Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Jackson, KY
Issued by NWS Jackson, KY
270
FNUS53 KJKL 170902
FWFJKL
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Eastern Kentucky
National Weather Service Jackson KY
502 AM EDT Fri Oct 17 2025
.DISCUSSION....High pressure will move across the region today,
shifting east of the Commonwealth tonight and Saturday. This will
allow a couple of upper level disturbances to cross the region
over the weekend, with a cold front approaching eastern KY late
Saturday night. This front will cross the area on Sunday.
Moderating temperatures and a seasonably dry airmass will allow for
humidity to drop to near or below 30 percent this afternoon for
much of the region. A return flow of moisture will occur as the
high departs to begin the weekend as the cold front approaches.
This front should bring a wetting rainfall to the area this
weekend, with the lighter occurring over the Hazard and Pineville
branches of the KDF and the Redbird RD in the DBNF. Any
thunderstorms near or in advance of the front could produce strong
wind gusts and strong wind gusts are also anticipated outside of
storms as the front moves across the Commonwealth. Surface high
pressure and dry weather return to the area for Monday.
KYZ044-050>052-058>060-104-106>109-111-119-172030-
Fleming-Montgomery-Bath-Rowan-Estill-Powell-Menifee-Elliott-
Morgan-Johnson-Wolfe-Magoffin-Lee-Martin-
Including the cities of Flemingsburg, Camargo, Jeffersonville,
Mount Sterling, Owingsville, Morehead, Irvine, Ravenna,
Clay City, Stanton, Frenchburg, Sandy Hook, West Liberty,
Paintsville, Campton, Salyersville, Beattyville, and Inez
502 AM EDT Fri Oct 17 2025
Today Tonight Sat
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Mclear
Chance precip (%) 0 0 0
Precip type None None None
Temp (24H TREND) 69-72 (+3) 46-58 (+19) 80-83
Rh % (24H TREND) 24-33 (-2) 72-100 (+3) 36-47
20ftwnd-AM(mph) Lgt/Var S 2-6 G15
20ftwnd-PM(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var SW 3-7 G15
Precip duration
Precip begin
Precip end
Precip amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL) 2900 4800
Transport wnd (mph) SE 3 SW 17
Vent rate (kt-ft) 8700 72000
ADI Early 17 3 62
ADI Late 14 7 92
Max LVORI Early 7 3 6
Max LVORI Late 2 5 3
Remarks...Ranges of MIN T over 8 degrees & ranges of MAX
RH over 10% indicate the likelihood of thermal belts. ADI IS
Atmospheric Dispersion Index by Lavdas. LVORI is Low Visibility
Occurrence Risk Index.
$$
KYZ068-069-080-084>088-114-116-172030-
Rockcastle-Jackson-Laurel-McCreary-Whitley-Knox-Bell-Harlan-
Owsley-Clay-
Including the cities of Brodhead, Mount Vernon, McKee, Annville,
London, Stearns, Whitley City, Corbin, Williamsburg,
Barbourville, Middlesboro, Pineville, Cumberland, Harlan,
Booneville, and Manchester
502 AM EDT Fri Oct 17 2025
Today Tonight Sat
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Mclear
Chance precip (%) 0 0 0
Precip type None None None
Temp (24H TREND) 71-76 (+5) 47-60 (+19) 78-83
Rh % (24H TREND) 24-43 (+3) 72-100 (+4) 36-64
20ftwnd-AM(mph) Lgt/Var S 3-7 G15
20ftwnd-PM(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var S 4-8 G17
Precip duration
Precip begin
Precip end
Precip amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL) 3400 4600
Transport wnd (mph) SW 3 SW 16
Vent rate (kt-ft) 10200 64400
ADI Early 14 3 53
ADI Late 17 8 73
Max LVORI Early 7 6 6
Max LVORI Late 2 6 3
Remarks...Ranges of MIN T over 8 degrees & ranges of MAX
RH over 10% indicate the likelihood of thermal belts. ADI IS
Atmospheric Dispersion Index by Lavdas. LVORI is Low Visibility
Occurrence Risk Index.
$$
KYZ079-083-172030-
Pulaski-Wayne-
Including the cities of Burnside, Somerset, and Monticello
502 AM EDT Fri Oct 17 2025
Today Tonight Sat
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Mclear
Chance precip (%) 0 0 0
Precip type None None None
Temp (24H TREND) 76-77 (+4) 53-59 (+17) 83-84
Rh % (24H TREND) 29-41 (-3) 87-100 (+5) 39-47
20ftwnd-AM(mph) Lgt/Var S 5-9 G18
20ftwnd-PM(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var SW 7-11 G20
Precip duration
Precip begin
Precip end
Precip amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL) 3200 5600
Transport wnd (mph) S 5 SW 18
Vent rate (kt-ft) 12800 89600
ADI Early 14 3 59
ADI Late 17 8 77
Max LVORI Early 7 6 6
Max LVORI Late 2 7 2
Remarks...Ranges of MIN T over 8 degrees & ranges of MAX
RH over 10% indicate the likelihood of thermal belts. ADI IS
Atmospheric Dispersion Index by Lavdas. LVORI is Low Visibility
Occurrence Risk Index.
$$
KYZ110-112-113-115-117-118-120-172030-
Floyd-Breathitt-Knott-Perry-Leslie-Letcher-Pike-
Including the cities of Prestonsburg, Wheelwright, Jackson,
Hindman, Pippa Passes, Hazard, Hyden, Jenkins, Whitesburg,
Coal Run, Elkhorn City, Pikeville, and South Williamson
502 AM EDT Fri Oct 17 2025
Today Tonight Sat
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Mclear
Chance precip (%) 0 0 0
Precip type None None None
Temp (24H TREND) 70-73 (+4) 47-59 (+20) 78-83
Rh % (24H TREND) 24-32 (-6) 72-100 (+2) 36-55
20ftwnd-AM(mph) Lgt/Var S 2-6
20ftwnd-PM(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var SW 2-6
Precip duration
Precip begin
Precip end
Precip amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL) 3300 4600
Transport wnd (mph) W 3 SW 14
Vent rate (kt-ft) 9900 55200
ADI Early 11 3 66
ADI Late 14 7 80
Max LVORI Early 8 4 5
Max LVORI Late 2 6 3
Remarks...Ranges of MIN T over 8 degrees & ranges of MAX
RH over 10% indicate the likelihood of thermal belts. ADI IS
Atmospheric Dispersion Index by Lavdas. LVORI is Low Visibility
Occurrence Risk Index.
$$
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers. Lows in the
upper 50s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Showers. Highs in the upper 60s. South winds 5 to
15 mph with gusts as high as 30 to 35 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Colder. Lows in the lower 40s.
West winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Southwest winds less than
10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. South winds
5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 40. West winds 5 to
10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. West winds less than
10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 40. Southwest winds
less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Southwest winds
less than 10 mph.
$$
JP