057
FXUS62 KKEY 030903
AFDKEY

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Key West FL
503 AM EDT Thu Sep 3 2026

...New DISCUSSION, MARINE, AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Conditions will generally be favorable for waterspout formation
  along portions of the Island Chain today.

- High moisture content across the region will support daily
  chances for showers and thunderstorms through the weekend.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 502 AM EDT Thu Sep 3 2026
Scattered showers have been waxing and waning in the Florida Keys
water for a majority of the overnight period and into this early
morning. While showers have popped up in various locations, the
island chain has not received much measurable rainfall.
Temperatures across the island chain are in the mid 80s with
dewpoints in the mid 70s making for a pleasant start to the
morning. Marine locations along the Reef are reporting light and
variable winds. Last night`s 00z sounding once again measured
above 2 inches of Precipitable Water though a little more dry air
is present in the upper levels in comparison to 24 hours ago. For
today, rain and thunderstorm chances will return to more normal
for this time of year around 30%. With southeasterly winds,
conditions will be generally favorable for waterspout formation.
For the remainder of the week while ridging continues to be our
dominating feature, therefore rain and thunderstorms chances will
remain seasonal with light to gentle east to southeasterly
breezes.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 502 AM EDT Thu Sep 3 2026
No watches, warnings, or advisories are currently in effect for
the Florida Keys waters. From synopsis, the western periphery of
a weak North Atlantic high will remain in loose control of the
Keys coastal waters for the next several days. Light to gentle
east to southeast breezes overnight through morning will become
light and variable at times during the afternoon and evenings. In
addition, the overall flow will keep low-level moisture in place
across the region, with seasonally normal rain and thunder
chances.

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 502 AM EDT Thu Sep 3 2026
VFR conditions are expected to prevail at both EYW and MTH through
the TAF period. Scattered showers are possible but timing and
confidence leaves only VCSH with TEMPOs being added if/when needed
for visibility and lower cloud ceilings. Near surface winds will
be light and variable and at times east to southeasterly.

&&

.KEY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
GM...None.
&&

$$

Public/Marine/Fire...AP
Aviation/Nowcasts....AP
Data Acquisition.....AP

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