River Forecast
Issued by NWS

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112
FGUS53 KMSR 031601
RVFKBM

RIVER FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
NWS NORTH CENTRAL RIVER FORECAST CENTER; CHANHASSEN MN
1101 AM CDT THU APR 03 2025

: THIS IS A NWS GUIDANCE PRODUCT FROM THE NORTH CENTRAL RIVER
: FORECAST CENTER.  PUBLIC FORECASTS AND WARNINGS ARE ISSUED BY NWS
: WEATHER FORECAST OFFICES.
:
: FORECAST GROUP IS KBM
:
: FORECASTS INCLUDE 72-HOURS OF FUTURE PRECIPITATION (QPF) IN 6 HOUR INCREMENTS
:
:************************************************************
:BIG MUDDY RIVER, PLMI2
:PLUMFIELD, IL - PAH
:
:ACTION STAGE      18.0 FTMINOR STAGE       20.0 FT
:MODERATE STAGE    27.0 FTMAJOR STAGE       34.0 FT
:
:THE RIVER STAGE WAS 12.4 FT AT 1500 Z ON APR 03
:RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE AROUND 09 Z ON 04/05/2025
.AR :CREST: PLMI2 0407 Z DC202504031601/DH1200/HGIFFXZ 30.7
:Crest near 30.7 FT around 12 Z on Mon, Apr 7
.ER PLMI2 0403 Z DC202504031601/DH18/HGIFF/DIH6
:RIVER FORECAST   /  12Z  /  18Z  /  00Z  /  06Z
.E1    : 0403 :           /  12.7 /  14.4 /  15.9
.E2    : 0404 :   /  16.7 /  17.6 /  18.5 /  19.3
.E3    : 0405 :   /  20.4 /  21.7 /  23.1 /  24.9
.E4    : 0406 :   /  26.9 /  28.6 /  29.8 /  30.5
.E5    : 0407 :   /  30.7 /  30.7 /  30.4 /  30.2
.E6    : 0408 :   /  30.1 /  30.1 /  30.1 /  30.1
.E7    : 0409 :   /  30.2 /  30.2 /  30.2 /  30.0
.E8    : 0410 :   /  29.8
:
: ***THE TABLE BELOW IS THE QPF FOR THE LOCAL DRAINAGE
: AREA AND DOES NOT REPRESENT THE QPF FOR ANY UPSTREAM
: WATERSHEDS***
:
:QPF (IN)   /  12Z  /  18Z  /  00Z  /  06Z
: 0403            /  0.00 /  0.13 /  0.56
: 0404    /  0.21 /  0.44 /  0.32 /  0.97
: 0405    /  1.24 /  0.64 /  1.21 /  0.71
: 0406    /  0.07
:
: 72-hr QPF Total Ending on Apr 06 is 6.50 inches
:
:FORECASTER COMMENTS...
