Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Jackson, KY
Issued by NWS Jackson, KY
922
FNUS73 KJKL 051101
FWSJKL
Spot Forecast for RED - Goblin...KICC
National Weather Service Jackson KY
601 AM EST Tue Nov 5 2024
Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0600 EST on November 05.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.
Please contact our office if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.
.DISCUSSION...High pressure will continue to gradually depart to
the east today, while a cold front will begin to approach from
the Central U.S. Southerly winds between these systems will be
gusty at times today with record or near record highs. The front
will be weakening as it arrives, but is expected to bring showers
to the fire area arriving by Wednesday morning. Measurable
rainfall is expected, with about two tenths of an inch forecast
for the Red-Goblin Fire from late tonight into Thursday.
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 80.
Min humidity........Around 39 percent.
Dewpoint............Around 55.
Max apparent temp...80.
Wind (20 ft)........South around 5 mph early becoming south 6 to 9
mph with gusts to around 21 mph.
Ridgetop wind.......South 6 to 12 mph.
Mixing height.......Max 4700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 9 to 17 mph becoming south 18 to 24 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (2500 knot-ft) early increasing to good
(59300 knot-ft) to excellent (94900 knot-ft).
LVORI...............4 early, 1 to 2 late.
ADI.................9 early peaking at 95 in the afternoon.
Haines Index........3 to 4 or very low to low potential for large
plume dominated fire growth.
TIME (EST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........35 23 11 8 5 2 7 4 4 7 10 13
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Temp............59 59 60 64 69 74 77 79 79 80 77 75
Dewpoint........54 54 55 56 57 56 55 54 54 54 54 53
RH..............81 83 81 81 66 53 47 42 42 41 45 46
Aparnt tmp (F)..60 59 61 62 69 74 77 79 79 80 77 75
20 FT wind dir..S S S S S S S S S S S S
20 FT wind spd..5 5 6 7 8 8 9 10 10 10 9 9
20 FT wind gust.13 14 15 18 20 21 21 21 21 21 20 18
Ridge wind dir..S S S S S S S S S S S S
Ridge wind spd..6 6 7 8 9 9 10 12 12 12 10 10
Mix hgt (kft)...0.3 0.3 0.8 1.6 2.5 3.0 3.6 4.0 4.5 4.7 4.2 1.5
Transp wind dir.S S S S S S S S S S S S
Transp wind spd.9 9 13 17 21 23 22 24 24 23 22 14
LVORI...........4 4 4 3 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2
ADI.............9 10 14 38 67 85 82 90 95 92 80 26
Haines index....4 4 4 3 3 3 3 4 4 4 4 3
Vrate kt-ft/1K..3 3 9 24 45 59 68 84 95 94 80 18
Ventrate Cat....PR PR PR PR FR FR GD EX EX EX EX PR
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent) then becoming
mostly cloudy (45-55 percent). A Slight chance
of showers after 0200.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....Around 60.
Max humidity........Around 97 percent.
Dewpoint............Around 56 increasing to around 59.
Max apparent temp...Around 69.
Wind (20 ft)........South 5 to 8 mph.
Ridgetop wind.......South 6 to 10 mph.
Mixing height.......Decreasing to 300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 11 to 14 mph.
Vent Rate...........Decreasing to Poor (3400 knot-ft).
LVORI...............2 early, 7 late.
ADI.................5 to 8.
Haines Index........3 to 4 or very low to low potential for large
plume dominated fire growth.
TIME (EST) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM
Sky (%).........10 13 10 22 20 31
Weather cov..... S CHC
Weather type....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE RNSHWR
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 10 10 20
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1
Temp............69 64 61 60 60 60
Dewpoint........54 57 58 58 59 59
RH..............59 78 90 93 96 96
Aparnt tmp (F)..69 64 61 60 60 60
20 ft wind......S 8 S 7 S 7 S 6 S 6 S 6
20 ft wind gust.17 16 17 16 15 15
Ridgetop wind...S 9 S 8 S 8 S 7 S 7 S 7
Mix hgt (ft)....600 500 300 400 400 400
Transport wind..S 13 S 12 S 12 S 12 S 13 S 13
LVORI...........2 4 6 6 7 7
ADI.............8 6 6 6 6 6
Haines index....3 4 4 3 3 4
Vrate kt-ft/1K..7 5 3 4 4 5
Ventrate Cat....POOR POOR POOR POOR POOR POOR
.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of
showers and a slight chance of
thunderstorms after 1400.
Chance of pcpn......50 percent.
LAL.................1, then 2 after 1400.
Max temperature.....Around 78.
Min humidity........Around 58 percent.
Dewpoint............Around 60 increasing to around 63.
Max apparent temp...Around 78.
Wind (20 ft)........South 4 to 6 mph. Gusty and erratic winds
possible near any thunderstorms.
Ridgetop wind.......South 5 to 7 mph.
Mixing height.......Max 3700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South to southwest 12 to 21 mph becoming
southwest 18 to 25 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (4900 knot-ft) early, increasing to good
(53800 knot-ft) to good (74800 knot-ft).
LVORI...............6 early, then 1 in the afternoon.
ADI.................9 early, peaking at 82 in the afternoon.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
TIME (EST) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM
Sky (%).........67 64 74 67
Weather cov.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).30 40 50 50
LAL.............1 1 1 1
Temp............60 66 77 78
Dewpoint........59 63 63 63
RH..............96 90 62 60
Aparnt tmp (F)..60 66 77 78
20 FT wind......S 6G14 S 6G14 SW 6G12 SW 5G9
Ridgetop wind...S 7 S 7 SW 7 SW 6
Mix hgt (ft)....500 2100 3500 2900
Transport wind..S 12 SW 21 SW 24 SW 18
LVORI...........6 4 1 1
ADI.............9 51 82 50
Haines index....3 3 3 3
Vrate kt-ft/1K..5 37 73 47
Ventrate Cat....POOR POOR GOOD FAIR
$$
Forecaster...JP
Requested by...Emma
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2425743.0/JKL
.DELDT 11/05/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL tdraper@blm.gov,kykic@firenet.gov,sofarrell@blm.gov