Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Key West, FL
Issued by NWS Key West, FL
318 FXUS62 KKEY 121511 AFDKEY Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Key West FL 1011 AM EST Wed Feb 12 2025 ...New DISCUSSION, MARINE, AVIATION... .DISCUSSION... Issued at 1000 AM EST Wed Feb 12 2025 Upper-air analysis depicts an amplified pattern across the CONUS. A longwave trough, with its axis along the Rockies, entrenches the western half of the country, with a dominant ridge to its east, slowly progressing eastward. Meanwhile, at the surface, a stationary front extends from the Gulf coast northeastward to off the Carolina coastline, with an expansive area of high pressure extending from southwest of the Azores westward to the Florida Peninsula. GOES-16 visible satellite imagery is consistent with these surface features, with widespread stratus along and north of the aforementioned frontal feature, coupled with fair weather cumuli to the south rotating anticyclonically around the surface high. Skies are mostly sunny across the Florida Keys, with KBYX void of any meteorological echo returns. A "rinse and repeat" forecast on tap for today, with highs climbing to near 80F, dew points in the lower 70s, and nil rain chances. No changes proposed for this late morning update cycle. && .MARINE... Issued at 1000 AM EST Wed Feb 12 2025 Small Craft Should Exercise Caution in the Straits of Florida east of the Seven Mile Bridge. Otherwise, there are no watches, warnings, advisories for the Florida Keys marine zones. From synopsis, a robust Atlantic surface ridge will stretch westward across the North Atlantic to the Florida Peninsula, maintaining moderate to fresh breezes on Keys waters over the next couple of days. The ridge will then retreat eastward, as a mid- latitude trough advances off the Eastern Seaboard late Tuesday. This will allow breezes to slacken and veer further southeasterly. This modest lull will be short- lived, as a new continental high builds eastwards off the eastern United States. As this ridge builds in, expect easterly breezes to once again freshen. && .AVIATION... (12Z TAFS) Issued at 1000 AM EST Wed Feb 12 2025 VFR conditions will prevail at both EYW and MTH through the TAF period. Near surface winds will be southeasterly at 10 to 15 knots through this afternoon. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Key West 81 74 82 73 / 0 0 0 10 Marathon 81 75 83 73 / 0 0 0 10 && .KEY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... FL...None. GM...None. && $$ Public/Marine/Fire...BT Aviation/Nowcasts....AP Data Acquisition.....AP Visit us on the web at weather.gov/key Follow us on Facebook and Twitter at: www.facebook.com/nwskeywest www.twitter.com/nwskeywest