Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Jackson, KY

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523
FNUS73 KJKL 161206
FWSJKL

Spot Forecast for Rockhouse 1&2...USFS
National Weather Service Jackson KY
706 AM EST Sun Nov 16 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0600 EST on November 17.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...Noticeably cooler and much drier air will arrive
for today and Monday behind this morning`s cold front passage,
with relative humidity likely falling to near 25 percent this
afternoon and Monday afternoon. Good mixing depths are expected
both days, but winds will become light Monday, limiting
dispersion. A warm front passage Tuesday will bring increasing
moisture along with shower and thunderstorm chances.

.MONDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 54.
Min humidity........22 percent.
Dewpoint............19.
Min apparent temp...32.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
Ridgetop wind.......West 2 to 3 mph.
Mixing height.......3100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 5 to 8 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (1400 knot-ft) increasing to poor (11000
                    knot-ft) in the afternoon.
LVORI...............2.
ADI.................5 to 32.

TIME (EST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........9   7   4   2   2   8   7   5   4   4   3   5
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............33  32  33  37  42  46  49  51  52  52  53  50
Dewpoint........20  20  21  21  21  20  19  18  17  17  17  18
RH..............58  61  61  52  43  35  30  27  25  25  24  28
Aparnt tmp (F)..33  32  33  37  42  46  49  51  52  52  53  50
20 FT wind dir..W   SW  SW  W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
20 FT wind spd..1   1   1   1   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   1
20 FT wind gust.3   3   3   3   5   6   7   7   7   6   5   3
Ridge wind dir..W   SW  SW  W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
Ridge wind spd..2   2   2   2   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   2
Mix hgt (kft)...0.3 0.3 0.4 0.9 1.5 2.1 2.5 2.7 3.0 3.1 2.8 2.0
Transp wind dir.W   W   W   W   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  W
Transp wind spd.5   5   5   5   6   6   6   7   8   8   8   6
LVORI...........3   3   3   2   2   2   2   2   2   1   2   2
ADI.............5   5   5   5   11  16  19  23  29  32  28  16
Vrate kt-ft/1K..1   1   2   4   8   11  13  16  20  23  20  11
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR

.MONDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (20-30 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain showers overnight.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 37.
Max humidity........67 percent.
Dewpoint............21 increasing to 25 early in the evening.
Min apparent temp...37.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
Ridgetop wind.......West around 2 mph shifting to the north around
                    1 mph early in the evening, then shifting to
                    the southeast 1 to 3 mph early in the evening.
Mixing height.......0 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 3 to 5 mph shifting to the south 2 to 6
                    mph early in the evening.
Vent Rate...........Poor (100 knot-ft).
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................1 to 2.

TIME (EST)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........8   10  16  23  29  37  44  52  59  65  72  74
Weather cov.....                            SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....                            RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   20  20  20  20  20
Temp............47  44  42  40  38  38  37  37  37  38  38  39
Dewpoint........19  23  24  24  26  26  26  27  27  26  26  27
RH..............32  43  48  52  62  62  64  67  67  62  62  62
Aparnt tmp (F)..47  44  42  40  38  38  37  37  37  38  38  39
20 FT wind dir..W   N   N   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..1   0   0   1   1   1   2   2   2   2   2   2
20 FT wind gust.2   2   2   3   3   3   5   5   5   6   6   7
Ridge wind dir..W   N   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
Ridge wind spd..2   1   1   2   2   2   3   3   3   3   3   3
Mix hgt (kft)...1.1 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3
Transp wind dir.W   SW  SW  S   S   S   S   S   SE  SE  SE  S
Transp wind spd.5   3   3   2   2   2   3   3   3   5   5   6
LVORI...........2   2   2   2   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3
ADI.............2   2   1   1   1   1   1   2   2   2   2   2
Vrate kt-ft/1K..4   1   0   0   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain showers early in the morning, then chance
                    of rain showers in the morning. Rain showers
                    likely in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......60 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 62.
Min humidity........43 percent.
Dewpoint............30 increasing to 41.
Min apparent temp...37.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming south around 5 mph in the
                    afternoon.
Ridgetop wind.......South 5 to 7 mph.
Mixing height.......1400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 6 to 14 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (1500 knot-ft) increasing to poor (9600
                    knot-ft) in the afternoon.
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................5 to 22.

TIME (EST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........77  79  80  80  81  83  84  86  80  73  67  69
Weather cov.....SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).20  50  50  50  50  50  50  60  60  60  60  60
Temp............39  40  43  45  48  52  55  59  60  60  61  59
Dewpoint........28  29  31  32  34  35  37  38  39  41  42  43
RH..............64  64  62  60  58  52  51  45  46  49  49  55
Aparnt tmp (F)..37  38  41  44  47  52  55  59  60  60  61  59
20 FT wind dir..SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..3   3   3   3   3   5   5   6   6   6   6   6
20 FT wind gust.7   8   8   9   9   10  12  13  14  14  14  14
Ridge wind dir..SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Ridge wind spd..5   5   5   5   5   6   6   7   7   7   7   7
Mix hgt (kft)...0.3 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.7 1.0 1.2 1.4 1.4 1.3 1.2 1.0
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   SW
Transp wind spd.6   7   7   8   9   12  13  14  14  13  12  12
LVORI...........3   3   3   3   3   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
ADI.............5   5   6   6   7   14  19  22  21  19  16  14
Vrate kt-ft/1K..2   2   3   4   6   9   14  17  17  14  12  10
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR

$$
Forecaster...CMC
Requested by...David DeGennaro
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2525928.1/JKL
.DELDT 11/16/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL david.degennaro@usda.gov