Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Jackson, KY
Issued by NWS Jackson, KY
046
FNUS53 KJKL 242108
FWFJKL
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Eastern Kentucky
National Weather Service Jackson KY
408 PM EST Sun Nov 24 2024
.DISCUSSION...Departing high pressure keeps mostly clear skies
and light winds over eastern Kentucky tonight, allowing for the
formation of a sharp ridge-valley temperature split. Rain chances
rise on Monday and peak early Monday night with the passage of a
cold front. The probability of at least 0.25 inch of rain ranges
from 20 to 50 percent. Another brief period of dry weather follows
for Tuesday and Wednesday before another low pressure system is
forecast to bring a soaking rainfall on Thanksgiving Day. Behind
that system, a cooling trend towards well below normal
temperatures appears increasingly probable heading into early
December.
KYZ044-050>052-058>060-104-106>109-111-119-250915-
Fleming-Montgomery-Bath-Rowan-Estill-Powell-Menifee-Elliott-
Morgan-Johnson-Wolfe-Magoffin-Lee-Martin-
Including the cities of Flemingsburg, Camargo, Jeffersonville,
Mount Sterling, Owingsville, Morehead, Irvine, Ravenna,
Clay City, Stanton, Frenchburg, Sandy Hook, West Liberty,
Paintsville, Campton, Salyersville, Beattyville, and Inez
408 PM EST Sun Nov 24 2024
Tonight Mon Mon Night Tue
Cloud Cover Mclear Mcldy Mcldy Pcldy
Chance precip (%) 0 60 90 0
Precip type None showers showers None
Temp (24H TREND) 31-45 (+12) 60-63 (+6) 37-45 48-51
Rh % (24H TREND) 73-100 (+2) 54-78 (+29) 93-100 41-56
20ftwnd-AM(mph) S 4-8 G24 W 2-6 G14
20ftwnd-PM(mph) Lgt/Var SW 5-9 G24 SW 5-9 G24 W 2-6
Precip duration 1 4
Precip begin 12 PM Continuing
Precip end Continuing 5 AM
Precip amount 0.00 0.03 0.13 0.00
LAL 1 1 1 1
Haines Index (MID) 2 5
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL) 1800 2400
Transport wnd (mph) SW 20 W 12
Vent rate (kt-ft) 30600 24000
ADI Early 5 32 15 33
ADI Late 13 36 33 33
Max LVORI Early 6 4 5 4
Max LVORI Late 7 4 5 3
Remarks...Ranges of MIN T over 8 degrees & ranges of MAX
RH over 10% indicate the likelihood of thermal belts. ADI IS
Atmospheric Dispersion Index by Lavdas. LVORI is Low Visibility
Occurrence Risk Index.
$$
KYZ068-069-080-084>088-114-116-250915-
Rockcastle-Jackson-Laurel-McCreary-Whitley-Knox-Bell-Harlan-
Owsley-Clay-
Including the cities of Brodhead, Mount Vernon, McKee, Annville,
London, Stearns, Whitley City, Corbin, Williamsburg,
Barbourville, Middlesboro, Pineville, Cumberland, Harlan,
Booneville, and Manchester
408 PM EST Sun Nov 24 2024
Tonight Mon Mon Night Tue
Cloud Cover Mclear Mcldy Mcldy Pcldy
Chance precip (%) 0 40 90 0
Precip type None showers showers None
Temp (24H TREND) 29-45 (+14) 60-65 (+6) 37-42 49-52
Rh % (24H TREND) 73-100 (0) 54-83 (+35) 93-100 41-62
20ftwnd-AM(mph) S 4-8 G22 Lgt/Var
20ftwnd-PM(mph) Lgt/Var SW 5-9 G24 SW 4-8 G25 Lgt/Var
Precip duration 1 3
Precip begin Continuing
Precip end 5 AM
Precip amount 0.00 0.02 0.16 0.00
LAL 1 1 1 1
Haines Index (MID) 2 5
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL) 1700 2200
Transport wnd (mph) SW 18 NW 8
Vent rate (kt-ft) 27200 15400
ADI Early 6 30 13 24
ADI Late 11 33 26 23
Max LVORI Early 6 5 5 5
Max LVORI Late 7 4 5 3
Remarks...Ranges of MIN T over 8 degrees & ranges of MAX
RH over 10% indicate the likelihood of thermal belts. ADI IS
Atmospheric Dispersion Index by Lavdas. LVORI is Low Visibility
Occurrence Risk Index.
