Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Key West, FL
Issued by NWS Key West, FL
428 FXUS62 KKEY 081602 AFDKEY Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Key West FL 1102 AM EST Fri Nov 8 2024 ...New DISCUSSION, MARINE, AVIATION... .DISCUSSION... Issued at 909 AM EST Fri Nov 8 2024 While Hurricane Rafael, currently located in the middle of the Gulf of Mexico, keeps moving further away from our waters, conditions will continue to improve for the Florida Keys. As seen on GOES-16, cloud coverage has drastically decreased since Rafael has moved on, leaving mostly sunny skies for our CWA. Temperatures across the island chain are in the lower to mid 80s. Winds have been trending downward, with sites across the Reef reporting around 15 knots. In the Straits, winds are still slightly elevated but will decrease later this afternoon, although the Small Craft Advisory is no longer in effect, Small Craft Should Exercise Caution until winds decrease and seas subside. RAOB KKEY 12z indicates a significant drop in PWAT of almost a full inch from last night displaying very dry air from 700mb to 500 mb, which will limit any significant shower development. Considering the influx of dry air, the 10% PoPs for the rest of today and tonight are appropriate and with no significant changes to the current forecast package neccesary. && .MARINE... Issued at 909 AM EST Fri Nov 8 2024 Small Craft Should Exercise Caution in the Straits of Florida until winds decrease and seas subside. From synopsis, as Hurricane Rafael continues to progress away from the western Florida Keys marine zones, and high pressure slowly weakens in the North Atlantic, east to southeast breezes will modestly slacken today through Saturday. As another strong continental high pressure system builds over the Eastern Seaboard and pushes into the western North Atlantic, breezes will freshen for Saturday night through Sunday. A weak easterly wave will push through the marine zones south of the island chain late in the weekend into early next week, resulting in slackened easterly breezes. && .AVIATION... (15Z TAFS) Issued at 909 AM EST Fri Nov 8 2024 VFR conditions will prevail at both EYW and MTH today. Below normal rain chances will keep mention out of either TAF today. Near surface winds will be out of the east to southeast from 10 to 15 knots with some occasional gusts near 20 knots. && .CLIMATE... On this day in Keys Weather History, the daily record warm low temperature of 81F was recorded in 2015 in Key West. This is also the warmest low temperature ever recorded in November. Temperature records for Key West date back to 1872. && .KEY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... FL...None. GM...None. && $$ Public/Marine/Fire...AP Aviation/Nowcasts....JAM Data Acquisition.....JAM Visit us on the web at weather.gov/key Follow us on Facebook and Twitter at: www.facebook.com/nwskeywest www.twitter.com/nwskeywest