Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Jackson, KY

Home |  Current Version |  Previous Version |  Text Only |  Print | Product List |  Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6
954
FNUS53 KJKL 061853
FWFJKL

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Eastern Kentucky
National Weather Service Jackson KY
253 PM EDT Mon Oct 6 2025

...Widespread Rainfall Expected Tuesday and Tuesday Night...

.DISCUSSION....A cold front will approach the area tonight and move
across the Commonwealth Tuesday into Tuesday night. Moisture will
increase across the area in advance of the front and showers and
a few thunderstorms are anticipated. Locally heavy rainfall is
possible, especially north of the Mountain Parkway and west of I-75.
Much cooler and drier air then arrives behind the front to
finish out the week.

KYZ044-050>052-058>060-104-106>109-111-119-070815-
Fleming-Montgomery-Bath-Rowan-Estill-Powell-Menifee-Elliott-Morgan-
Johnson-Wolfe-Magoffin-Lee-Martin-
Including the cities of Flemingsburg, Camargo, Jeffersonville,
Mount Sterling, Owingsville, Morehead, Irvine, Ravenna, Clay City,
Stanton, Frenchburg, Sandy Hook, West Liberty, Paintsville, Campton,
Salyersville, Beattyville, and Inez
253 PM EDT Mon Oct 6 2025

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy        Pcldy
Chance precip (%)     60           90           90           0
Precip type           showers      tstms        tstms        None
Temp (24H TREND)      61 (+3)      73 (-10)     54           69
Rh % (24H TREND)      100 (+8)     78 (+33)     100          47
20ftwnd-AM(mph)                    Lgt/Var                   N  5
20ftwnd-PM(mph)       Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      NE  6
Precip duration       2            6            4
Precip begin          8 PM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         0.06         0.83         0.68         0.00
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)                 2700                      4700
Transport wnd (mph)                SW 14                     NE 14
Vent rate (kt-ft)                  32400                     56400
ADI Early             3            26           5            59
ADI Late              6            26           25           68
Max LVORI Early       6            8            7            4
Max LVORI Late        8            6            8            3

Remarks...ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by Lavdas.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

$$

KYZ068-069-080-084>088-114-116-070815-
Rockcastle-Jackson-Laurel-McCreary-Whitley-Knox-Bell-Harlan-Owsley-
Clay-
Including the cities of Brodhead, Mount Vernon, McKee, Annville,
London, Stearns, Whitley City, Corbin, Williamsburg, Barbourville,
Middlesboro, Pineville, Cumberland, Harlan, Booneville,
and Manchester
253 PM EDT Mon Oct 6 2025

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy        Pcldy
Chance precip (%)     50           80           90           20
Precip type           showers      tstms        tstms        showers
Temp (24H TREND)      62 (+2)      75 (-6)      57           69
Rh % (24H TREND)      100 (+8)     71 (+23)     100          56
20ftwnd-AM(mph)                    Lgt/Var                   N  5
20ftwnd-PM(mph)       Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      NE  7 G18
Precip duration       1            4            6            1
Precip begin                       Continuing   Continuing
Precip end                         Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         0.02         0.57         0.84         0.03
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)                 3300                      4000
Transport wnd (mph)                S 13                      NE 15
Vent rate (kt-ft)                  36300                     52000
ADI Early             4            26           5            33
ADI Late              7            25           16           56
Max LVORI Early       6            8            8            5
Max LVORI Late        8            6            9            3

Remarks...ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by Lavdas.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

$$

KYZ079-083-070815-
Pulaski-Wayne-
Including the cities of Burnside, Somerset, and Monticello
253 PM EDT Mon Oct 6 2025

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy        Pcldy
Chance precip (%)     60           90           90           0
Precip type           tstms        tstms        tstms        None
Temp (24H TREND)      63 (+3)      75 (-7)      57           70
Rh % (24H TREND)      100 (+1)     77 (+26)     100          56
20ftwnd-AM(mph)                    S  6                      N  7 G18
20ftwnd-PM(mph)       Lgt/Var      S  6 G17     Lgt/Var      NE  9 G20
Precip duration       1            5            4
Precip begin          8 PM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         0.04         1.00         0.88         0.00
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)                 2100                      3900
Transport wnd (mph)                S 14                      NE 15
Vent rate (kt-ft)                  25200                     50700
ADI Early             3            25           6            37
ADI Late              10           27           21           51
Max LVORI Early       7            6            8            4
Max LVORI Late        8            5            9            3

Remarks...ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by Lavdas.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

$$

KYZ110-112-113-115-117-118-120-070815-
Floyd-Breathitt-Knott-Perry-Leslie-Letcher-Pike-
Including the cities of Prestonsburg, Wheelwright, Jackson, Hindman,
Pippa Passes, Hazard, Hyden, Jenkins, Whitesburg, Coal Run,
Elkhorn City, Pikeville, and South Williamson
253 PM EDT Mon Oct 6 2025

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mcldy        Cloudy       Pcldy
Chance precip (%)     40           90           100          30
Precip type           showers      tstms        tstms        showers
Temp (24H TREND)      61 (+1)      76 (-7)      57           68
Rh % (24H TREND)      100 (+12)    71 (+25)     100          58
20ftwnd-AM(mph)                    Lgt/Var                   Lgt/Var
20ftwnd-PM(mph)       Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      N  5
Precip duration       1            4            6            1
Precip begin                       Continuing   Continuing
Precip end                         Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         0.00         0.34         0.76         0.05
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)                 3600                      4200
Transport wnd (mph)                S 12                      N 14
Vent rate (kt-ft)                  36000                     50400
ADI Early             5            25           4            29
ADI Late              7            26           17           60
Max LVORI Early       5            7            9            5
Max LVORI Late        6            8            9            4

Remarks...ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by Lavdas.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

$$


.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. North winds
less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Northeast winds less than
10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Northeast winds
less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Southeast winds less than
10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Areas of fog. Lows in the upper 40s.
East winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Northeast winds less than
10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Areas of fog. Lows in the upper 40s.
Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Northeast winds less than
10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Areas of fog. Lows in the upper 40s.
Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Northwest winds less than
10 mph.


$$

JP