136
FGUS63 KKRF 011511
ESPKSR

HYDROLOGIC ENSEMBLE FORECAST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
MISSOURI BASIN RIVER FORECAST CENTER PLEASANT HILL MO
1510Z Sat Nov 01 2025

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**** THESE ARE 10 DAY FORECASTS PRODUCED WITH HEFS  ****

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Hydrologic Ensemble Forecast Service (HEFS) probabilities
are displayed in the table below. The table lists the flood
categories and probability of exceeding each category in the
next 10 days.

-- KANSAS FORECAST GROUP --
                ISSUANCE       MINOR        MODERATE       MAJOR
               STG   PROB    STG   PROB    STG   PROB    STG   PROB
:CHAPMAN CR AT CHAPMAN KS 4NNW
CHPK1 (TOP)    17.0  <5%     19.0  <5%     26.0  <5%     37.0  <5%
:LYON CR AT JUNCTION CITY KS 7S
JNCK1 (TOP)    19.0  <5%     21.0  <5%     35.0  <5%     39.0  <5%
:SMOKY HILL R AT JUNCTION CITY KS 4SSW
JUCK1 (TOP)    20.0  <5%     22.0  <5%     32.0  <5%     44.0  <5%
:KANSAS R AT FT RILEY KS
FTRK1 (TOP)    19.0  <5%     21.0  <5%     26.0  <5%     33.0  <5%
:KANSAS R AT MANHATTAN KS
MHKK1 (TOP)    16.0  <5%     18.0  <5%     26.0  <5%     42.0  <5%
:KANSAS R AT WAMEGO KS NO.2
WMGK1 (TOP)    17.0  <5%     19.0  <5%     26.0  <5%     38.0  <5%
:VERMILLION CR AT WAMEGO KS 11NE
VCWK1 (TOP)    18.0  <5%     20.0  <5%     24.0  <5%     30.0  <5%
:ROCK CR AT LOUISVILLE KS
LISK1 (TOP)    25.0  <5%     27.0  <5%     33.0  <5%     43.0  <5%
:KANSAS R AT BELVUE KS 4SE
BVUK1 (TOP)    18.0  <5%     20.0  <5%     28.0  <5%     33.0  <5%
:CROSS CR AT ROSSVILLE KS
RSSK1 (TOP)    23.0  <5%     25.0  <5%     29.0  <5%     31.0  <5%
:MILL CR AT PAXICO KS 1SW
PXCK1 (TOP)    19.0  <5%     21.0  <5%     31.0  <5%     33.0  <5%
:KANSAS R AT TOPEKA KS
TPAK1 (TOP)    15.0  <5%     26.0  <5%     27.0  <5%     44.0  <5%
:SOLDIER CR AT DELIA KS 3E
DELK1 (TOP)    24.0  <5%     26.0  <5%     26.5  <5%     29.5  <5%
:SOLDIER CR AT TOPEKA KS 4NW
TOPK1 (TOP)    27.0  <5%     29.0  <5%     34.0  <5%     40.0  <5%
:DELAWARE R AT MUSCOTAH KS 2S
MSCK1 (EAX)    25.0  <5%     27.0  <5%     28.0  <5%     36.0  <5%
:KANSAS R AT LECOMPTON KS 1NE
LCPK1 (TOP)    15.0  <5%     17.0  <5%     23.8  <5%     27.0  <5%
:KANSAS R AT LAWRENCE KS HWY 40
LWRK1 (TOP)    16.0  <5%     18.0  <5%     20.0  <5%     29.0  <5%
:WAKARUSA R AT WAKARUSA KS
WRWK1 (TOP)    13.0  <5%     15.0  <5%     22.0  <5%     24.0  <5%
:WAKARUSA R AT LAWRENCE KS 4S
LAWK1 (TOP)    21.0  <5%     23.0  <5%     25.0  <5%     45.0  <5%
:STRANGER CR AT EASTON KS
ESTK1 (EAX)    15.0  5%      17.0  5%      18.0  <5%     23.0  <5%
:STRANGER CR AT TONGANOXIE KS 4E
TNGK1 (EAX)    20.0  <5%     23.0  <5%     30.0  <5%     35.0  <5%
:KANSAS R AT DESOTO KS 1N
DSOK1 (EAX)    24.0  <5%     26.0  <5%     33.0  <5%     36.0  <5%
:KANSAS R AT LAKE QUIVIRA KS 1NW
KLQK1 (EAX)    23.0  <5%     26.0  <5%     33.0  <5%     38.0  <5%
:WILDCAT CR AT MANHATTAN KS SCENIC DR
MWCK1 (TOP)    10.0  <5%     14.0  <5%     17.0  <5%     23.0  <5%

:END OF MESSAGE

$$