Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Jackson, KY
Issued by NWS Jackson, KY
386
FNUS53 KJKL 231949
FWFJKL
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Eastern Kentucky
National Weather Service Jackson KY
249 PM EST Sat Nov 23 2024
.DISCUSSION...High pressure will bring one day of mild, fair
weather on Sunday before rain chances return Monday ahead of the
next cold front. Another brief period of dry weather follows for
Tuesday and Wednesday before another low pressure system is forecast
to bring a soaking rainfall on Thanksgiving Day. Behind that
system, a cooling trend towards well below normal temperatures
appears increasingly probable heading into early December.
KYZ044-050>052-058>060-104-106>109-111-119-240930-
Fleming-Montgomery-Bath-Rowan-Estill-Powell-Menifee-Elliott-
Morgan-Johnson-Wolfe-Magoffin-Lee-Martin-
Including the cities of Flemingsburg, Camargo, Jeffersonville,
Mount Sterling, Owingsville, Morehead, Irvine, Ravenna,
Clay City, Stanton, Frenchburg, Sandy Hook, West Liberty,
Paintsville, Campton, Salyersville, Beattyville, and Inez
249 PM EST Sat Nov 23 2024
Tonight Sun Sun Night Mon
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Mclear Mcldy
Chance precip (%) 0 0 0 60
Precip type None None None rain
Temp (24H TREND) 31-37 (-2) 54-57 (+11) 34-45 59-62
Rh % (24H TREND) 96-100 (+1) 40-55 (-20) 73-100 60-84
20ftwnd-AM(mph) Lgt/Var SW 5-9 G19
20ftwnd-PM(mph) Lgt/Var SW 2-6 Lgt/Var SW 5-9 G19
Precip duration 1
Precip begin 1 PM
Precip end Continuing
Precip amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02
LAL 1 1 1 1
Haines Index (MID) 3 2
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL) 2200 1900
Transport wnd (mph) SW 10 SW 21
Vent rate (kt-ft) 19800 34200
ADI Early 4 24 5 37
ADI Late 14 26 14 37
Max LVORI Early 8 6 5 4
Max LVORI Late 9 3 5 4
Remarks...Ranges of MIN T over 8 degrees & ranges of MAX
RH over 10% indicate the likelihood of thermal belts. ADI IS
Atmospheric Dispersion Index by Lavdas. LVORI is Low Visibility
Occurrence Risk Index.
$$
KYZ068-069-080-084>088-114-116-240930-
Rockcastle-Jackson-Laurel-McCreary-Whitley-Knox-Bell-Harlan-
Owsley-Clay-
Including the cities of Brodhead, Mount Vernon, McKee, Annville,
London, Stearns, Whitley City, Corbin, Williamsburg,
Barbourville, Middlesboro, Pineville, Cumberland, Harlan,
Booneville, and Manchester
249 PM EST Sat Nov 23 2024
Tonight Sun Sun Night Mon
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mclear Pcldy Mcldy
Chance precip (%) 0 0 0 40
Precip type None None None rain
Temp (24H TREND) 29-35 (-2) 56-61 (+15) 32-46 60-63
Rh % (24H TREND) 89-100 (+1) 34-56 (-15) 70-100 51-84
20ftwnd-AM(mph) Lgt/Var S 5-9 G19
20ftwnd-PM(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var S 2-6 G14 SW 5-9 G20
Precip duration 1
Precip begin
Precip end
Precip amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01
LAL 1 1 1 1
Haines Index (MID) 3 2
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL) 2100 2100
Transport wnd (mph) SW 9 SW 21
Vent rate (kt-ft) 16800 37800
ADI Early 3 21 6 38
ADI Late 7 24 13 41
Max LVORI Early 8 8 5 4
Max LVORI Late 9 3 5 4
Remarks...Ranges of MIN T over 8 degrees & ranges of MAX
RH over 10% indicate the likelihood of thermal belts. ADI IS
Atmospheric Dispersion Index by Lavdas. LVORI is Low Visibility
Occurrence Risk Index.
$$
KYZ079-083-240930-
Pulaski-Wayne-
Including the cities of Burnside, Somerset, and Monticello
249 PM EST Sat Nov 23 2024
Tonight Sun Sun Night Mon
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Pcldy Mcldy
Chance precip (%) 0 0 0 50
Precip type None None None rain
Temp (24H TREND) 28-35 (-3) 59-62 (+14) 39-48 61-64
Rh % (24H TREND) 92-100 (+1) 35-45 (-22) 77-96 61-82
20ftwnd-AM(mph) Lgt/Var S 7-11 G21
20ftwnd-PM(mph) Lgt/Var S 2-6 G13 S 2-6 G13 SW 7-11 G21
Precip duration 1
Precip begin
Precip end
Precip amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02
LAL 1 1 1 1
Haines Index (MID) 3 2
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL) 2100 2100
Transport wnd (mph) SW 10 SW 23
Vent rate (kt-ft) 18900 42000
ADI Early 3 23 6 44
ADI Late 7 26 14 46
Max LVORI Early 8 8 4 4
Max LVORI Late 9 3 4 4
Remarks...Ranges of MIN T over 8 degrees & ranges of MAX
RH over 10% indicate the likelihood of thermal belts. ADI IS
Atmospheric Dispersion Index by Lavdas. LVORI is Low Visibility
Occurrence Risk Index.
$$
KYZ110-112-113-115-117-118-120-240930-
Floyd-Breathitt-Knott-Perry-Leslie-Letcher-Pike-
Including the cities of Prestonsburg, Wheelwright, Jackson,
Hindman, Pippa Passes, Hazard, Hyden, Jenkins, Whitesburg,
Coal Run, Elkhorn City, Pikeville, and South Williamson
249 PM EST Sat Nov 23 2024
Tonight Sun Sun Night Mon
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mclear Mclear Mcldy
Chance precip (%) 0 0 0 30
Precip type None None None rain
Temp (24H TREND) 30-36 (-2) 56-59 (+14) 35-46 60-63
Rh % (24H TREND) 92-100 (+1) 34-49 (-27) 68-100 49-75
20ftwnd-AM(mph) Lgt/Var S 4-8 G18
20ftwnd-PM(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var SW 4-8 G18
Precip duration 1
Precip begin
Precip end
Precip amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
LAL 1 1 1 1
Haines Index (MID) 3 2
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL) 2300 2200
Transport wnd (mph) SW 9 SW 20
Vent rate (kt-ft) 18400 37400
ADI Early 4 27 5 36
ADI Late 7 29 11 39
Max LVORI Early 8 7 5 4
Max LVORI Late 9 3 5 4
Remarks...Ranges of MIN T over 8 degrees & ranges of MAX
RH over 10% indicate the likelihood of thermal belts. ADI IS
Atmospheric Dispersion Index by Lavdas. LVORI is Low Visibility
Occurrence Risk Index.
$$
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Rain. Lows in the upper 30s. South winds less
than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 40s. West winds less
than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 30s. Light
winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 40s. Southeast
winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Rain likely. Lows in the upper
30s. Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.THANKSGIVING DAY...Mostly cloudy. Rain likely. Highs in the
upper 40s. North winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Rain likely. Lows in the mid
30s. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny. A chance of rain. Highs in the lower 40s.
West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Colder. Lows in the mid 20s. West
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 30s. West winds less
than 10 mph.
$$
GEERTSON