Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Jackson, KY
Issued by NWS Jackson, KY
670
FNUS53 KJKL 152209
FWFJKL
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Eastern Kentucky
National Weather Service Jackson KY
509 PM EST Sat Nov 15 2025
...Very low relative humidity for many locations on Monday...
.DISCUSSION...A cold front will pass through from northwest to
southeast tonight, bringing showers to many locations. Any
rainfall is generally expected to be a tenth of an inch or less.
Noticeably cooler and much drier air will arrive behind the
front for Sunday and Monday, with relative humidity likely
falling below 25% for many places on Monday afternoon. Good
mixing depths are expected both days, but winds will become
light on Monday, limiting dispersion. After Monday, a potential
for rain returns to varying extents for the remainder of the week.
KYZ044-050>052-058>060-104-106>109-111-119-160930-
Fleming-Montgomery-Bath-Rowan-Estill-Powell-Menifee-Elliott-
Morgan-Johnson-Wolfe-Magoffin-Lee-Martin-
Including the cities of Flemingsburg, Camargo, Jeffersonville,
Mount Sterling, Owingsville, Morehead, Irvine, Ravenna,
Clay City, Stanton, Frenchburg, Sandy Hook, West Liberty,
Paintsville, Campton, Salyersville, Beattyville, and Inez
509 PM EST Sat Nov 15 2025
Tonight Sun Sun Night Mon
Cloud Cover Mcldy Clear Clear Clear
Chance precip (%) 80 0 0 0
Precip type tstms None None None
Temp (24H TREND) 44-51 (+2) 53-56 (-13) 23-33 50-53
Rh % (24H TREND) 86-100 (+29) 24-32 (-25) 61-96 22-31
20ftwnd-AM(mph) NW 3-7 G16 Lgt/Var
20ftwnd-PM(mph) W 6-10 G26 NW 4-8 G17 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip duration 2
Precip begin 7 PM
Precip end 4 AM
Precip amount 0.04 0.00 0.00 0.00
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL) 4900 3500
Transport wnd (mph) NW 22 W 10
Vent rate (kt-ft) 93100 31500
ADI Early 10 74 3 37
ADI Late 10 88 4 42
Max LVORI Early 5 5 3 4
Max LVORI Late 6 2 4 2
Remarks...Ranges of MIN T over 8 degrees & ranges of MAX
RH over 10% indicate the likelihood of thermal belts. ADI IS
Atmospheric Dispersion Index by Lavdas. LVORI is Low Visibility
Occurrence Risk Index.
$$
KYZ068-069-080-084>088-114-116-160930-
Rockcastle-Jackson-Laurel-McCreary-Whitley-Knox-Bell-Harlan-
Owsley-Clay-
Including the cities of Brodhead, Mount Vernon, McKee, Annville,
London, Stearns, Whitley City, Corbin, Williamsburg,
Barbourville, Middlesboro, Pineville, Cumberland, Harlan,
Booneville, and Manchester
509 PM EST Sat Nov 15 2025
Tonight Sun Sun Night Mon
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mclear Mclear Clear
Chance precip (%) 70 0 0 0
Precip type rain None None None
Temp (24H TREND) 43-53 (+7) 56-59 (-11) 23-34 52-55
Rh % (24H TREND) 90-100 (+25) 24-41 (-16) 58-100 20-33
20ftwnd-AM(mph) NW 3-7 G18 Lgt/Var
20ftwnd-PM(mph) SW 6-10 G25 NW 4-8 G16 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip duration 1
Precip begin 9 PM
Precip end 7 AM
Precip amount 0.03 0.00 0.00 0.00
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL) 4300 3300
Transport wnd (mph) NW 20 NW 8
Vent rate (kt-ft) 73100 23100
ADI Early 9 66 3 29
ADI Late 19 74 2 33
Max LVORI Early 5 5 3 5
Max LVORI Late 6 2 5 2
Remarks...Ranges of MIN T over 8 degrees & ranges of MAX
RH over 10% indicate the likelihood of thermal belts. ADI IS
Atmospheric Dispersion Index by Lavdas. LVORI is Low Visibility
Occurrence Risk Index.
$$
KYZ079-083-160930-
Pulaski-Wayne-
Including the cities of Burnside, Somerset, and Monticello
509 PM EST Sat Nov 15 2025
Tonight Sun Sun Night Mon
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mclear Clear Clear
Chance precip (%) 60 0 0 0
Precip type rain None None None
Temp (24H TREND) 47-51 (+2) 58-61 (-11) 23-33 55-56
Rh % (24H TREND) 90-100 (+24) 26-32 (-26) 66-100 22-29
20ftwnd-AM(mph) NW 4-8 G15 Lgt/Var
20ftwnd-PM(mph) SW 8-12 G25 NW 5-9 G16 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip duration 1
Precip begin 9 PM
Precip end 4 AM
Precip amount 0.02 0.00 0.00 0.00
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL) 4100 3300
Transport wnd (mph) NW 17 NW 6
Vent rate (kt-ft) 61500 16500
ADI Early 12 61 3 22
ADI Late 15 66 2 25
Max LVORI Early 4 6 3 5
Max LVORI Late 6 2 6 2
Remarks...Ranges of MIN T over 8 degrees & ranges of MAX
RH over 10% indicate the likelihood of thermal belts. ADI IS
Atmospheric Dispersion Index by Lavdas. LVORI is Low Visibility
Occurrence Risk Index.
$$
KYZ110-112-113-115-117-118-120-160930-
Floyd-Breathitt-Knott-Perry-Leslie-Letcher-Pike-
Including the cities of Prestonsburg, Wheelwright, Jackson,
Hindman, Pippa Passes, Hazard, Hyden, Jenkins, Whitesburg,
Coal Run, Elkhorn City, Pikeville, and South Williamson
509 PM EST Sat Nov 15 2025
Tonight Sun Sun Night Mon
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mclear Clear Clear
Chance precip (%) 90 0 0 0
Precip type tstms None None None
Temp (24H TREND) 46-52 (+7) 55-58 (-11) 22-36 50-53
Rh % (24H TREND) 87-100 (+24) 25-40 (-16) 58-100 22-35
20ftwnd-AM(mph) NW 3-7 G18 Lgt/Var
20ftwnd-PM(mph) SW 6-10 G25 NW 3-7 G17 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip duration 2
Precip begin 9 PM
Precip end 7 AM
Precip amount 0.06 0.00 0.00 0.00
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL) 4800 3600
Transport wnd (mph) NW 22 W 10
Vent rate (kt-ft) 91200 32400
ADI Early 9 76 4 40
ADI Late 25 89 4 43
Max LVORI Early 5 4 3 4
Max LVORI Late 6 2 4 2
Remarks...Ranges of MIN T over 8 degrees & ranges of MAX
RH over 10% indicate the likelihood of thermal belts. ADI IS
Atmospheric Dispersion Index by Lavdas. LVORI is Low Visibility
Occurrence Risk Index.
$$
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. A chance of rain showers. Lows in
the mid 30s. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Showers likely. Highs in the upper
50s. Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Showers. Lows around 50. South winds
less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers. Highs in the mid
60s. North winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers. Lows in
the lower 50s. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers. Highs in the
upper 60s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers. Lows in the
mid 50s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Showers likely. Highs in the upper 60s.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Showers likely. Lows in the upper
40s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny. A chance of showers. Highs in the upper
50s. West winds less than 10 mph.
$$
HAL