Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Jackson, KY

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532
FNUS53 KJKL 212104
FWFJKL

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Eastern Kentucky
National Weather Service Jackson KY
404 PM EST Thu Nov 21 2024

.DISCUSSION...A post-frontal surface low will move across the area
and bring widespread light snow this evening into the overnight.
Additional rain and snow showers are expected at times from Friday
into Saturday morning. This system will also bring in some west winds
at 5 to 10 mph and gusts of 20 to 25 mph tonight into Friday. As the
system exits on Saturday, drier air and precipitation-free weather
will return for the remainder of the weekend. Another system is
forecast to bring additional rain at times from Monday into
Thursday.

KYZ044-050>052-058>060-104-106>109-111-119-220930-
Fleming-Montgomery-Bath-Rowan-Estill-Powell-Menifee-Elliott-Morgan-
Johnson-Wolfe-Magoffin-Lee-Martin-
Including the cities of Flemingsburg, Camargo, Jeffersonville,
Mount Sterling, Owingsville, Morehead, Irvine, Ravenna, Clay City,
Stanton, Frenchburg, Sandy Hook, West Liberty, Paintsville, Campton,
Salyersville, Beattyville, and Inez
404 PM EST Thu Nov 21 2024

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud Cover           Cloudy       Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
Chance precip (%)     100          60           40           0
Precip type           snow         rain         rain         None
Temp (24H TREND)      29 (-4)      42 (+1)      36           47
Rh % (24H TREND)      100 (+14)    74 (+20)     100          63
20ftwnd-AM(mph)                    W  8 G21                  W  6
20ftwnd-PM(mph)       W  7 G22     W  9 G23     W  8 G22     W  5
Precip duration       5            1            1
Precip begin          7 PM         10 AM
Precip end            6 AM         Continuing
Precip amount         0.14         0.04         0.02         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Haines Index (MID)                 2                         2
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)                 3300                      2500
Transport wnd (mph)                W 20                      W 10
Vent rate (kt-ft)                  56100                     22500
ADI Early             12           30           17           24
ADI Late              29           31           14           25
Max LVORI Early       6            4            5            5
Max LVORI Late        6            4            6            4

Remarks...ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by Lavdas.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

$$

KYZ068-069-080-084>088-114-116-220930-
Rockcastle-Jackson-Laurel-McCreary-Whitley-Knox-Bell-Harlan-Owsley-
Clay-
Including the cities of Brodhead, Mount Vernon, McKee, Annville,
London, Stearns, Whitley City, Corbin, Williamsburg, Barbourville,
Middlesboro, Pineville, Cumberland, Harlan, Booneville,
and Manchester
404 PM EST Thu Nov 21 2024

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud Cover           Cloudy       Mcldy        Mcldy        Pcldy
Chance precip (%)     90           20           0            0
Precip type           snow         snow/rain    None         None
Temp (24H TREND)      28 (-5)      42 (-1)      34           50
Rh % (24H TREND)      100 (+8)     68 (+21)     100          55
20ftwnd-AM(mph)                    NW  8 G23                 Lgt/Var
20ftwnd-PM(mph)       W  9 G25     W  9 G23     W  8 G22     Lgt/Var
Precip duration       6            1
Precip begin          7 PM
Precip end            Continuing
Precip amount         0.14         0.02         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Haines Index (MID)                 2                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)                 3400                      2600
Transport wnd (mph)                W 23                      W  9
Vent rate (kt-ft)                  68000                     20800
ADI Early             26           46           19           19
ADI Late              37           51           15           18
Max LVORI Early       5            4            6            5
Max LVORI Late        5            4            6            3

Remarks...ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by Lavdas.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

$$

KYZ079-083-220930-
Pulaski-Wayne-
Including the cities of Burnside, Somerset, and Monticello
404 PM EST Thu Nov 21 2024

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud Cover           Cloudy       Mcldy        Mcldy        Pcldy
Chance precip (%)     80           0            0            0
Precip type           snow/rain    None         None         None
Temp (24H TREND)      30 (-4)      43 (0)       34           51
Rh % (24H TREND)      100 (+10)    69 (+22)     100          55
20ftwnd-AM(mph)                    NW  9 G21                 Lgt/Var
20ftwnd-PM(mph)       W 10 G24     W 10 G24     W  8 G20     Lgt/Var
Precip duration       3
Precip begin          7 PM
Precip end            7 AM
Precip amount         0.07         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Haines Index (MID)                 2                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)                 3300                      2600
Transport wnd (mph)                W 22                      W  8
Vent rate (kt-ft)                  62700                     18200
ADI Early             33           45           21           23
ADI Late              37           51           20           21
Max LVORI Early       4            4            5            5
Max LVORI Late        5            3            6            3

Remarks...ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by Lavdas.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

$$

KYZ110-112-113-115-117-118-120-220930-
Floyd-Breathitt-Knott-Perry-Leslie-Letcher-Pike-
Including the cities of Prestonsburg, Wheelwright, Jackson, Hindman,
Pippa Passes, Hazard, Hyden, Jenkins, Whitesburg, Coal Run,
Elkhorn City, Pikeville, and South Williamson
404 PM EST Thu Nov 21 2024

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud Cover           Cloudy       Mcldy        Cloudy       Mcldy
Chance precip (%)     100          50           60           0
Precip type           snow         snow/rain    rain         None
Temp (24H TREND)      29 (-3)      41 (-1)      35           49
Rh % (24H TREND)      100 (+6)     69 (+19)     100          62
20ftwnd-AM(mph)                    W  7 G21                  W  5 G18
20ftwnd-PM(mph)       W  8 G24     W  8 G22     W  8 G23     Lgt/Var
Precip duration       6            1            1
Precip begin          7 PM                      Continuing
Precip end            Continuing                7 AM
Precip amount         0.16         0.06         0.03         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Haines Index (MID)                 2                         2
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)                 3400                      2400
Transport wnd (mph)                W 24                      W  9
Vent rate (kt-ft)                  71400                     19200
ADI Early             15           53           16           22
ADI Late              33           58           14           22
Max LVORI Early       5            4            5            5
Max LVORI Late        6            4            6            4

Remarks...ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by Lavdas.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

$$

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Patchy fog. Lows in the lower 30s.
Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Southeast winds less than
10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. South winds
less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of rain. Highs in the lower 60s.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Rain. Lows in the upper 30s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Cooler. Highs in the upper 40s. Northwest
winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 30s. North winds
less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. A chance of rain. Highs in the upper 40s.
North winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Rain likely. Lows in the lower
30s. Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Rain likely. Highs in the upper 40s.
Southwest winds less than 10 mph.

$$

CMC/DJ