Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Key West, FL

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660
FXUS62 KKEY 071745
AFDKEY

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Key West FL
145 PM EDT Sat Jun 7 2025

...New AVIATION...

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 145 PM EDT Sat Jun 7 2025
VFR conditions will prevail at both EYW and MTH through the TAF
period. Saharan dust will limit any shower activity but should not
impact CIGs or VIS. Near surface winds will continue to be east
to southeasterly at near 10 knots through this evening.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1040 AM EDT Sat Jun 7 2025
A pleasant morning for the Florida Keys. KBYX is echo-free and
GOES-19 is only detecting some fair weather cumulus across our
CWA, although, saharan air lingering in our area will make our
blue sky look a little less blue today. Across the island chain,
temperatures are in the mid to upper 80s. The Reef is recording
winds of near 10 knots. Not much is expected to change going into
tonight, as mean layer ridging keeps winds light to gentle and
east to southeasterly and SAL limits shower development.
Therefore, no updates to the forecast were neccesary at this
time. Happy Saturday!

&&

.FORECAST...
Issued at 430 AM EDT Sat Jun 7 2025
Mean layer ridging will remain the name of the game through the
forecast period. Light to gentle east to southeast breezes will
continue through the weekend. Breezes will become slightly
stronger next week as the high near the Azores shifts more to the
central North Atlantic. This will promote gentle to moderate
breezes through the early to middle part of the week. There are
hints for the latter half of the week for breezes to potentially
freshen further with moderate to fresh breezes possible leading to
breezy conditions.

Moisture will be rather scarce at least until early next week.
The Saharan Air Layer (SAL) will continue to remain quite
prevalent across Florida and the Keys through at least Monday
leading to near nil rain chances for the Keys today and tonight.
The SAL begins to slowly abate Sunday and Sunday night which will
lead to a slight uptick in moisture. As a result, slight chances
(10%) come back into the forecast for Sunday and Sunday night.
Moisture continues to become a bit deeper as we progress through
the early to middle part of the week resulting in increasing rain
chances. Monday and Monday night remains slight at 20% before
increasing for Tuesday and Tuesday night to 30% and then to 40%
for mid to late week. Temperatures will remain near seasonable
conditions for much of the week with highs in the upper 80s and
lows in the lower 80s. Humidity will remain seasonable as well.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 1040 AM EDT Sat Jun 7 2025
No watches, warnings, or advisories are in effect for the Florida
Keys waters. From synopsis, saharan dust will continue to linger
in the air, and will promote lower rain and thunder chances
through the weekend. The Azores high will dominate the pattern
through the forecast period with light to gentle east to southeast
breezes through the weekend. Early to mid next week, the Azores
high will shift to the southwest more over the central North
Atlantic which will encourage gentle to moderate east to southeast
breezes.

&&

.KEY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
GM...None.
&&

$$

Public/Marine/Fire...AP
Aviation/Nowcasts....AP
Data Acquisition.....AP

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