085 / 1.084 / 1.084 / 1.084
.E4 : 1119 : / 1.085 / 1.086 / 1.086 / 1.086
.E5 : 1120 : / 1.086 / 1.084 / 1.081 / 1.078
.E6 : 1121 : / 1.075
:
:________________________________________________________________
:TOPEKA 4 NW, KS - SOLDIER CREEK HSA - TOP
:MINOR FLOOD STAGE 29.0 FT FCST ISSUANCE STAGE 27.0 FT
:MODERATE FLOOD STAGE 34.0 FT MAJOR FLOOD STAGE 40.0 FT
:LATEST RIVER STAGE {Missing}
:obs Stage / 18Z / 00Z / 06Z / 12Z
: 1115 / 0.0 / -0.1 / 0.0 / 0.0
:
.ER TOPK1 20251116 Z DC202511161506/DH18/HGIFFZZ/DIH6
:Stage Fcst / 12Z / 18Z / 00Z / 06Z
.E1 : 1116 : / 0.0 / 0.0 / 0.0
.E2 : 1117 : / 0.0 / -0.1 / -0.1 / -0.1
.E3 : 1118 : / -0.1 / -0.1 / -0.1 / -0.1
.E4 : 1119 : / -0.1 / -0.1 / -0.1 / -0.1
.E5 : 1120 : / -0.1 / -0.1 / -0.1 / -0.1
.E6 : 1121 : / -0.1
:Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip(inches) (PAST 24 hrs):
: / 18Z / 00Z / 06Z / 12Z
: 1115 / 0.00 / 0.00 / 0.00 / 0.00
:
:Local observed 24-hr basin-averaged precip total
: QPE Total Ending Nov 16 at 15Z is 0.00 inches
:
:Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip(inches) (NEXT 48 hrs):
: / 12Z / 18Z / 00Z / 06Z
: 1116 / 0.00 / 0.00 / 0.00
: 1117 / 0.00 / 0.00 / 0.00 / 0.00
: 1118 / 0.00
:
:Local forecast 48-hr basin-averaged precip total
: QPF Total Ending Nov 18 0.00 inches
:________________________________________________________________
:LECOMPTON 1 NE, KS - KANSAS RIVER HSA - TOP
:MINOR FLOOD STAGE 17.0 FT FCST ISSUANCE STAGE 15.0 FT
:MODERATE FLOOD STAGE 23.8 FT MAJOR FLOOD STAGE 27.0 FT
:LATEST RIVER STAGE 2.3 FT AT 1430Z ON NOV 16
:obs Stage / 18Z / 00Z / 06Z / 12Z
: 1115 / 2.4 / 2.4 / 2.4 / 2.4
:
.ER LCPK1 20251116 Z DC202511161506/DH18/HGIFFZZ/DIH6
:Stage Fcst / 12Z / 18Z / 00Z / 06Z
.E1 : 1116 : / 2.3 / 2.3 / 2.3
.E2 : 1117 : / 2.3 / 2.3 / 2.3 / 2.3
.E3 : 1118 : / 2.3 / 2.3 / 2.3 / 2.3
.E4 : 1119 : / 2.3 / 2.3 / 2.3 / 2.3
.E5 : 1120 : / 2.3 / 2.3 / 2.3 / 2.3
.E6 : 1121 : / 2.3
:Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip(inches) (PAST 24 hrs):
: / 18Z / 00Z / 06Z / 12Z
: 1115 / 0.00 / 0.00 / 0.00 / 0.00
:
:Local observed 24-hr basin-averaged precip total
: QPE Total Ending Nov 16 at 14Z is 0.00 inches
:
:Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip(inches) (NEXT 48 hrs):
: / 12Z / 18Z / 00Z / 06Z
: 1116 / 0.00 / 0.00 / 0.00
: 1117 / 0.00 / 0.00 / 0.00 / 0.00
: 1118 / 0.00
:
:Local forecast 48-hr basin-averaged precip total
: QPF Total Ending Nov 18 0.00 inches
:________________________________________________________________
:DESOTO 1 N, KS - KANSAS RIVER HSA - EAX
:MINOR FLOOD STAGE 26.0 FT FCST ISSUANCE STAGE 24.0 FT
:MODERATE FLOOD STAGE 33.0 FT MAJOR FLOOD STAGE 36.0 FT
:LATEST RIVER STAGE 4.3 FT AT 1445Z ON NOV 16
:obs Stage / 18Z / 00Z / 06Z / 12Z
: 1115 / 4.6 / 4.6 / 4.4 / 4.4
:
.ER DSOK1 20251116 Z DC202511161506/DH18/HGIFFZZ/DIH6
:Stage Fcst / 12Z / 18Z / 00Z / 06Z