:
:
:************************************************************
:BIG MUDDY RIVER, MURI2
:MURPHYSBORO 2SW-WWTP & RTE 127, IL - PAH
:
:ACTION STAGE      20.0 FTMINOR STAGE       22.0 FT
:MODERATE STAGE    28.0 FTMAJOR STAGE       36.0 FT
:
:THE RIVER STAGE WAS 11.2 FT AT 1500 Z ON APR 03
:RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE AROUND 21 Z ON 04/05/2025
.AR :CREST: MURI2 0410 Z DC202504031601/DH0000/HGIFFXZ 38.0
:Crest near 38.0 FT around 00 Z on Thu, Apr 10
.ER MURI2 0403 Z DC202504031601/DH18/HGIFF/DIH6
:RIVER FORECAST   /  12Z  /  18Z  /  00Z  /  06Z
.E1    : 0403 :           /  11.7 /  12.5 /  13.6
.E2    : 0404 :   /  14.7 /  15.6 /  16.7 /  17.7
.E3    : 0405 :   /  19.0 /  20.6 /  22.2 /  24.0
.E4    : 0406 :   /  25.7 /  27.6 /  29.4 /  30.9
.E5    : 0407 :   /  32.2 /  33.1 /  34.0 /  34.8
.E6    : 0408 :   /  35.5 /  36.2 /  36.7 /  37.2
.E7    : 0409 :   /  37.6 /  37.8 /  38.0 /  38.0
.E8    : 0410 :   /  37.9
:
: ***THE TABLE BELOW IS THE QPF FOR THE LOCAL DRAINAGE
: AREA AND DOES NOT REPRESENT THE QPF FOR ANY UPSTREAM
: WATERSHEDS***
:
:QPF (IN)   /  12Z  /  18Z  /  00Z  /  06Z
: 0403            /  0.01 /  0.23 /  0.46
: 0404    /  0.14 /  0.42 /  0.33 /  1.22
: 0405    /  1.21 /  0.68 /  1.12 /  0.54
: 0406    /  0.06
:
: 72-hr QPF Total Ending on Apr 06 is 6.42 inches
:
:FORECASTER COMMENTS...
:
:This location experiences significant backwater from the
:downstream mainstem river.
:************************************************************
:KASKASKIA RIVER, VNDI2
:VANDALIA WWTP, IL - LSX
:
:ACTION STAGE      16.0 FTMINOR STAGE       18.0 FT
:MODERATE STAGE    24.0 FTMAJOR STAGE       26.0 FT
:
:THE RIVER STAGE WAS 9.9 FT AT 1500 Z ON APR 03
:RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE AROUND 09 Z ON 04/05/2025
.AR :CREST: VNDI2 0407 Z DC202504031601/DH0600/HGIFFXZ 26.5
:Crest near 26.5 FT around 06 Z on Mon, Apr 7
:FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE AROUND 21 Z ON 04/09/2025
.ER VNDI2 0403 Z DC202504031601/DH18/HGIFF/DIH6
:RIVER FORECAST   /  12Z  /  18Z  /  00Z  /  06Z
.E1    : 0403 :           /  10.5 /  10.6 /  10.9
.E2    : 0404 :   /  11.2 /  11.6 /  13.3 /  16.7
.E3    : 0405 :   /  20.4 /  23.2 /  24.4 /  25.2
.E4    : 0406 :   /  25.7 /  26.1 /  26.4 /  26.5
.E5    : 0407 :   /  26.5 /  26.5 /  26.3 /  25.9
.E6    : 0408 :   /  25.2 /  24.3 /  23.1 /  21.4
.E7    : 0409 :   /  19.7 /  18.1 /  16.9 /  15.7
.E8    : 0410 :   /  15.1
:
: ***THE TABLE BELOW IS THE QPF FOR THE LOCAL DRAINAGE
: AREA AND DOES NOT REPRESENT THE QPF FOR ANY UPSTREAM
: WATERSHEDS***
:
:QPF (IN)   /  12Z  /  18Z  /  00Z  /  06Z
: 0403            /  0.00 /  0.15 /  0.08
: 0404    /  0.05 /  0.06 /  0.63 /  1.61
: 0405    /  0.54 /  0.29 /  0.48 /  0.12
: 0406    /  0.03
:
: 72-hr QPF Total Ending on Apr 06 is 4.04 inches
:
:FORECASTER COMMENTS...
:
:Rise solely based on QPF.
