Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Key West, FL

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532
FXUS62 KKEY 140326
AFDKEY

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Key West FL
1026 PM EST Thu Nov 13 2025

...New DISCUSSION, MARINE, AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...

-Moderate to occasionally fresh breezes will persist through the
 remainder of the week and into the weekend, with winds peaking in
 the overnight to early morning hours and lulling in the
 afternoons.

-Temperatures will trend up to near or slightly below normal by
 the end of the week as high pressure, centered over the
 northeastern Gulf coast, weakens and stretches eastward into the
 Atlantic.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 953 PM EST Thu Nov 13 2025
Our warm weather lovers still insist weather conditions are a
little bit on the chilly side this evening as temperatures obs are
currently reporting near 70F. Dew points are near 60F, and we are
still enjoying it. GOES-19 IR imagery shows a mix of lower and
high level clouds across the CWA, so how much sky you can see if
you step outside will depend on where you are. High pressure is
still the dominating factor in this weather pattern, and our
proximity to it will allow for mainly gentle to moderate
northeasterly breezes to continue overnight. Some freshening will
occur when the land breeze is able to kick off of the mainland,
but this won`t be drastic like some of the winds we`ve seen
earlier this week. The current forecast package needs no changes
or updates at this time.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 953 PM EST Thu Nov 13 2025
There are no watches, warnings, or advisories in effect for the
Florida Keys local waters, but Small Craft Should Exercise Caution
for increasing winds across Bayside and Gulf side waters, Hawk
Channel, and the Deep Gulf. Across the Florida Straits, Small
Craft continue to Exercise Caution. From synopsis, breezes will
continue to peak overnight and lull during the morning and
afternoon through Saturday. Thereafter, high pressure across the
Southeast U.S. will gradually sink across or just north of the
Florida Keys. This feature will also weaken such that the coastal
waters surrounding the Keys, or at least portions, will become
light and variable Sunday and Sunday night. High pressure will
then lift northward and gradually strengthen, allowing for a slow
freshening of breezes.

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 953 PM EST Thu Nov 13 2025
VFR conditions will prevail with a mix of SCT to BKN decks near
FL050 throughout the overnight and morning hours. Northeasterly
surfaces winds near 10 knots will infrequently gusts between 15
and 20 knots, so opting to leave the mention of gusts out of TAFs
until 10Z. Weather conditions will remain dry.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Key West  69  79  71  80 /   0   0   0   0
Marathon  68  78  70  78 /  10   0   0   0

&&

.KEY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
GM...None.
&&

$$

Public/Marine/Fire...DP
Aviation/Nowcasts....DP
Data Acquisition.....AJP

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