Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Key West, FL
Issued by NWS Key West, FL
482 FXUS62 KKEY 050249 AFDKEY Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Key West FL 1049 PM EDT Fri Apr 4 2025 ...New DISCUSSION, MARINE, AVIATION... .DISCUSSION... Issued at 923 PM EDT Fri Apr 4 2025 A robust surface high centered not far north of the Bahamas continues to drive windy fresh east to southeasterlies across the Keys this evening. Winds are gusting near 30 mph at many island locations. The incoming air is sourced from essentially to our east. As a result, dew points have actually slipped a few degrees over the past 24 hours and are now near 70 while temperatures remain near 70. Deep layered ridging remains firmly in control of our area with the upper axis aligned across Florida and the southeastern Gulf. Precipitable water clocked in slightly above normal in this evenings sounding. While there is weak CAPE, there is a sliver of very low inhibition and low level forcing is quite weak. Consequently, shower activity has been minimal through the evening. No changes expected to the overall synoptic makeup through the night. As a result, windy east southeasterly breezes will continue across the Keys. Dew points will linger near 70 and overnight lows will struggle to make much headway in the upper 70s. The fast flow and weak inhibition makes it hard to completely eliminate the potential for showers. In addition, satellite imagery suggests that upstream stratocumulus are slightly taller and radar out of Miami is picking up some returns. As a result, will introduce dime PoPs for the overnight. && .MARINE... Issued at 923 PM EDT Fri Apr 4 2025 A robust surface high centered just northeast of the Bahamas will maintain a tight pressure gradient and fresh to strong east to southeasterly breezes across Keys waters overnight. A Small Craft Advisory remains in effect for all waters. && .AVIATION... (00Z TAFS) Issued at 923 PM EDT Fri Apr 4 2025 VFR conditions will prevail at the island terminals overnight. Windy and gusty east to southeasterly breezes will continue. && .KEY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... FL...None. GM...Small Craft Advisory for GMZ031>035-042>044-052>055-072>075. && $$ Public/Marine/Fire...11 Aviation/Nowcasts....11 Data Acquisition.....DP Visit us on the web at weather.gov/key Follow us on Facebook and Twitter at: www.facebook.com/nwskeywest www.twitter.com/nwskeywest