381
FXUS62 KKEY 111756
AFDKEY

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Key West FL
1256 PM EST Thu Dec 11 2025

...New DISCUSSION, AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...

-Drier conditions will continue through the rest of the work week.

-The next opportunity for showers and even possible thunderstorms
 is sometime over the Saturday to Sunday timeframe.

-Northerly breezes will gradually clock around to the northeast
 and slacken heading into the end of the week. Late this weekend,
 breezes will once again freshen, as the next cold front pushes
 through the Florida Keys Sunday night.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1244 PM EST Thu Dec 11 2025
VFR conditions will prevail at both island terminals through 18z
Friday afternoon, along with near-nil rain chances. Cloud cover
will be limited to passing FEW-SCT025 as well as occasional high
clouds between 100-150. Near- surface northerly breezes will
gradually veer to the northeast, remaining at or less than 10
knots through the TAF period.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 1130 AM EST Thu Dec 11 2025
No watches, warnings, or advisories are in effect for the Florida
Keys waters. From synopsis, as high pressure drifts eastward over
the next several days and eventually into the western North
Atlantic, winds will clock around to the north to northeast, then
eventually northeast to east. The next frontal boundary is progged
to push through the Florida Keys marine zones on Sunday night,
with fresh to strong northeasterly breezes expected in the wake of
the frontal passage for early next week.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1130 AM EST Thu Dec 11 2025
What a difference twenty-four hours make. A cold front pushed
through the Florida Keys overnight. While there was not much
change in terms of temperatures in the wake of the front,
available surface observations highlight dewpoints hovering near
60F at this late morning hour. GOES-16 visibile satellite imagery
is depicting only few to scattered cloud cover dotting the Florida
Keys marine zones, with both plan view total precipitable water
product and vertical moisture profile derived from the 12z morning
sounding at KEY highlighting substantial dry, continental moisture
advection to the Keys. The forecast calls for near-nil rain
chances this afternoon, with temperatures likely already peaking
for daytime highs in the mid 70s. No changes required to the
inherited overnight forecast package.

&&

.KEY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
GM...None.
&&

$$

Public/Marine/Fire...BT
Aviation/Nowcasts....BT
Data Acquisition.....BT

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