Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Key West, FL
Issued by NWS Key West, FL
473 FXUS62 KKEY 051936 AFDKEY Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Key West FL 236 PM EST Wed Feb 5 2025 ...New DISCUSSION, MARINE, AVIATION... .DISCUSSION... Issued at 200 PM EST Wed Feb 5 2025 After several weeks of unusually cool, cloudy, and unsettled conditions for the Florida Keys, Mother Nature has delivered yet another warm and mostly sunny early February 2025 afternoon. GOES-16 visible satellite imagery is highlighting scattered, fair weather cumulus clouds advecting towards the Keys marine zones in the mean low- level easterlies. The easterlies are being driven by expansive surface high pressure extending from the central Gulf of Mexico eastward to the western North Atlantic. KBYX and KAMX local Doppler radars are void of any meteorological echo returns, and temperatures are hovering near 80F at this mid- afternoon hour. Global ensemble mean and individual members are in fantastic agreement over the next seven days, yielding higher than normal confidence for both the short-term and extended forecast periods. Aloft, an anomalously strong mid- and upper- level ridge will remain firmly bridged over the Florida Peninsula. This feature will continue to deflect any mid- latitude cyclonic perturbations from diving towards the Keys. This ridging, combined with waxing and waning areas of surface high pressures centered to our east, will promote low (if not nil) rain chances for the next seven days, above normal temperatures, and mainly gentle to moderate breezes. For those looking for any hopes at a late season cold front, there is little support for any such feature to push through the Keys through at least mid- February. && .MARINE... Issued at 200 PM EST Wed Feb 5 2025 Small Craft Should Exercise Caution in the Straits of Florida for increasing winds overnight. Otherwise, there are no watches, warnings, or advisories in the Keys coastal waters. From synopsis, a series of high pressure systems will push across the eastern United States and into the western North Atlantic through Monday night. This will result in mainly gentle to moderate easterly breezes, along with low rain chances. Breezes will tend to peak in the overnight periods, then lull in the daytime hours. && .AVIATION... (18Z TAFS) Issued at 200 PM EST Wed Feb 5 2025 VFR and dry conditions will prevail through the TAF period at both EYW and MTH. Near surface winds will continue to be easterly at 10 to 15 knots through this evening. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Key West 79 72 79 72 / 0 0 0 0 Marathon 81 73 81 73 / 0 0 0 10 && .KEY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... FL...None. GM...None. && $$ Public/Marine/Fire...BT Aviation/Nowcasts....AP Data Acquisition.....AP Visit us on the web at weather.gov/key Follow us on Facebook and Twitter at: www.facebook.com/nwskeywest www.twitter.com/nwskeywest