


Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Key West, FL
Issued by NWS Key West, FL
660 FXUS62 KKEY 071745 AFDKEY Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Key West FL 145 PM EDT Sat Jun 7 2025 ...New AVIATION... .AVIATION... (18Z TAFS) Issued at 145 PM EDT Sat Jun 7 2025 VFR conditions will prevail at both EYW and MTH through the TAF period. Saharan dust will limit any shower activity but should not impact CIGs or VIS. Near surface winds will continue to be east to southeasterly at near 10 knots through this evening. && .DISCUSSION... Issued at 1040 AM EDT Sat Jun 7 2025 A pleasant morning for the Florida Keys. KBYX is echo-free and GOES-19 is only detecting some fair weather cumulus across our CWA, although, saharan air lingering in our area will make our blue sky look a little less blue today. Across the island chain, temperatures are in the mid to upper 80s. The Reef is recording winds of near 10 knots. Not much is expected to change going into tonight, as mean layer ridging keeps winds light to gentle and east to southeasterly and SAL limits shower development. Therefore, no updates to the forecast were neccesary at this time. Happy Saturday! && .FORECAST... Issued at 430 AM EDT Sat Jun 7 2025 Mean layer ridging will remain the name of the game through the forecast period. Light to gentle east to southeast breezes will continue through the weekend. Breezes will become slightly stronger next week as the high near the Azores shifts more to the central North Atlantic. This will promote gentle to moderate breezes through the early to middle part of the week. There are hints for the latter half of the week for breezes to potentially freshen further with moderate to fresh breezes possible leading to breezy conditions. Moisture will be rather scarce at least until early next week. The Saharan Air Layer (SAL) will continue to remain quite prevalent across Florida and the Keys through at least Monday leading to near nil rain chances for the Keys today and tonight. The SAL begins to slowly abate Sunday and Sunday night which will lead to a slight uptick in moisture. As a result, slight chances (10%) come back into the forecast for Sunday and Sunday night. Moisture continues to become a bit deeper as we progress through the early to middle part of the week resulting in increasing rain chances. Monday and Monday night remains slight at 20% before increasing for Tuesday and Tuesday night to 30% and then to 40% for mid to late week. Temperatures will remain near seasonable conditions for much of the week with highs in the upper 80s and lows in the lower 80s. Humidity will remain seasonable as well. && .MARINE... Issued at 1040 AM EDT Sat Jun 7 2025 No watches, warnings, or advisories are in effect for the Florida Keys waters. From synopsis, saharan dust will continue to linger in the air, and will promote lower rain and thunder chances through the weekend. The Azores high will dominate the pattern through the forecast period with light to gentle east to southeast breezes through the weekend. Early to mid next week, the Azores high will shift to the southwest more over the central North Atlantic which will encourage gentle to moderate east to southeast breezes. && .KEY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... FL...None. GM...None. && $$ Public/Marine/Fire...AP Aviation/Nowcasts....AP Data Acquisition.....AP Visit us on the web at weather.gov/key Follow us on Facebook and Twitter at: www.facebook.com/nwskeywest www.twitter.com/nwskeywest