:RVF uncertainty due to levees in the vicinity that overtop
:at stages of 23-27.5 ft
:************************************************************
:KASKASKIA RIVER, KCAI2
:CARLYLE - US HWY 50, IL - LSX
:
:ACTION STAGE      15.0 FTMINOR STAGE       16.5 FT
:MODERATE STAGE    23.0 FTMAJOR STAGE       27.0 FT
:
:THE RIVER STAGE WAS 14.9 FT AT 1500 Z ON APR 03
:RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE AROUND 15 Z ON 04/04/2025
.ER KCAI2 0403 Z DC202504031601/DH18/HGIFF/DIH6
:RIVER FORECAST   /  12Z  /  18Z  /  00Z  /  06Z
.E1    : 0403 :           /  14.9 /  14.9 /  14.9
.E2    : 0404 :   /  14.9 /  18.5 /  18.5 /  18.5
.E3    : 0405 :   /  18.5 /  18.5 /  18.5 /  18.5
.E4    : 0406 :   /  18.5 /  18.5 /  18.5 /  18.5
.E5    : 0407 :   /  18.5 /  18.5 /  18.5 /  18.5
.E6    : 0408 :   /  18.5 /  18.5 /  18.5 /  18.5
.E7    : 0409 :   /  18.5 /  18.5 /  18.5 /  18.5
.E8    : 0410 :   /  18.5
:
: ***THE TABLE BELOW IS THE QPF FOR THE LOCAL DRAINAGE
: AREA AND DOES NOT REPRESENT THE QPF FOR ANY UPSTREAM
: WATERSHEDS***
:
:QPF (IN)   /  12Z  /  18Z  /  00Z  /  06Z
: 0403            /  0.00 /  0.23 /  0.14
: 0404    /  0.06 /  0.11 /  0.44 /  1.56
: 0405    /  0.74 /  0.39 /  0.64 /  0.18
: 0406    /  0.04
:
: 72-hr QPF Total Ending on Apr 06 is 4.53 inches
:
:FORECASTER COMMENTS...
:
:
:************************************************************
:KASKASKIA RIVER, NASI2
:NEW ATHENS, IL - LSX
:
:ACTION STAGE      77.0 FTMINOR STAGE       79.0 FT
:MODERATE STAGE    82.0 FTMAJOR STAGE       85.0 FT
:
:THE RIVER STAGE WAS 69.0 FT AT 2145 Z ON APR 02
:RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE AROUND 09 Z ON 04/06/2025
.AR :CREST: NASI2 0408 Z DC202504031601/DH1800/HGIFFXZ 86.7
:Crest near 86.7 FT around 18 Z on Tue, Apr 8
.ER NASI2 0403 Z DC202504031601/DH18/HGIFF/DIH6
:RIVER FORECAST   /  12Z  /  18Z  /  00Z  /  06Z
.E1    : 0403 :           /  69.7 /  70.2 /  70.7
.E2    : 0404 :   /  71.3 /  71.7 /  71.9 /  72.3
.E3    : 0405 :   /  73.0 /  74.2 /  76.0 /  78.9
.E4    : 0406 :   /  80.4 /  82.6 /  83.7 /  84.6
.E5    : 0407 :   /  85.1 /  85.6 /  86.0 /  86.3
.E6    : 0408 :   /  86.5 /  86.7 /  86.7 /  86.7
.E7    : 0409 :   /  86.7 /  86.6 /  86.3 /  85.9
.E8    : 0410 :   /  85.5
:
: ***THE TABLE BELOW IS THE QPF FOR THE LOCAL DRAINAGE
: AREA AND DOES NOT REPRESENT THE QPF FOR ANY UPSTREAM
: WATERSHEDS***
:
:QPF (IN)   /  12Z  /  18Z  /  00Z  /  06Z
: 0403            /  0.00 /  0.34 /  0.23
: 0404    /  0.06 /  0.26 /  0.41 /  1.59
: 0405    /  0.81 /  0.55 /  0.75 /  0.23
: 0406    /  0.05
:
: 72-hr QPF Total Ending on Apr 06 is 5.28 inches
:
:FORECASTER COMMENTS...
:
:This location experiences significant backwater from the
:downstream mainstem river.
:RVF uncertainty because there is no historical analog to
:compare to
:
:*******************************************************************
:
$$
:
FCSTR EXT: 2569
:
:...END of MESSAGE...