River Forecast
Issued by NWS

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FGUS53 KKRF 211515
RVFKSR

RIVER FORECAST
NWS MISSOURI BASIN RIVER FORECAST CENTER PLEASANT HILL MO
1514Z FRI NOV 21 2025
:
: THIS PRODUCT HAS PRELIMINARY DATA AND SUBJECT TO REVISION.
: REFER TO YOUR LOCAL WFO FOR THE LATEST OFFICIAL RIVER FORECAST.

:    FORECAST GROUP IS KANSAS

:     **********************************************************
:     *** THESE FORECASTS ARE SIGNIFICANTLY AFFECTED BY QPF  ***
:     **********************************************************

: ==>    This forecast includes obsd precip & 48 hours of QPF

:________________________________________________________________

:FORT RILEY, KS - KANSAS RIVER     HSA - TOP
:MINOR FLOOD STAGE    21.0 FT FCST ISSUANCE STAGE  19.0 FT
:MODERATE FLOOD STAGE 26.0 FT MAJOR FLOOD STAGE    33.0 FT
:LATEST  RIVER STAGE 4.7 FT AT 1430Z ON NOV 21

:obs Stage      /       18Z /       00Z /       06Z /       12Z
:  1120         /       4.5 /       4.5 /       4.6 /       4.7

:
.ER FTRK1  20251121 Z DC202511211514/DH18/HGIFFZZ/DIH6
:Stage Fcst     /       12Z /       18Z /       00Z /       06Z
.E1  : 1121 :               /       4.8 /       4.7 /       4.7
.E2  : 1122 :   /       4.8 /       4.9 /       5.0 /       5.0
.E3  : 1123 :   /       5.0 /       5.1 /       5.1 /       5.2
.E4  : 1124 :   /       5.3 /       5.5 /       5.6 /       5.7
.E5  : 1125 :   /       5.8 /       5.9 /       6.0 /       6.1
.E6  : 1126 :   /       6.3

:Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip(inches) (PAST 24 hrs):
:           /       18Z /       00Z /       06Z /       12Z
: 1120      /      0.00 /      0.00 /      0.61 /      0.83
:
:Local observed 24-hr basin-averaged precip total
: QPE Total Ending Nov 21 at 14Z is 1.44 inches
:
:Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip(inches) (NEXT 48 hrs):
:           /       12Z /       18Z /       00Z /       06Z
: 1121                  /      0.15 /      0.12 /      0.01
: 1122      /      0.00 /      0.00 /      0.00 /      0.00
: 1123      /      0.00
:
:Local forecast 48-hr basin-averaged precip total
: QPF Total Ending Nov 23  0.28 inches


:________________________________________________________________

:WAMEGO, KS - KANSAS RIVER     HSA - TOP
:MINOR FLOOD STAGE    19.0 FT FCST ISSUANCE STAGE  17.0 FT
:MODERATE FLOOD STAGE 26.0 FT MAJOR FLOOD STAGE    38.0 FT
:LATEST  RIVER STAGE 3.3 FT AT 1430Z ON NOV 21

:obs Stage      /       18Z /       00Z /       06Z /       12Z
:  1120         /       3.2 /       3.2 /       3.3 /       3.3

:
.ER WMGK1  20251121 Z DC202511211514/DH18/HGIFFZZ/DIH6
:Stage Fcst     /       12Z /       18Z /       00Z /       06Z
.E1  : 1121 :               /       3.5 /       3.8 /       3.9
.E2  : 1122 :   /       4.2 /       4.3 /       4.1 /       3.8
.E3  : 1123 :   /       3.6 /       3.6 /       3.6 /       3.6
.E4  : 1124 :   /       3.6 /       3.6 /       3.7 /       3.7
.E5  : 1125 :   /       3.8 /       3.9 /       4.0 /       4.1
.E6  : 1126 :   /       4.1

:Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip(inches) (PAST 24 hrs):
:           /       18Z /       00Z /       06Z /       12Z
: 1120      /      0.00 /      0.00 /      0.41 /      0.55
:
:Local observed 24-hr basin-averaged precip total
: QPE Total Ending Nov 21 at 14Z is 0.96 inches
:
:Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip(inches) (NEXT 48 hrs):
:           /       12Z /       18Z /       00Z /       06Z
: 1121                  /      0.44 /      0.03 /      0.00
: 1122      /      0.00 /      0.00 /      0.00 /      0.00
: 1123      /      0.00
:
:Local forecast 48-hr basin-averaged precip total
: QPF Total Ending Nov 23  0.47 inches


:________________________________________________________________

:TOPEKA, KS - KANSAS RIVER     HSA - TOP
:MINOR FLOOD STAGE    26.0 FT FCST ISSUANCE STAGE  15.0 FT
:MODERATE FLOOD STAGE 27.0 FT MAJOR FLOOD STAGE    44.0 FT
:LATEST  RIVER STAGE 5.8 FT AT 1430Z ON NOV 21

:obs Stage      /       18Z /       00Z /       06Z /       12Z
:  1120         /       5.4 /       5.4 /       5.4 /       5.8

:
.ER TPAK1  20251121 Z DC202511211514/DH18/HGIFFZZ/DIH6
:Stage Fcst     /       12Z /       18Z /       00Z /       06Z
.E1  : 1121 :               /       6.5 /       6.9 /       6.7
.E2  : 1122 :   /       6.3 /       6.2 /       6.2 /       6.3
.E3  : 1123 :   /       6.3 /       6.4 /       6.5 /       6.4
.E4  : 1124 :   /       6.2 /       6.0 /       5.9 /       5.8
.E5  : 1125 :   /       5.8 /       5.8 /       5.8 /       5.8
.E6  : 1126 :   /       5.9

:Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip(inches) (PAST 24 hrs):
:           /       18Z /       00Z /       06Z /       12Z
: 1120      /      0.00 /      0.00 /      0.26 /      1.06
:
:Local observed 24-hr basin-averaged precip total
: QPE Total Ending Nov 21 at 14Z is 1.32 inches
:
:Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip(inches) (NEXT 48 hrs):
:           /       12Z /       18Z /       00Z /       06Z
: 1121                  /      0.31 /      0.04 /      0.01
: 1122      /      0.00 /      0.00 /      0.00 /      0.00
: 1123      /      0.00
:
:Local forecast 48-hr basin-averaged precip total
: QPF Total Ending Nov 23  0.36 inches


:TOPEKA, KS - KANSAS RIVER     HSA - TOP
:LATEST  RIVER DISCHARGE 1.480 KCFS AT 1330Z ON NOV 21


:
.ER TPAK1  20251121 Z DC202511211514/DH18/QRIFFZZ/DIH6
:Flow Fcst      /       12Z /       18Z /       00Z /       06Z
.E1  : 1121 :               /     2.371 /     2.881 /     2.555
.E2  : 1122 :   /     2.115 /     1.933 /     1.917 /     1.999
.E3  : 1123 :   /     2.109 /     2.248 /     2.315 /     2.187
.E4  : 1124 :   /     1.917 /     1.661 /     1.502 /     1.430
.E5  : 1125 :   /     1.407 /     1.414 /     1.439 /     1.480
.E6  : 1126 :   /     1.537

:

:________________________________________________________________

:TOPEKA 4 NW, KS - SOLDIER CREEK     HSA - TOP
:MINOR FLOOD STAGE    29.0 FT FCST ISSUANCE STAGE  27.0 FT
:MODERATE FLOOD STAGE 34.0 FT MAJOR FLOOD STAGE    40.0 FT
:LATEST  RIVER STAGE 0.2 FT AT 1500Z ON NOV 21

:obs Stage      /       18Z /       00Z /       06Z /       12Z
:  1120         /       0.0 /       0.0 /       0.0 /       0.2

:
.ER TOPK1  20251121 Z DC202511211514/DH18/HGIFFZZ/DIH6
:Stage Fcst     /       12Z /       18Z /       00Z /       06Z
.E1  : 1121 :               /       1.0 /       2.1 /       2.3
.E2  : 1122 :   /       2.1 /       1.4 /       1.0 /       0.7
.E3  : 1123 :   /       0.5 /       0.4 /       0.2 /       0.2
.E4  : 1124 :   /       0.2 /       0.1 /       0.1 /       0.1
.E5  : 1125 :   /       0.1 /       0.1 /       0.1 /       0.1
.E6  : 1126 :   /       0.1

:Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip(inches) (PAST 24 hrs):
:           /       18Z /       00Z /       06Z /       12Z
: 1120      /      0.00 /      0.00 /      0.11 /      0.85
:
:Local observed 24-hr basin-averaged precip total
: QPE Total Ending Nov 21 at 15Z is 0.96 inches
:
:Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip(inches) (NEXT 48 hrs):
:           /       12Z /       18Z /       00Z /       06Z
: 1121                  /      0.49 /      0.05 /      0.01
: 1122      /      0.00 /      0.00 /      0.00 /      0.00
: 1123      /      0.00
:
:Local forecast 48-hr basin-averaged precip total
: QPF Total Ending Nov 23  0.55 inches


:________________________________________________________________

:LECOMPTON 1 NE, KS - KANSAS RIVER     HSA - TOP
:MINOR FLOOD STAGE    17.0 FT FCST ISSUANCE STAGE  15.0 FT
:MODERATE FLOOD STAGE 23.8 FT MAJOR FLOOD STAGE    27.0 FT
:LATEST  RIVER STAGE 2.3 FT AT 1430Z ON NOV 21

:obs Stage      /       18Z /       00Z /       06Z /       12Z
:  1120         /       2.3 /       2.3 /       2.3 /       2.3

:
.ER LCPK1  20251121 Z DC202511211514/DH18/HGIFFZZ/DIH6
:Stage Fcst     /       12Z /       18Z /       00Z /       06Z
.E1  : 1121 :               /       2.8 /       3.7 /       4.4
.E2  : 1122 :   /       4.4 /       4.0 /       3.6 /       3.3
.E3  : 1123 :   /       3.2 /       3.2 /       3.2 /       3.3
.E4  : 1124 :   /       3.2 /       3.1 /       3.0 /       2.8
.E5  : 1125 :   /       2.7 /       2.6 /       2.6 /       2.6
.E6  : 1126 :   /       2.6

:Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip(inches) (PAST 24 hrs):
:           /       18Z /       00Z /       06Z /       12Z
: 1120      /      0.00 /      0.00 /      0.18 /      0.97
:
:Local observed 24-hr basin-averaged precip total
: QPE Total Ending Nov 21 at 14Z is 1.15 inches
:
:Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip(inches) (NEXT 48 hrs):
:           /       12Z /       18Z /       00Z /       06Z
: 1121                  /      0.43 /      0.05 /      0.01
: 1122      /      0.00 /      0.00 /      0.00 /      0.00
: 1123      /      0.00
:
:Local forecast 48-hr basin-averaged precip total
: QPF Total Ending Nov 23  0.49 inches


:________________________________________________________________

:DESOTO 1 N, KS - KANSAS RIVER     HSA - EAX
:MINOR FLOOD STAGE    26.0 FT FCST ISSUANCE STAGE  24.0 FT
:MODERATE FLOOD STAGE 33.0 FT MAJOR FLOOD STAGE    36.0 FT
:LATEST  RIVER STAGE 4.3 FT AT 1445Z ON NOV 21

:obs Stage      /       18Z /       00Z /       06Z /       12Z
:  1120         /       4.2 /       4.2 /       4.1 /       4.2

:
.ER DSOK1  20251121 Z DC202511211514/DH18/HGIFFZZ/DIH6
:Stage Fcst     /       12Z /       18Z /       00Z /       06Z
.E1  : 1121 :               /       4.4 /       5.1 /       5.8
.E2  : 1122 :   /       6.3 /       6.6 /       6.7 /       6.7
.E3  : 1123 :   /       6.4 /       6.1 /       5.8 /       5.5
.E4  : 1124 :   /       5.3 /       5.2 /       5.1 /       5.1
.E5  : 1125 :   /       5.0 /       4.9 /       4.8 /       4.7
.E6  : 1126 :   /       4.6

:Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip(inches) (PAST 24 hrs):
:           /       18Z /       00Z /       06Z /       12Z
: 1120      /      0.00 /      0.00 /      0.13 /      0.68
:
:Local observed 24-hr basin-averaged precip total
: QPE Total Ending Nov 21 at 14Z is 0.81 inches
:
:Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip(inches) (NEXT 48 hrs):
:           /       12Z /       18Z /       00Z /       06Z
: 1121                  /      0.59 /      0.08 /      0.01
: 1122      /      0.00 /      0.00 /      0.00 /      0.00
: 1123      /      0.00
:
:Local forecast 48-hr basin-averaged precip total
: QPF Total Ending Nov 23  0.68 inches


:DESOTO 1 N, KS - KANSAS RIVER     HSA - EAX
:LATEST  RIVER DISCHARGE 1.070 KCFS AT 1345Z ON NOV 21


:
.ER DSOK1  20251121 Z DC202511211514/DH18/QRIFFZZ/DIH6
:Flow Fcst      /       12Z /       18Z /       00Z /       06Z
.E1  : 1121 :               /     1.298 /     2.251 /     3.496
.E2  : 1122 :   /     4.550 /     5.268 /     5.564 /     5.399
.E3  : 1123 :   /     4.862 /     4.135 /     3.430 /     2.896
.E4  : 1124 :   /     2.567 /     2.389 /     2.277 /     2.166
.E5  : 1125 :   /     2.028 /     1.873 /     1.723 /     1.601
.E6  : 1126 :   /     1.520

:

:________________________________________________________________

:LAKE QUIVIRA 1 NW, KS - KANSAS RIVER     HSA - EAX
:MINOR FLOOD STAGE    26.0 FT FCST ISSUANCE STAGE  23.0 FT
:MODERATE FLOOD STAGE 33.0 FT MAJOR FLOOD STAGE    38.0 FT
:LATEST  RIVER STAGE 9.9 FT AT 1445Z ON NOV 21

:obs Stage      /       18Z /       00Z /       06Z /       12Z
:  1120         /       9.8 /       9.8 /       9.8 /       9.9

:
.ER KLQK1  20251121 Z DC202511211514/DH18/HGIFFZZ/DIH6
:Stage Fcst     /       12Z /       18Z /       00Z /       06Z
.E1  : 1121 :               /      10.1 /      10.3 /      10.5
.E2  : 1122 :   /      10.8 /      11.0 /      11.1 /      11.2
.E3  : 1123 :   /      11.2 /      11.1 /      11.0 /      10.9
.E4  : 1124 :   /      10.7 /      10.5 /      10.4 /      10.4
.E5  : 1125 :   /      10.3 /      10.3 /      10.2 /      10.2
.E6  : 1126 :   /      10.1

:Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip(inches) (PAST 24 hrs):
:           /       18Z /       00Z /       06Z /       12Z
: 1120      /      0.00 /      0.00 /      0.18 /      0.74
:
:Local observed 24-hr basin-averaged precip total
: QPE Total Ending Nov 21 at 14Z is 0.92 inches
:
:Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip(inches) (NEXT 48 hrs):
:           /       12Z /       18Z /       00Z /       06Z
: 1121                  /      0.55 /      0.05 /      0.01
: 1122      /      0.00 /      0.00 /      0.00 /      0.00
: 1123      /      0.00
:
:Local forecast 48-hr basin-averaged precip total
: QPF Total Ending Nov 23  0.61 inches


:****************************************************************
:COMMENT
:
:
:HSA - Hydrologic Service Area
:WFO - Weather Forecast Office
:TOP - NWS WFO Topeka, Kansas
:EAX - NWS WFO Pleasant Hill, Missouri
:OBS - Observed
:EST - Estimated
:M - Missing
:Stage Fcst - River Stage forecast including future precipitation
:Flow Fcst - River Flow forecast including future precipitation
:Precip - Precipitation
:QPE - Observed radar estimated precipitation
:QPF - Forecasted mean areal precipitation for local basin
:
:
$$
:MBRFC Sipprell
:...END of MESSAGE...