$$
KYZ079-083-250915-
Pulaski-Wayne-
Including the cities of Burnside, Somerset, and Monticello
408 PM EST Sun Nov 24 2024
Tonight Mon Mon Night Tue
Cloud Cover Mclear Mcldy Mcldy Pcldy
Chance precip (%) 0 50 90 0
Precip type None showers showers None
Temp (24H TREND) 36-47 (+16) 62-65 (+4) 37-41 50-51
Rh % (24H TREND) 76-100 (0) 58-76 (+30) 93-100 46-57
20ftwnd-AM(mph) S 6-10 G25 NW 2-6
20ftwnd-PM(mph) S 2-6 G13 SW 7-11 G25 SW 6-10 G24 Lgt/Var
Precip duration 1 3
Precip begin Continuing
Precip end 3 AM
Precip amount 0.00 0.04 0.16 0.00
LAL 1 1 1 1
Haines Index (MID) 2 5
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL) 1700 2200
Transport wnd (mph) SW 20 NW 8
Vent rate (kt-ft) 28900 15400
ADI Early 6 34 18 22
ADI Late 14 34 22 21
Max LVORI Early 5 4 5 5
Max LVORI Late 5 4 5 3
Remarks...Ranges of MIN T over 8 degrees & ranges of MAX
RH over 10% indicate the likelihood of thermal belts. ADI IS
Atmospheric Dispersion Index by Lavdas. LVORI is Low Visibility
Occurrence Risk Index.
$$
KYZ110-112-113-115-117-118-120-250915-
Floyd-Breathitt-Knott-Perry-Leslie-Letcher-Pike-
Including the cities of Prestonsburg, Wheelwright, Jackson,
Hindman, Pippa Passes, Hazard, Hyden, Jenkins, Whitesburg,
Coal Run, Elkhorn City, Pikeville, and South Williamson
408 PM EST Sun Nov 24 2024
Tonight Mon Mon Night Tue
Cloud Cover Mclear Pcldy Mcldy Pcldy
Chance precip (%) 0 0 90 0
Precip type None None showers None
Temp (24H TREND) 31-45 (+13) 61-64 (+6) 39-45 50-53
Rh % (24H TREND) 68-100 (+1) 50-70 (+22) 93-100 42-61
20ftwnd-AM(mph) S 3-7 G20 W 2-6 G16
20ftwnd-PM(mph) Lgt/Var SW 4-8 G21 SW 4-8 G22 Lgt/Var
Precip duration 4
Precip begin Continuing
Precip end 6 AM
Precip amount 0.00 0.00 0.17 0.00
LAL 1 1 1 1
Haines Index (MID) 2 4
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL) 1900 2500
Transport wnd (mph) SW 17 W 10
Vent rate (kt-ft) 28500 22500
ADI Early 5 29 13 30
ADI Late 11 34 31 29
Max LVORI Early 6 5 5 4
Max LVORI Late 7 4 5 3
Remarks...Ranges of MIN T over 8 degrees & ranges of MAX
RH over 10% indicate the likelihood of thermal belts. ADI IS
Atmospheric Dispersion Index by Lavdas. LVORI is Low Visibility
Occurrence Risk Index.
$$
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Patchy fog. Lows in the lower
30s. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Highs in the mid 50s. East winds less
than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Showers. Lows around 40. Southeast winds less
than 10 mph.
.THANKSGIVING DAY...Cloudy. Rain likely. Highs in the upper 40s.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. A chance of rain and snow.
Colder. Lows in the upper 20s. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 30s. West winds 5 to
10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 20s. West winds
5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 30s. West winds less
than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. A chance of snow. Lows in the
mid 20s. West winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny. A chance of snow. Highs in the mid 30s.
West winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
GEERTSON