.E1 : 1116 : / 4.3 / 4.3 / 4.3
.E2 : 1117 : / 4.2 / 4.2 / 4.2 / 4.2
.E3 : 1118 : / 4.2 / 4.2 / 4.2 / 4.2
.E4 : 1119 : / 4.2 / 4.2 / 4.2 / 4.2
.E5 : 1120 : / 4.2 / 4.2 / 4.2 / 4.2
.E6 : 1121 : / 4.2
:Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip(inches) (PAST 24 hrs):
: / 18Z / 00Z / 06Z / 12Z
: 1115 / 0.00 / 0.00 / 0.00 / 0.00
:
:Local observed 24-hr basin-averaged precip total
: QPE Total Ending Nov 16 at 14Z is 0.00 inches
:
:Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip(inches) (NEXT 48 hrs):
: / 12Z / 18Z / 00Z / 06Z
: 1116 / 0.00 / 0.00 / 0.00
: 1117 / 0.00 / 0.00 / 0.00 / 0.02
: 1118 / 0.00
:
:Local forecast 48-hr basin-averaged precip total
: QPF Total Ending Nov 18 0.02 inches
:DESOTO 1 N, KS - KANSAS RIVER HSA - EAX
:LATEST RIVER DISCHARGE 1.200 KCFS AT 1345Z ON NOV 16
:
.ER DSOK1 20251116 Z DC202511161506/DH18/QRIFFZZ/DIH6
:Flow Fcst / 12Z / 18Z / 00Z / 06Z
.E1 : 1116 : / 1.373 / 1.336 / 1.305
.E2 : 1117 : / 1.278 / 1.265 / 1.253 / 1.243
.E3 : 1118 : / 1.234 / 1.225 / 1.218 / 1.212
.E4 : 1119 : / 1.208 / 1.205 / 1.202 / 1.200
.E5 : 1120 : / 1.199 / 1.199 / 1.198 / 1.197
.E6 : 1121 : / 1.196
:
:________________________________________________________________
:LAKE QUIVIRA 1 NW, KS - KANSAS RIVER HSA - EAX
:MINOR FLOOD STAGE 26.0 FT FCST ISSUANCE STAGE 23.0 FT
:MODERATE FLOOD STAGE 33.0 FT MAJOR FLOOD STAGE 38.0 FT
:LATEST RIVER STAGE 9.9 FT AT 1445Z ON NOV 16
:obs Stage / 18Z / 00Z / 06Z / 12Z
: 1115 / 10.0 / 10.0 / 10.0 / 10.0
:
.ER KLQK1 20251116 Z DC202511161506/DH18/HGIFFZZ/DIH6
:Stage Fcst / 12Z / 18Z / 00Z / 06Z
.E1 : 1116 : / 9.9 / 9.9 / 9.9
.E2 : 1117 : / 9.9 / 9.8 / 9.8 / 9.8
.E3 : 1118 : / 9.8 / 9.8 / 9.8 / 9.8
.E4 : 1119 : / 9.8 / 9.8 / 9.8 / 9.8
.E5 : 1120 : / 9.8 / 9.8 / 9.8 / 9.8
.E6 : 1121 : / 9.8
:Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip(inches) (PAST 24 hrs):
: / 18Z / 00Z / 06Z / 12Z
: 1115 / 0.00 / 0.00 / 0.00 / 0.00
:
:Local observed 24-hr basin-averaged precip total
: QPE Total Ending Nov 16 at 14Z is 0.00 inches
:
:Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip(inches) (NEXT 48 hrs):
: / 12Z / 18Z / 00Z / 06Z
: 1116 / 0.00 / 0.00 / 0.00
: 1117 / 0.00 / 0.00 / 0.00 / 0.03
: 1118 / 0.00
:
:Local forecast 48-hr basin-averaged precip total
: QPF Total Ending Nov 18 0.03 inches
:****************************************************************
:COMMENT
:
:
:HSA - Hydrologic Service Area
:WFO - Weather Forecast Office
:TOP - NWS WFO Topeka, Kansas
:EAX - NWS WFO Pleasant Hill, Missouri
:OBS - Observed
:EST - Estimated
:M - Missing
:Stage Fcst - River Stage forecast including future precipitation
:Flow Fcst - River Flow forecast including future precipitation
:Precip - Precipitation
:QPE - Observed radar estimated precipitation
:QPF - Forecasted mean areal precipitation for local basin
:
:
$$
:MBRFC djv
:...END of MESSAGE...