Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Key West, FL
Issued by NWS Key West, FL
154 FXUS62 KKEY 070235 AFDKEY Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Key West FL 1035 PM EDT Tue May 6 2025 ...New DISCUSSION, MARINE, AVIATION... .DISCUSSION... Issued at 1030 PM EDT Tue May 6 2025 It has been another calm evening across the Florida Keys, though, the breeze has been increasing. KBYX radar is not detecting any shower activity with the few showers that were across the eastern portions of the area dissipating around 5-6 pm. GOES East Nighttime Microphysics shows mostly clear skies across the Keys with some cumulus mainly in the Straits and a few high level cirrus streaming from north to south across eastern portions of the area. Temperatures along the Island Chain are near 80 degrees with dew points in the mid 70s. An Atlantic ridge remains in place across the western North Atlantic though it is beginning to nudge its way back to the west influencing Florida more than in previous days. Due to this, marine platforms around the Keys are observing near 15 knots, though, Sand Key has recently been observing 15 to 20 knots. Island Chain communities are observing near 15 mph. .SHORT TERM FORECAST... The 00z evening sounding displays a dry profile this evening. The wind profile is mainly easterly near 15 knots. The PWAT value measured is 1.21 inches which is drier than previous nights and is near the 25th percentile for the date. Based on the above, no changes needed to the overnight forecast. Overall with slightly drier air and no significant triggers, we are expecting a dry overnight period. && .MARINE... Issued at 1030 PM EDT Tue May 6 2025 Small Craft Should Exercise Caution (SCEC) for increasing winds in the Straits of Florida overnight. From synopsis, an Atlantic ridge will continue to nudge further west as it lifts north into the Florida Peninsula over the next couple of days. Meanwhile, surface troughing will develop over the western Gulf. As a result, light southeasterly breezes will freshen tonight. Small Craft Should Exercise Caution for increasing winds in the Straits of Florida tonight. After mid week, the pressure pattern will be sloppy with ridging being the main driver for seasonable east to southeasterly breezes. && .AVIATION... (00Z TAFS) Issued at 1030 PM EDT Tue May 6 2025 VFR conditions are expected to prevail at both EYW and MTH terminals through the TAF period. Near surface winds are expected to remain east to southeast between 10 to 15 knots. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Key West 87 78 86 77 / 0 0 0 0 Marathon 85 78 84 77 / 0 0 0 0 && .KEY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... FL...None. GM...None. && $$ Public/Marine/Fire...MJV Aviation/Nowcasts....MJV Data Acquisition.....AJP Visit us on the web at weather.gov/key Follow us on Facebook and Twitter at: www.facebook.com/nwskeywest www.twitter.com/nwskeywest