070
FXUS62 KKEY 300336
AFDKEY

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Key West FL
1036 PM EST Thu Jan 29 2026

...New DISCUSSION, MARINE, AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...

-Rain chances will increase tonight and Friday.

-A strong cold front will blast through the Florida Keys on
 Saturday, with a line of showers expected along and just ahead of
 the frontal passage.

-Very cold and windy conditions are expected Saturday evening
 through at least Monday morning. A Wind Advisory and/or a Cold
 Weather Advisory may be required for portions or all of the
 Keys.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1036 PM EST Thu Jan 29 2026
Clusters of light showers linger in the Straits of Florida and
the nearshore waters of the Middle Keys though very little rain
has fallen on the island chain. Temperatures are in the mid to
lower 60s with dew points near 50 making for another chilly night.
Along the Reef, northeast winds are 10 to 15 knots. Overnight,
showers will continue drifting over the Straits occasionally
making it to the island chain but significant rainfall is not
expected at this time, and breezes will stay moderate to fresh.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 1036 PM EST Thu Jan 29 2026
Small Craft Should Exercise in the Straits of Florida for moderate
to fresh breezes. From synopsis, gentle to moderate, occasionally
fresh, northerly breezes will continue through Friday. A strong
cold front will blast through the Florida Keys marine zones on
Saturday. Breezes will back to the northwest and dramatically
freshen in the wake of the front. Confidence continues to increase
for a period of gale- force winds Saturday night into early
Sunday, as high pressure building across the Gulf Coast interacts
with the front. While breezes will slowly slacken Sunday through
Monday, marine hazards will continue.

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 1036 PM EST Thu Jan 29 2026
VFR conditions will prevail overnight at both EYW and MTH. Some
light showers will near both terminals but significant impacts
are not expected at this time. TEMPOs will be included for lower
ceilings if need be. Near surface winds will be northeast at near
10 knots.

&&

.KEY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
GM...None.
&&

$$

Public/Marine/Fire...AP
Aviation/Nowcasts....AP
Data Acquisition.....DR

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