Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Jackson, KY

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671
FNUS73 KJKL 242308
FWSJKL

Spot Forecast for Steeltrap oPENING...USFS
National Weather Service Jackson KY
608 PM EST Sun Nov 24 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0600 EST on November 25.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...A cold front will approach from the northwest on
Monday. Low clouds will arrive overnight or early Monday ahead of
the front, resulting in partly to mostly cloudy skies during the
day. Even so, it will be mild as warmer and more humid air (by
November standards) blows into the area on increasing south to
southwest winds. Locations with exposure can expect gusts to top
20 mph in the late morning and afternoon. Although transport winds
will be decent, a lack of full sun will limit mixing depths. A
shower can`t be ruled out toward evening, but the bulk of the
day is expected to be dry.

.MONDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). A slight chance
                    of rain showers toward evening.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 64.
Min humidity........56 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 7 mph.
Ridgetop wind.......South 7 to 9 mph.
Transport winds.....South 7 to 15 mph shifting to the southwest 18
                    to 21 mph late in the afternoon.
Vent Rate...........Poor (400 knot-ft) increasing to poor (14600
                    knot-ft) in the afternoon.
LVORI...............4.
ADI.................5 to 30.

TIME (EST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........18  38  48  54  56  60  59  59  64  69  75  81
Weather cov.....                                            SCH
Weather type....                                            RW
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   10  10  10  10  20
Temp............38  38  39  43  49  56  61  64  64  64  64  61
RH..............89  96  96  93  80  66  60  58  60  63  63  72
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..6   6   6   7   7   7   7   7   8   7   7   7
20 FT wind gust.15  15  15  16  17  17  17  17  17  17  17  17
Ridge wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Ridge wind spd..7   7   7   8   8   8   8   8   9   8   8   8
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW
Transp wind spd.7   7   8   8   9   10  12  13  15  18  21  18
LVORI...........6   7   6   6   4   3   2   2   2   1   2   3
ADI.............5   5   6   9   10  12  17  22  25  30  30  22
Vrate kt-ft/1K..1   0   1   2   3   7   12  18  20  24  22  15
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR

.MONDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent) with rain showers.
                    Patchy fog overnight.
Chance of pcpn......90 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 41.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds around 6 mph shifting to the
                    west 6 to 7 mph overnight.
Ridgetop wind.......Southwest around 8 mph shifting to the west 8
                    to 9 mph overnight.
Transport winds.....Southwest 8 to 17 mph shifting to the northwest
                    14 to 17 mph overnight.
Vent Rate...........Poor (4100 knot-ft) increasing to marginal
                    (31700 knot-ft) early in the evening decreasing
                    to poor (25200 knot-ft) late in the night after
                    3 am.
LVORI...............5.
ADI.................8 to 23.

TIME (EST)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........87  93  90  92  84  87  91  95  95  95  94  93
Weather cov.....SCH CHC LKY DEF DEF DEF LKY LKY CHC CHC SCH
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RNF
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).20  50  70  90  80  80  70  60  50  30  20  10
Temp............59  56  56  56  56  55  55  54  52  50  48  46
RH..............78  90  90  93  93  96  96  96  89  93  89  93
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W   NW  NW
20 FT wind spd..7   7   7   7   7   7   7   7   7   8   8   8
20 FT wind gust.17  16  18  18  18  18  18  18  18  18  17  16
Ridge wind dir..S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W   NW  NW
Ridge wind spd..8   8   8   8   8   8   8   8   8   9   9   9
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   S   S   SW  SW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
Transp wind spd.17  15  14  14  13  8   13  16  14  14  17  17
LVORI...........4   5   5   5   5   6   6   6   5   5   4   5
ADI.............12  10  10  10  10  8   9   11  11  19  23  22
Vrate kt-ft/1K..9   5   5   5   5   4   5   5   11  25  32  29
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR

$$
Forecaster...HAL
Requested by...Ryle Benke
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2427293.0/JKL
.DELDT 11/24/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL ryle.a.benke@usda.gov