Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Key West, FL

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298
FXUS62 KKEY 111455
AFDKEY

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Key West FL
1055 AM EDT Fri Sep 11 2026

...New DISCUSSION, MARINE, AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Moisture will linger across the region through the start of the
  weekend, supporting slightly above normal rain and thunderstorm
  chances.

- The primary threat for any stronger thunderstorms will be
  lightning strikes. When thunder roars, go indoors. If on a boat,
  stay low, or go below.

- Heat index values will range from 100-108 degrees daily with
  little relief from the muggy conditions overnight. Know the
  signs of heat stress, take frequent breaks, and stay hydrated.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1055 AM EDT Fri Sep 11 2026
KBYX has continuously detected scattered showers in various
locations of the coastal waters this morning. The island chain
has seen a few cross over only producing a few hundredths of an
inch in rainfall. Along the island chain temperatures are nearing
90 with dewpoints in the upper 70s making for another humid day.
GOES-19 Visible Satelitte shows mostly sunny skies. Across the
Reef, marine locations are reporting east to southeast winds of
near 10 knots. Today is expected to continue with a similar
pattern of garden variety showers popping up across the coastal
waters and occasionally moving northwest across the island chain
itself. No changes were needed to this update package.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 1055 AM EDT Fri Sep 11 2026
No watches, warnings, or advisories are currently in effect in the
Florida Keys waters. From synopsis, ridging across the
southeastern United States and Florida will maintain mostly gentle
east to southeasterly breezes over the next few days. Expect
breezes to peak in the evening and overnight while lulling during
the day. Low level moisture will remain abundant and keep
convective potential slightly above normal. The ridge will be
reinforced late in the forecast and may drive freshening northeast
to easterly breezes.

&&

.AVIATION...
(15Z TAFS)
Issued at 1055 AM EDT Fri Sep 11 2026
VFR conditions will prevail at both EYW and MTH through the TAF
period. Scattered showers will continue to pop up throughout the
coastal waters occasionally crossing over the island chain,
therefore VCSH is included at both terminals. If direct impacts
are expected TEMPOs will be included at that time. Near surface
winds will be east to southeasterly at 5 to 10 knots.

&&

.KEY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
GM...None.
&&

$$

Public/Marine/Fire...AP
Aviation/Nowcasts....AP
Data Acquisition.....AP

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